The first match between Sinner and the new Nadal took place today, with Sinner winning comfortably 6-2 6-2. This match made me think a bit about how this Sinner would've fared against one of the best versions of OrigiNadal, the one that won 2 Grand Slam titles back in 2008.
If 2008 Nadal played against 2025 Sinner in every Grand Slam tournament, what would be the final outcome of this match-up?
I think there's basically no question about Sinner winning at the Australian Open and Nadal winning at the French Open, most likely straight-set wins in both cases (Sinner was great at this year's French Open, but 2008 French Open Nadal was out of this world). So the main questions are about Wimbledon and the US Open.
Both players brought some of their best tennis to Wimbledon in these respective years. The level required to beat absolute prime Federer at Wimbledon wasn't easy to summon. While Sinner may have not been as good as 2008 Federer at this year's Wimbledon, he'd be a tougher match-up for Nadal than Federer. Sinner's serve and net game at this year's Wimbledon final would make it difficult for everyone to break his serve frequently. While Nadal's 1st serve wasn't as lethal as Alcaraz's, his baseline game would probably pose a bigger challenge for Sinner, who would have to work harder to finish points from neutral - he'd get less errors on crucial points.
This match likely wouldn't be done in straight sets. I see Sinner winning at least 2 sets in this match, so the question is about the order of the sets. If Sinner has a 2 sets to 1 lead after 3 sets he takes the match. If Nadal is the one who gets 2 sets to 1 up, Sinner only has a slim chance if he wins the 1st set and the match isn't too physical come the 5th set.
The US Open is the more interesting case, as both players were relatively subpar at the US Open in their respective years. Nadal wasn't fresh and ran into a red-hot Murray, Sinner struggled in terms of 1st serve percentage and faced a clinical Alcaraz.
Without the serve being a factor for either player, I'd say Nadal would have a slight advantage from the baseline - Sinner was more errant than usual in the final. But maybe with Nadal playing behind the baseline Sinner would feel like he has more room to execute.
Here is my final verdict:
Australian Open - Sinner in dominant fashion
French Open - Nadal comfortably
Wimbledon - advantage Sinner
US Open - advantage Nadal
What do you think the Grand Slam H2H between 2008 Nadal and 2025 Sinner would look like?
Discuss.
If 2008 Nadal played against 2025 Sinner in every Grand Slam tournament, what would be the final outcome of this match-up?
I think there's basically no question about Sinner winning at the Australian Open and Nadal winning at the French Open, most likely straight-set wins in both cases (Sinner was great at this year's French Open, but 2008 French Open Nadal was out of this world). So the main questions are about Wimbledon and the US Open.
Both players brought some of their best tennis to Wimbledon in these respective years. The level required to beat absolute prime Federer at Wimbledon wasn't easy to summon. While Sinner may have not been as good as 2008 Federer at this year's Wimbledon, he'd be a tougher match-up for Nadal than Federer. Sinner's serve and net game at this year's Wimbledon final would make it difficult for everyone to break his serve frequently. While Nadal's 1st serve wasn't as lethal as Alcaraz's, his baseline game would probably pose a bigger challenge for Sinner, who would have to work harder to finish points from neutral - he'd get less errors on crucial points.
This match likely wouldn't be done in straight sets. I see Sinner winning at least 2 sets in this match, so the question is about the order of the sets. If Sinner has a 2 sets to 1 lead after 3 sets he takes the match. If Nadal is the one who gets 2 sets to 1 up, Sinner only has a slim chance if he wins the 1st set and the match isn't too physical come the 5th set.
The US Open is the more interesting case, as both players were relatively subpar at the US Open in their respective years. Nadal wasn't fresh and ran into a red-hot Murray, Sinner struggled in terms of 1st serve percentage and faced a clinical Alcaraz.
Without the serve being a factor for either player, I'd say Nadal would have a slight advantage from the baseline - Sinner was more errant than usual in the final. But maybe with Nadal playing behind the baseline Sinner would feel like he has more room to execute.
Here is my final verdict:
Australian Open - Sinner in dominant fashion
French Open - Nadal comfortably
Wimbledon - advantage Sinner
US Open - advantage Nadal
What do you think the Grand Slam H2H between 2008 Nadal and 2025 Sinner would look like?
Discuss.