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What would be the Grand Slam H2H between 2008 Nadal and 2025 Sinner?

2008 Nadal vs 2025 Sinner: Grand Slam H2H

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673 views 36 replies 19 participants last post by  BaselineGod  
#1 ·
The first match between Sinner and the new Nadal took place today, with Sinner winning comfortably 6-2 6-2. This match made me think a bit about how this Sinner would've fared against one of the best versions of OrigiNadal, the one that won 2 Grand Slam titles back in 2008.

If 2008 Nadal played against 2025 Sinner in every Grand Slam tournament, what would be the final outcome of this match-up?

I think there's basically no question about Sinner winning at the Australian Open and Nadal winning at the French Open, most likely straight-set wins in both cases (Sinner was great at this year's French Open, but 2008 French Open Nadal was out of this world). So the main questions are about Wimbledon and the US Open.

Both players brought some of their best tennis to Wimbledon in these respective years. The level required to beat absolute prime Federer at Wimbledon wasn't easy to summon. While Sinner may have not been as good as 2008 Federer at this year's Wimbledon, he'd be a tougher match-up for Nadal than Federer. Sinner's serve and net game at this year's Wimbledon final would make it difficult for everyone to break his serve frequently. While Nadal's 1st serve wasn't as lethal as Alcaraz's, his baseline game would probably pose a bigger challenge for Sinner, who would have to work harder to finish points from neutral - he'd get less errors on crucial points.
This match likely wouldn't be done in straight sets. I see Sinner winning at least 2 sets in this match, so the question is about the order of the sets. If Sinner has a 2 sets to 1 lead after 3 sets he takes the match. If Nadal is the one who gets 2 sets to 1 up, Sinner only has a slim chance if he wins the 1st set and the match isn't too physical come the 5th set.

The US Open is the more interesting case, as both players were relatively subpar at the US Open in their respective years. Nadal wasn't fresh and ran into a red-hot Murray, Sinner struggled in terms of 1st serve percentage and faced a clinical Alcaraz.
Without the serve being a factor for either player, I'd say Nadal would have a slight advantage from the baseline - Sinner was more errant than usual in the final. But maybe with Nadal playing behind the baseline Sinner would feel like he has more room to execute.

Here is my final verdict:
Australian Open - Sinner in dominant fashion
French Open - Nadal comfortably
Wimbledon - advantage Sinner
US Open - advantage Nadal

What do you think the Grand Slam H2H between 2008 Nadal and 2025 Sinner would look like?
Discuss.
 
#10 ·
Maestro also didn't show up to Wim just like Alpaca but Rafito was choking the match until bad light saved him...
Indeed. He was up 2-0 in sets and DFed a MP in the 4th set tiebreak. If Federer had come back to win, we might have had the unusual narrative of Nadal being a choker and Federer having great mental strength (for a while at least)!
 
#18 ·
Advantage Sinner at Wimbledon? Lmao. Nadal beat Federer and Murray that tournament and you think he's losing to Sinner?
It was pre-prime Murray in the QF stage (in his maiden Grand Slam QF, not even ranked top 10 yet) and Federer was playing poorly in the first couple of sets of the final.
Sinner was good both in terms of serving and at the net against Alcaraz and we all know how difficult it is to look good at the net when Alcaraz is on the other side. Unlike Federer's one-handed backhand, Nadal wouldn't be capable of exploiting Sinner's two-handed backhand which is more solid against topspin. He'd still be better from the baseline than Alcaraz, but his 1st serve wouldn't be as lethal.
So yes, advantage Sinner at Wimbledon. Without a doubt.
 
#21 ·
The first match between Sinner and the new Nadal took place today, with Sinner winning comfortably 6-2 6-2. This match made me think a bit about how this Sinner would've fared against one of the best versions of OrigiNadal, the one that won 2 Grand Slam titles back in 2008.

If 2008 Nadal played against 2025 Sinner in every Grand Slam tournament, what would be the final outcome of this match-up?

I think there's basically no question about Sinner winning at the Australian Open and Nadal winning at the French Open, most likely straight-set wins in both cases (Sinner was great at this year's French Open, but 2008 French Open Nadal was out of this world). So the main questions are about Wimbledon and the US Open.

Both players brought some of their best tennis to Wimbledon in these respective years. The level required to beat absolute prime Federer at Wimbledon wasn't easy to summon. While Sinner may have not been as good as 2008 Federer at this year's Wimbledon, he'd be a tougher match-up for Nadal than Federer. Sinner's serve and net game at this year's Wimbledon final would make it difficult for everyone to break his serve frequently. While Nadal's 1st serve wasn't as lethal as Alcaraz's, his baseline game would probably pose a bigger challenge for Sinner, who would have to work harder to finish points from neutral - he'd get less errors on crucial points.
This match likely wouldn't be done in straight sets. I see Sinner winning at least 2 sets in this match, so the question is about the order of the sets. If Sinner has a 2 sets to 1 lead after 3 sets he takes the match. If Nadal is the one who gets 2 sets to 1 up, Sinner only has a slim chance if he wins the 1st set and the match isn't too physical come the 5th set.

The US Open is the more interesting case, as both players were relatively subpar at the US Open in their respective years. Nadal wasn't fresh and ran into a red-hot Murray, Sinner struggled in terms of 1st serve percentage and faced a clinical Alcaraz.
Without the serve being a factor for either player, I'd say Nadal would have a slight advantage from the baseline - Sinner was more errant than usual in the final. But maybe with Nadal playing behind the baseline Sinner would feel like he has more room to execute.

Here is my final verdict:
Australian Open - Sinner in dominant fashion
French Open - Nadal comfortably
Wimbledon - advantage Sinner
US Open - advantage Nadal

What do you think the Grand Slam H2H between 2008 Nadal and 2025 Sinner would look like?
Discuss.
Seriously @YonaMX you consider Tien to be the new Nadal? And based on a match in a 500 event?
 
#23 ·
Seriously @YonaMX you consider Tien to be the new Nadal? And based on a match in a 500 event?
Not based on a match in a 500 event but based on numerous things they have in common as shown over multiple tournaments at different levels:
Left-handed âś…
Weak serve âś…
Heavy topspin âś…
Excessive annoying/ugly grunt âś…
Pigeoners of Medvedev âś…
Djokovic's pigeons on hard courts âś…

These are only some examples of course.
 
#32 ·
Nadal wins 3-1. 2008 Murray in USO played at much higher level than 2025 USO Sinner. Let's not kid ourselves. That was a great Murray but was unfortunate to meet a peaking or near peaking Federer in the final. I can see Sinner winning AO however.