On a serious note - while I am not sure if one commentator's words should be taken as sacrosanct, I will still use the age of 27 (mentioned by the BBC guy and the OP) as the measuring stick.
Did you do the following?
1. Check how many slams they won
before the age of 27?
2. How many slams did they play on either side of that age? For example, Connors played Australian Open twice- first in 1974 and then in 1975 winning once. He never played that tourney again. Agassi played this tournament for the first time in 1995 and it ended up giving him half his total slams.
To make this clearer, I will give numbers and percentages of many of the players mentioned by OP (the ATGs). However, some names don't make sense. Mentioning Borg is a silly thing to do since he never played a grand slam match at the age of 26 or beyond. John McEnroe similarly did play a number of slams after turning 27 but he had already declined by then due to injuries. Mats Wilander's decline started at the age of 24 soon after his epic 1988 season. Wilander's decline has several reasons, but age is certainly not one of them. It would be colossally stupid to reason that a player aged as soon as he turned 25. The same is true for Stefan Edberg (age 26). None of these four players could even reach a slam final after the age of 27.
I am therefore, giving the same list with those names removed. But we also need to set a starting point and an end point, since it is pointless to include early years and the years when the player had totally declined. To be less subjective, I am simply considering the first to last slam winning years only. This isn't accurate, since there could be pre-prime years, out-of-form years, years of injury or in a solitary case - Pete Sampras - declined years. The concept of 'good years' (which I often use) gives a better picture. But I am not going to give that here as it would lead to dogfights. So, considering slam winning span, the stats are given below:
Player | Slam winning career span | Number of slams played before turning 27 | Number of slams won before turning 27 | Percentage of slams won before turning 27 | Number of slams played after turning 27 | Number of slams won after turning 27 | Percentage of slams won after turning 27 |
Connors | 1974-1983 | 15 | 5 | 33.33% | 12 | 3 | 25% |
Lendl | 1984-1990 | 11 | 4 | 36.36% | 14 | 4 | 28.57% |
Becker | 1985-1991 | 35 | 5 | 14.29% | 6 | 1 | 16.67% |
Agassi | 1992-2003 | 16 | 3 | 18.75% | 24 | 5 | 20.83% |
Sampras | 1990-2002 | 33 | 11 | 33.33% | 15 | 3 | 20% |
Federer | 2003-2018 | 23 | 12 | 52.17% | 37 | 8 | 21.62% |
Nadal | 2005-2024 | 29 | 11 | 37.93% | 30 | 11 | 36.67% |
Djokovic | 2008-2023 | 26 | 6 | 23.08% | 34 | 18 | 52.94% |
Looking at the table above, it must be clear that there is no definite proof that 27 causes ageing or decline. Although there are more players who won a greater percentage of slams before reaching the age in discussion, the only player for whom the difference turns out to be gargantuan is none other than our Swiss maestro. And it is virtually the opposite for Djokovic. For all other players, the difference is not to the point where we can draw immediate conclusions. And look at Nadal's numbers - they are virtually identical on each half of the table. Of course, the numbers above are a massive oversimplification as the discussed ATGs were not all 'good' in all the slams.
Bottomline: It is not AGE that matters, it is STAGE.