Congrats to Alcaraz on winning his 2nd USO title and reclaiming the #1 ranking. He is the 2nd youngest man in the Open Era after Borg to win 6 GS titles. Another mostly very high quality final from these two, who are head and shoulders above the rest of the field. However, Alcaraz was the better player for almost the entire match, putting in arguably the best performance of his life on a hard court, and Sinner wasn't able to bring his absolute best level this time.
The entire match was played under the roof. A long opening service game from Sinner, lasting around 6 minutes, Sinner making a slow start against a very dialled-in Alcaraz and ultimately going down an early break. Strategy-wise right from the beginning, Alcaraz was varying pace and spin on groundstrokes on both wings, slicing his BH around 20% of the time in that 1st set, absolutely firing on his FH (one FH winner in the opening game of the match was over 100 mph) but also using shape on the FH to give himself extra time in defence and to disrupt Sinner’s rhythm. There were occasional dropshots from Alcaraz (at a guess, around 3 or 4 each set, but it looked to me as if Sinner got up to most of them). Alcaraz continuing to serve very well, as he has done all tournament, both with pace and placement, quite a bit of success with body serves. Some net approaches from both – I haven’t seen the analysis but it looked as if Alcaraz did more serve volleying and Sinner approached the net more in return games after pushing Alcaraz deep. A lovely half volley from Alcaraz mid-way through the first set bringing out his smile and then a 2nd break in the first set for Alcaraz. A few little stumbles from Sinner - one in a return game early in the first set and again when Alcaraz served for the first set- and he was maybe sweating a little more than usual, but no obvious signs of any ab problem. More errors from Sinner than from Alcaraz, probably forced more than unforced, but a couple of poor shots he’ll regret, including one very poor lob in a return game, and a few poor 2nd serve returns by his standards.
First DF from Sinner in his opening service game in the 2nd set. At this point, Sinner was only winning about 36% of his 2nd serve points, compared to 86% from Alcaraz, so probably going for too much on his 2nd serve to compensate. Sinner faced a BP in this game, but came through it, a gamble on a strong 2nd serve paying off. Then Sinner managed to turn things around by breaking Alcaraz in the 4th game of the 2nd set – a couple of errors from Alcaraz (an UE on an easy FH in the first shot, a rally ball going long), but brilliant play from Sinner (a very good point at the net followed by a big fist pump from him, and then a superb passing shot to break to love). For the rest of the 2nd set, Alcaraz served well but wasn’t able to make much of an impact in return games to reclaim the break. Sinner came out on top of most of the longer rallies, targeting the Alcaraz BH and then drawing errors from the FH. Alcaraz started showing a little frustration. A graphic showed that Sinner was hitting to the BH side 51% in that set, the remainder roughly equally in the middle of the court and to the FH. Late in the 2nd set, another graphic showed Sinner had turned around the 2nd serve battle, winning 67% of 2nd serve points compared to 43% for Alcaraz. Superb point from both when Sinner served for the set, a 2nd serve from Sinner at 15-15, quality hitting from the baseline, a FH drop shot from Alcaraz, burst of speed from Sinner to get up to it, pushed Alcaraz wide into the deuce court then finished with a BH volley.
The 3rd set ended up being very one-sided. Alcaraz was put under pressure in his opening service game. A big ‘vamos’ from him when he won a point at 30-30. Alcaraz ended up with the early break in the next game. Alcaraz staved off some more pressure to consolidate the break – another big smile from him after he won a point with a sliced bounce smash from the baseline. Alcaraz definitely in control and looking more confident again, blasting a cross-court FH winner in the next game to bring up 3 BPs to go up 4-0 - one of the commentators said he was on average putting about 5mph more on his FH in this set compared to the 2nd. At the same time, Sinner’s level dropped off - he looked like he was either fading or possibly tanking a little at this stage – he gave up the break on a 2nd serve rally with an UE on the FH which went wide. 11 winners to 2 UE from Alcaraz in that set, compared to 1 winner and 5 UE from Sinner in that set. I think the final count was something like 40 winners from Alcaraz to 20 from Sinner.
Another big battle in the opening game of the 4th set on Sinner’s serve, multiple deuces, Sinner saving BPs, both playing at a high level again. Some incredible pace from both off the baseline, some jaw-dropping stuff with some of the points looking like something out of a video game. Alcaraz broke in the 5th game, another UE from Sinner off the FH on a 2nd serve rally facing BP. Sinner kept fighting, took him to deuce when Alcaraz was serving for the match and saved the first 2 championship points, but overall wasn’t able to find his A game when he needed it.