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Would Federer have beaten Thiem in the 2020 AO final?

  • Yes

    Votes: 5 10.9%
  • No

    Votes: 41 89.1%
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Discussion Starter #1
Let's say that Federer miraculously managed to beat Djokovic (or somehow avoided him completely), made the final and was up against Thiem for his 21st slam. Would Federer have won?

Thiem has an impressive H2H against Federer, leading 5-2, but they're tied 2-2 on HC. They've never played at a slam, which works to Federer's advantage.

However, Federer wasn't exactly in the greatest form this tournament, as seen from his close calls against Sandgren and Millman. And also, despite his overwhelming experience, he still managed to fall against Tsitsipas last year. Failing to convert several BPs contributed to a large part of his defeat. Thiem seemed to be in excellent form and played relatively well throughput the tournament.

Would Federer have won? Federer's only non-Big 3 loss in a slam final was to del Potro back in 2009. Would experience or form rule the day?
 

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Only if in this scenario he was completely healthy and even then it would have been tough because the courts were playing really slow.
 

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not with the physical shape he was in. he was a mess all tourney. very lucky to win the 2 rds before novak. father time is undefeated.
 

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Substitute in Kyrgios and add that puppet umpire that called the time violation on Novak. Kyrgios gets kicked out for harassing the umpire and Fed wins by default.?
 

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Hard to say. Every generation since the Big 4 one have been complete FAILURES on the big stage under pressure. Thiem would probably be the favorite because of age, but that means nothing when your cajones shrivel up in slam Finals (Which he has done what?? 3 times now?). Thiem really shouldn't be losing at All to the big 3. Hes 26 and they are 56
 

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If it's a theoretical Federer who played at a high enough level to beat Djokovic in Australia, then sure, he could beat Thiem in the final
If it's the Federer we saw in the SF against Djokovic, but just transplanted into the final, then incredibly unlikely
 

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The way Federer was performing the last few rounds of AO along with his injury, no chance. May not even get a set.
 
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