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Let's see the contenders :

Ward
Dzumhur
Dustov
Gombos
Duckworth
Pouille
Zverev
Kubler
Saville
Nishioka
Chung
 

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duckworth, kokkinakis, millman and kubler are the easiest choices imo

all aussies, btw :lol:
 

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Duckworth and maybe Dustov.

Dustov has pretty much no points to defend for another month, so there is a lot of room to climb. If he doesn't do it now, though, I think it might be too late.

Can't really back Saville here given his scorelines after Wimbledon. He hasn't really beaten anyone exceptional.

Dzumhur should really break into the Top 100, but with R32 AO points coming off soon, it won't be easy.
 

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Millman, Herbert, Dustov, Gombos, Kubler, Kokkinakis, Duckworth, Dzumhur, Ward
 

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Got to keep in mind that some of those who got in in 2014 came from way back in the rankings, and that there is a group of young players moving up now at rate that is much faster than their slightly older peers (ie the 20-24 yr olds).

And some of those who looked closest didn't make it.

Ward surely has to fall over the line just by default, but then has been close for so long...Dzumhir loses too many points at AO though.

Most likely:

Alex Zverev
Thanasi Kokkinakis
John Millman
Yoshihito Nishioka
Hyeon Chung
Jarmere Jenkins
Jason Kubler
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Lucas Pouille

Good chance:

James Duckworth
James Ward
Nicolas Jarry
Chris O'Connell
Kimmer Koppejans
Elias Ymer
Liam Broady
Luke Saville
Kyle Edmund
Alex Bolt
Jordan Thompson
Christian Garin
Omar Jasika
 

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I think Herbert, Millman and Nishioki also stand a good chance :yeah:
 

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Duckworth and maybe Dustov.

Dustov has pretty much no points to defend for another month, so there is a lot of room to climb. If he doesn't do it now, though, I think it might be too late.
The depressing thing is how hard it really is to make the necessary inroads. I actually set up a spreadsheet to track those closest to the line plus my other picks.

There are 16 players ranked 101-150 who have yet to make it into top 100 (Ward, Dzumhir, Herbert, Kudryavtsev, Dustov, Gombos, Duckworth, Sugita, Elias, Pouille, Memendes-Maceires, Zverev, Kubler, Arguello, Moriya, Kokkinakis.

Three didn't play this week.

Seven lost in their first round (qualifying or challengers).

None qualified for the 250s (though a couple got wildcards).

As of Thursday pm Oz time, only two were still in play, Duckworth at Brisbane, and Menendes-Maceires (Noumea SF).

Only week 1 of course...
 

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For Millman, it depends on his health, last time he was going to enter he had to stop because of his shoulder.

In last weeks he had a back problem.

How is he now ? (I know he's in semifinal in Kyoto, yes)

Bagnis or Elias may have a shot, maybe

Most likely:

Alex Zverev
Thanasi Kokkinakis
John Millman
Yoshihito Nishioka
Hyeon Chung
Jarmere Jenkins
Jason Kubler
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Lucas Pouille
what makes you think that about Jarmere Jenkins ? :confused:
 
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