[masterclass]

Off season Prediction thread.

Lleyton Hewitt (AUS) - 2 majors, will turn 39 first, currently world #50.
Roger Federer (SUI) - 17 majors, will turn 39, currently world #2.
Stan Wawrinka (SUI) - 1 major, will turn 35, currently world #4.
Rafael Nadal (ESP) - 14 majors, will turn 34, currently world #3.
Andy Murray (GBR) - 2 majors, will turn 33,currently world #6.
Novak Djokovic (SRB) - 7 majors, will turn 33, currently world #1.
Juan Martin del Potro (ARG) - 1 major, will turn 32, currently world #137.
Marin Cilic (CRO) - 1 major, will turn 32 last, currently world #9.

None of the above

Respectfully,
masterclass

 

[TennisPhan1]

Fed fo sho.

 

[DDRickyDD]

Hewitt, Federer, Nadal, Murray and Wawrinka will be retired.

Del Potro and Cilic will still still be playing but way outside the top ten.

Djokovic will be at the top or near the top of the game.

So, just Djokovic, to answer your question.

 

[Looner]

Djokovic and possibly Del Potro but that's it.

 

[17-6-302]

Dull will be out of the top 10 by 2020 easily if he's playing till then which he won't. Federer won't be around that long either. Hewitt...no comments :lol: For that matter I don't see Djokovic around either. I only see Waw, Cilic and Potro(if he isn't injured) around at that time and they'd probably be borderline top 10-top 15.

 

[bry17may]

None, since 1973 we only have 7 players with 33+ years old who were in the Top 10. Rosewall, Laver, Ashe, Connors, Lendl, Agassi and Federer. The only one who has a good shot it is Djokovic but I don't think so

 

[TheEndIsNear]

Only Djokovic will be, and maybe Del Potro if he actually comes back injury free.

Hewitt and Federer are too old, won't even be playing in 2020. Wawrinka is too inconsistent and will drop sooner or later. Cilic isn't good enough (most of the time). Murray and Nadal will both fall apart physically by then.

 

[Mountaindewslave]

none of them most likely, although I am not sure how serious I can take this thread

 

[cinnabar]

One week left...cant come soon enough

 

[masterclass]

None, since 1973 we only have 7 players with 33+ years old who were in the Top 10. Rosewall, Laver, Ashe, Connors, Lendl, Agassi and Federer. The only one who has a good shot it is Djokovic but I don't think so

Good listing of those top players with longevity, I'll elaborate a bit below.
According to ATP rankings (starting 1973...)

Ken Rosewall - Longevity King (OE) - #9 at age 41 in June '76 (He turned 42 later in the year, was #13 at year's end)

Rod Laver - Grand Slam King (2) - #10 at age 37 in December '75.

Arthur Ashe - Humanitarian King - #7 at age 36 in December '79.

Jimmy Connors - Title King - #10 at age 36 in April '89, top 20 until Feb '90.

Andre Agassi - Return King - #10 at age 35 11+ months in April 2006.

*Roger Federer - King - certain to be #2 at age 33 and 5+ months in Jan 2014.

Ivan Lendl - Masters King - #7 at age 33 and 5 months in August '93.

*Still active

+Note that Richard "Pancho" Gonzales, another Longevity King, was considered world #6 in 1969 (prior to ATP rankings) at the age of 41 and was still capable of beating world #1 Laver a year later, and 3 months short of his 44th birthday in 1972 won his last title.

--------------------

Given the longevity of those great top players mentioned, why the "None" conclusion?
Is the quality of the youngest players such that the top quality older ones will be replaced in 5 years?
Injury may take it's toll on some who are the most prone, sure.
Age and Motivation on others, maybe.

Is it unreasonable to say 2 or 3 of the 6 slam winners in the current top 10 might be in the top in 5 years? Granted it is obviously almost impossible to say with any certainty. It's a just for fun thread anyway, which hopefully will be most fun to read in 5 years.

Curiously, Roger Federer was World #1 in 2005 and five years later in 2010, and now five years later in 2015, has a chance to be #1 again. That's appr. 3 generations of players at the top. Who would have predicted that?

In 1995, 3 repeated, in 2000, the top 2 repeated, in 2005, only the #1 Agassi, and he was a 3-peat, in 2010, only the top 2 from 2005 repeated. In 2015, the top 4 repeated, and one, Federer was a 3-peat.

Given his age and lack of serious injuries and flexibility, I think Mr. Novak Djokovic has a solid chance of repeating again unless motivation wanes. I won't write Mr. Federer off until he decides to hang up his racquet. Mr. Nadal might extend his career by playing 40-60 matches/year. Mr. Del Potro is still young and has missed about 2 years and if he isn't in an injured phase, could be there in 2020, given his quality.

Repeat - Three-peat

Jan 1, 1995....................................Jan 1, 2000....................................Jan 1, 2005.....................................Jan 1, 2010........................................Jan 1, 2015
01 Sampras, Pete (USA....................01 Agassi, Andre (USA)....................01 Federer, Roger (SUI).....................01 Federer, Roger (SUI).......................01 Djokovic, Novak (SRB)
02 Agassi, Andre (USA)....................02 Kafelnikov, Yevgeny (RUS)...........02 Roddick, Andy (USA).....................02 Nadal, Rafael (ESP).........................02 Federer, Roger (SUI)
03 Becker, Boris (GER)......................03 Sampras, Pete (USA)..................03 Hewitt, Lleyton (AUS)...................03 Djokovic, Novak (SRB).....................03 Nadal, Rafael (ESP)
04 Bruguera, Sergi (ESP).................04 Enqvist, Thomas (SWE)...............04 Safin, Marat (RUS)........................04 Murray, Andy (GBR).........................04 Wawrinka, Stan (SUI
05 Ivanisevic, Goran (CRO)..............05 Kuerten, Gustavo (BRA)..............05 Moya, Carlos (ESP).......................05 Del Potro, Juan Martin.....................05 Nishikori, Kei (JPN)
06 Chang, Michael (USA)..................06 Kiefer, Nicolas (GER)....................06 Henman, Tim (GBR).......................06 Davydenko, Nikolay (RUS)..............06 Murray, Andy (GBR)
07 Edberg, Stefan (SWE).................07 Martin, Todd (USA)......................07 Coria, Guillermo (ARG)..................07 Roddick, Andy (USA)........................07 Berdych, Tomas (CZE)
08 Berasategui, Alberto (ESP)..........08 Lapentti, Nicolas (ECU)...............08 Agassi, Andre (USA).....................08 Soderling, Robin (SWE)...................08 Raonic, Milos (CAN)
09 Stich, Michael (GER).....................09 Rios, Marcelo (CHI).....................09 Nalbandian, David (ARG)..............09 Verdasco, Fernando (ESP)...............09 Cilic, Marin (CRO)
10 Martin, Todd (USA)......................10 Krajicek, Richard (NED)...............10 Gaudio, Gaston (ARG)...................10 Tsonga, Jo-Wilfried (FRA).................10 Ferrer, David (ESP)

Agassi #8 in 1990, not a slam winner yet, but 2 slam finals in 1990, with 1st slam in '92.
Becker #2 in 1990
Chang #6 in 1990
Edberg #3 in 1990

Respectfully,
masterclass

 

[Huckleberry Z.]

Djokovic and Murray, and maybe del Potro depending on injuries.

 

[Ady0101]

Novak and maybe Delpo as well

 

[Heroic Atreides]

Only Djokovic will be, and maybe Del Potro if he actually comes back injury free.

Hewitt and Federer are too old, won't even be playing in 2020. Wawrinka is too inconsistent and will drop sooner or later. Cilic isn't good enough (most of the time). Murray and Nadal will both fall apart physically by then.

I agree with the above, with one small correction: "and maybe Del Potro if he actually manages to stay injury free until 2020."

Djokovic will surely play at 33 years old and he will still have a good shot to stay inside the top 10.

 

[BankaiKenpachi]

I don't want to make myself look stupid 5 years from now, since I just visited the thread created 5 years ago predicting top 5 in 2015. To my surprise, Nadal was seriously underestimated even in 2010; many predicting his body would not hold up till 2015. In 2020, Nadal will be around 33, 34, and possibly already surpassed Fed's total slam counts. But as long as he plays, he will be at least top 10, those writing off Nadal now will look real stupid in 2020, mark my words.

 

[TheEndIsNear]

I agree with the above, with one small correction: "and maybe Del Potro if he actually manages to stay injury free until 2020."

Djokovic will surely play at 33 years old and he will still have a good shot to stay inside the top 10.

Yea, that's what I meant. Just came out wrong.

 

[BankaiKenpachi]

I agree with the above, with one small correction: "and maybe Del Potro if he actually manages to stay injury free until 2020."

Djokovic will surely play at 33 years old and he will still have a good shot to stay inside the top 10.

Djokovic will be top 3 even at 33. Who would've predicted Federer would be No.2 to kick off 2015 season 5 years ago? Djokovic is the same caliber player as Federer and is physically fit more than any player, so I see no reason why he won't be top 3 in 5 years.

 

[GasquetGulbis]

When Lleyton Hewitt makes his comeback to the Top 10 in 2020, you people will have to worship me as a god for predicting it.

 

[Andrej]

Rafa - yes, he only needs to play a decent clay season to do that.
Djokovic - yes
Murray - yes
The rest - no

 

[Popo21]

Djokovic and Cilic will probably be the only two still playing by then, with the others too old and Murray/Delpo both retired from injuries. Doubt Cilic will be in the top ten by 2016, so I think the only person will be Djokovic

 

[Cloren]

Only Djokovic.

Del Potro is too injury prone, so I doubt he'll be there.

The rest, I will be very surprised if they make it.