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Discussion Starter #461
59 Thiem to beat Wawrinka @ 2.14 (8 units to win 9.12 units)
60 Thiem (-3.5 games) to beat Wawrinka @ 3.25 (5 units to win 11.25 units)

I'm coming for you Stan...
 

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Discussion Starter #462
59 Thiem to beat Wawrinka @ 2.14 LOSS
60 Thiem (-3.5 games) to beat Wawrinka @ 3.25 LOSS

2017 Record: 19-39-2 (-47.40 units)

Another third-set TB troll-job from Stan, I am not worthy.
 

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Discussion Starter #463
61 Kozlov to beat Donaldson @ 2.49 (5 units to win 7.46 units)

Despite a couple of questionable results from Kozlov lately, I think this matchup on this surface still suits him. Miami is slow, low-bouncing, sticky conditions and that doesn't tend to fit into the style of an angry ballbasher like Donaldson. Kozlov will be patient and work Donaldson around the court and hopefully force a few errors, he did indeed beat him in straights a few weeks ago in Mexico as underdog and the odds are similar here, ideally a similar result.

Good luck.
 

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Discussion Starter #464
LOSS

2017 Record: 19-40-2 (-52.40 units)
 

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Discussion Starter #465
62 Istomin to beat Kuznetsov @ 1.74 (6 units to win 4.44 units)

63 Khachanov to beat Schwartzman @ 1.82 (5 units to win 4.1 units)

64 Chung to beat Dzumhur @ 2.30 (4 units to win 5.2 units)

65 Albot to beat Seppi @ 2.23 (5 units to win 6.15 units)

Maybe too many bets but feeling confident today. Let's do this
 

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Discussion Starter #466
4 losses, couple of final-set breakers, 5MPs etc...when it ain't your day

2017 Record: 19-44-2 (-72.40 units)
 

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At the beginning of the tournament before Miami started they had Federer at 2.50 to win the title with Nadal 2nd favourite at 7.50

I thought Nadal's odds were extremely juicy considering he's made the final here 4 times before and that Djokovic + Murray weren't playing.
 

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Discussion Starter #468
66 Tsonga to beat Ferrer 2-0 @ 2.15 (5 units to win 5.75 units)

67 Schwartzman to beat Nishikori @ 2.50 (4 units to win 6 units)

Good luck.

Resisting the temptation to fade Nadal and Wawrinka, hopefully i'm right to.
 

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Discussion Starter #469
VOID
LOSS

2017 Record: 19-45-3 (-76.40 units)

Nish undoubtedly there for the taking today, ah well.
 

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Discussion Starter #470
68 Goffin to beat Raonic @ 1.90 (5 units to win 4.5 units)

3 completed matches in their career-HTH, all have gone tight into a decider. Raonic edges that but this, their first meeting on clay, would to me suggest Goffin will have the advantage. Goffin was striking the ball extremely well towards the end of his match against Mayer and, despite the server-friendly conditions in Madrid, he will surely get enough balls back to be able to create a few chances on return here.

69 Kyrgios to beat Nadal @ 3.25 (4 units to win 9 units)

Not normally a good idea to fade Nadal on clay when he's on an 11-match winning-streak on the surface but here we go...i'm pretty happy to ignore the hip-problems that Kyrgios has been showcasing, it's not affected his tennis much so far given he's 8 sets played, 8 sets won in singles and doubles this week. Most importantly, he's a pure big-match player and this is primetime, full-stadium situation where he has a chance to be centre of attention again, which he obviously enjoys. Nadal was patchy at best against Fogna, who himself was playing the aggressor as well and almost got the win. Has to be the play of the day today.

Good luck.
 

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Discussion Starter #471
68 Goffin to beat Raonic @ 1.90 = WIN
69 Kyrgios to beat Nadal @ 3.25 = LOSS

2017 Record: 20-46-3 (-75.90 units)
 

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Discussion Starter #472
70 Ferrer to beat Lopez @ 1.93 (8 units to win 7.44 units)

Ferrer is generally awful lately and the spiral he's got into where he's playing with no confidence means he's in danger of having an irreversible trend which leads to him being finished at this level. But managed a couple of decent matches last week in Madrid - beating Kukushkin after struggling will have helped mentally and he fought well against Nishikori too. Lopez unsurprisingly fared well in Madrid, only losing a tight one to Djokovic but the altitude there was a strong advantage which he won't get here, so Ferrer ought to be able to get more balls in play and test out Lopez's BH and movement. The matchup is relatively tight at 10-7 to Ferrer, but he has won all 6 meetings on the dirt which is fairly significant, with only one being close. That is enough for me to favour Ferrer to get the better of this one.

71 Mahut to beat Paire @ 2.97 (4 units to win 7.88 units)

This feels a lot closer than the odds suggest. There's sure to be a certain over-reaction to Paire's win against Stan, which was pretty unsurprising for both players since they both blow hot and cold. Indeed, Paire has lost 5 of his last 8 on what is arguably his better surface of clay, and he's up against someone in Mahut who doesn't have much to shout at on clay over the years but he's gathered some decent enough wins too, including against Sock last week and he also pushed Cuevas closer than Paire managed in Madrid. They're playing in the heat of the afternoon which should aid the serve and that ought to keep this one tight.

Good luck.
 

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Discussion Starter #473
70 Ferrer to beat Lopez @ 1.93 = WIN
71 Mahut to beat Paire @ 2.97 = LOSS

2017 Record: 21-47-3 (-72.46 units)

Paire was mentally stable today, unfortunately.
 

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Discussion Starter #476
72 Carreño Busta to beat Bautista Agut @ 1.91 (5 units to win 4.55 units)

73 Edmund to beat Del Potro @ 4.20 (3 units to win 9.6 units)

74 Haas to beat Raonic @ 7.00 (2 units to win 12 units)

Good luck.
 

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Discussion Starter #477
72 Carreño Busta to beat Bautista Agut @ 1.91 (5 units to win 4.55 units)

73 Edmund to beat Del Potro @ 4.20 (3 units to win 9.6 units)

74 Haas to beat Raonic @ 7.00 (2 units to win 12 units)

Good luck.
LOSS x3

2017 Record: 21-50-3 (-82.46 units)
 
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