it's not over yet. but you're right to some extent: guys with a game like safin (and tsonga's game resembles with it) plus a little consistency over 3-4 sets can bash balls hard enough to outplay nadal. his spin is exactly what they need, crushing strokes onto nadal's side all the time.Nice draw though, keep beating clowns.
Nadal just can't impose his game on good opponents on hardcourts.
He plays defensive and gets passed, he plays attacking and misses too much.
It's not going to work.
He needs a big serve then get the first strike in.
He rarely delivers that.
That's why it's not working for him as soon as someone comes along with a bit more to them.