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Next New Number 1?


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Who will be the next new number one, for me it will be Murray next year.
 

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Who will be the next new number one, for me it will be Murray next year.
At what point next year, do you think?

The question is complete guesswork, currently there's no indication of who it will be.
 

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Discussion Starter #4
At what point next year, do you think?

The question is complete guesswork, currently there's no indication of who it will be.
I'm thinking just after US Open, he'll probably win wimbledon next year and will greatly improve his performance from the first half of the season. This year I think he will have a good run post US Open winning one masters 1000 paris or Shanghai and maybe world tour finals. :worship:
 

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Murray missed his chance to be #1 in 2012/2013. Murray just does not have the consistency to get to #1 an him being awful on clay makes it even more difficult.
 

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Murray missed his chance to be #1 in 2012/2013. Murray just does not have the consistency to get to #1 an him being awful on clay makes it even more difficult.
This.

At this point it's really hard to predict who will step up. Wawa doesn't have it in him and he will decline before Djokodal. If Delpo can make another good comeback he has a chance due to how useless the 'young guns' are.
 

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Murray is currently 12th in the race, people, let's be real.

Realistically, it looks like its going to be either Djokovic or Nadal from now until at least some time in 2015.

The only one who really has a chance to take #1 would be Wawrinka, but he is so damn inconsistent from week to week you don't know if he will win the tournament or lose 1st round. Fed has a very small chance, but skipping Rome and now with 4 children in tow, it will be even more tough.
 

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It would suck for Murray after ALL of this time at the top, all of this work, winning slams, etc. if some one else random hit #1 before he did and possibly with him never doing it
 

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It would suck for Murray after ALL of this time at the top, all of this work, winning slams, etc. if some one else random hit #1 before he did and possibly with him never doing it
During 12 months period between Wimbledon 2012 and 2013 Murray has won 2 GS, played 2 more GS finals and won 1 Masters and Olympic gold.

That was enough for 9300 points, some 3000 behind no.1.

Wawrinka's highest career sum by far is his current 6300 points and it also doesn't look likely that eventual 9300 will be enough for a few weeks at no. 1. this year.

To reach those 9300 Wawrinka should win another GS, make yet another GS F and two masters titles at least .

For a new no.1 some time this or next year it will take both Nadal and Djokovic to drastically drop their level at the same period, so that 9500 points shall be enough, because if Djokovic's and Nadal's slump is 3-4 months apart it again takes huge effort to dethrone reigning no.1.
 

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This.

At this point it's really hard to predict who will step up. Wawa doesn't have it in him and he will decline before Djokodal. If Delpo can make another good comeback he has a chance due to how useless the 'young guns' are.
His recent "good comeback" was nowhere near enough to be close to reaching number 1, so what makes you think as he ages he will have more of a chance?
 

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His recent "good comeback" was nowhere near enough to be close to reaching number 1, so what makes you think as he ages he will have more of a chance?
Because he's a bit younger than Djokodal and could capitalise on the period where they're on the way out and the new guys are on the way up. Big if obviously, but talking about unproven characters like Dimitrov, Thiem etc reaching the very top is equally as speculative imo.
 

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Because he's a bit younger than Djokodal and could capitalise on the period where they're on the way out and the new guys are on the way up. Big if obviously, but talking about unproven characters like Dimitrov, Thiem etc reaching the very top is just as speculative imo.
Age is not relevant in this case at all. The primary reason of why the age issue is raised is due to natural physical decline. Forget the wrist issues, Del Potro is not close to being in the kind of condition of Nadal, much less Djokovic.

I never speculated that Dimitrov or Thiem would become number 1, I think it's far more reasonable and logical though to conclude that a young player born in the 90's will be the next number 1. Far, far more likely than Del Potro, who hasn't reached a slam final since the US Open in 2009 and hasn't won a Masters Series title in his entire career and before the time he comes back he'll be 26 already. Aside from ability, Del Potro likely doesn't have the physical conditioning to play as many successful matches as is required to become number 1.
 

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Age is not relevant in this case at all. The primary reason of why the age issue is raised is due to natural physical decline. Forget the wrist issues, Del Potro is not close to being in the kind of condition of Nadal, much less Djokovic.

I never speculated that Dimitrov or Thiem would become number 1, I think it's far more reasonable and logical though to conclude that a young player born in the 90's will be the next number 1. Far, far more likely than Del Potro, who hasn't reached a slam final since the US Open in 2009 and hasn't won a Masters Series title in his entire career and before the time he comes back he'll be 26 already. Aside from ability, Del Potro likely doesn't have the physical conditioning to play as many successful matches as is required to become number 1.
When Djokodal decline/retire the field will be wide open and a player probably won't need the extreme year-round dominance currently required to be #1. If Delpo can get back into form he is more than capable of successfully stringing a couple of good months together, especially without the pesky big 4 to stop him.
 

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When Djokodal decline/retire the field will be wide open and a player probably won't need the extreme year-round dominance currently required to be #1. If Delpo can get back into form he is more than capable of successfully stringing a couple of good months together, especially without the pesky big 4 to stop him.
If 2 m tall Delpo ever becomes no.1 it shall be transitional era with 3-4 players exchanging their no.1 spot that year with 7000 points each.
 
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