What you do, is you forget about statistics. You forget about subjective/emotional influences. You flush it all down the crapper, and instead follow the winner's path. You carefully watch and observe, until you come across those people who are so horribly bad, that they could win a world contest for chronic losers. You watch their every move...you take careful, painstaking careful notes of it...and then, without further ado, you bet on the exact, diametric opposites of whatsoever they may pick. It's a sure win solution. It's pretty much unbeatable. Think of all that hard work you save yourselves.