Medvedev has never won a single match in RG and he will face Marton Fucsovics who won his only ATP title on clay in Geneva 2 years ago.
Daniil lost his only match on clay this year against Humbert in Hamburg but Fucsovics did not play on clay yet.
Daniil should be able to win his first match in RG but this is certainly not the kind of first round he wanted to draw...
Fucsovics is not particularly great on clay himself. And his mentality is very up and down. But if he gets locked in his tryhard mod, every match has the potential to become extremely physical. No outcome will be surprising.
Possible scenarios: an epic great quality 5 set classic, an endless 5 set pushfest-mugfest with a gazillion implosions on both ends, an extra meh forgettable routine, or a straight set blow out to either side. 🤷