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I'm just wondering why this is the case? There will be 16 qualifiers & 3 LL, surely that means he only has a 3/16 chance (seeing as the draw was out before this match was played).
Actually there will be a draw between the best four ranked losers and Karatsev is among the best four ranked losers. And if another would withdraw (covid or injury), the 4 best ranked losers would be automatically put in the main draw.
If a fifth player from the main draw should withdraw, there will be a draw between the the fifth and eighth best ranked losers
 

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only one match remaining between Leonardo Mayer and Milojevic. If Leonardo would lose, he would be among the 4 best losers, so still a good chance to make it to the main draw
 

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Actually there will be a draw between the best four ranked losers and Karatsev is among the best four ranked losers. And if another would withdraw (covid or injury), the 4 best ranked losers would be automatically put in the main draw.
If a fifth player from the main draw should withdraw, there will be a draw between the the fifth and eighth best ranked losers
Are you sure? The rule says that, in case there is more than one withdrawal from the main draw, the number of losers taking part in the random LL draw is the number of withdrawals + 2. In this case, 3 + 2.
 

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Milojevic finally does it! Junior #1 with lots of injury woes finally in a Slam MD.
 

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3 American men make it through RG qualifying, when was the last time that happened?

[Edit] 2013--when Sock, Johnson, and Kudla qualified.
 
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