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who has the best chance

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· Future Prime Minister
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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
Who out of them 3 has the best chance of winning this years australian open il with
1-federer
2-murray
3-nadal

Interestingly nadal still 2nd favourite with the bookies but of the 3 I would say he is least likely to win given his lack of match play and poor results
 

· The Last Mohican
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25,146 Posts
Federer
Nadal
Murray

Depends on Fed's form, but if he's anything like the end of 2014 - he is certainly #1. Dull sucks but his defensive retrieving and moonballs will ensure he beats Roger in a SF or F. Think Murray is really overrated at the moment.
 

· The Last Mohican
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the only thing federer can win is a challenger event
What has Nadal done since USO'13? Nothing if we remove RG, where Novak was ill. Roger did incredibly well last year and if his current 2015 form resembles that of 2014, his level is definitely above Nadal and Murray - so that's why I'm questioning your "prediction". Roger could have won 2 slams last year and was severely unlucky not to win even a single one...
 

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What has Nadal done since USO'13? Nothing if we remove RG, where Novak was ill. Roger did incredibly well last year and if his current 2015 form resembles that of 2014, his level is definitely above Nadal and Murray - so that's why I'm questioning your "prediction". Roger could have won 2 slams last year and was severely unlucky not to win even a single one...
and what are those two slams? if I remember correctly, he was whitewashed in AO and US Open and fluked that 5th set against Djokovic, who was superior in that match
you tards are so blind, that you think he can win slams at 50
 

· Super Moderator
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and what are those two slams? if I remember correctly, he was whitewashed in AO and US Open and fluked that 5th set against Djokovic, who was superior in that match
you tards are so blind, that you think he can win slams at 50
We are talking about who has the better chances out of these 3 and that's obviously Federer.
 

· The Last Mohican
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and what are those two slams? if I remember correctly, he was whitewashed in AO and US Open and fluked that 5th set against Djokovic, who was superior in that match
you tards are so blind, that you think he can win slams at 50
Could have won Wimbledon if Djoker was mentally the same as RG'13 and USO'13. Djokovic recovered from those losses though, and unfortunately Fed was the victim. In USO, he should have won but Cilic played 1/10,000 tennis.

He also could have won the AO if Dull was on the other side of the draw and Djoker choked like he did against Stan.

He was unlucky, but the point is that he's right up there with the best when it comes to slam-winning potential.
 

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Lol at anyone who thinks Federer has a better chance than Nadal or Murray of winning any slam next year.

The stars aligned for the old man last year at Wimbledon. A joke draw and a terrible, choking Djokovic in the final on his beloved grass. His last chance and he bottled it.

As far as the slams go Federer is irrelevant these days. I doubt he'll even make a semi this year.
 

· The Last Mohican
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Lol at anyone who thinks Federer has a better chance than Nadal or Murray of winning any slam next year.

The stars aligned for the old man last year at Wimbledon. A joke draw and a terrible, choking Djokovic in the final on his beloved grass. His last chance and he bottled it.

As far as the slams go Federer is irrelevant these days. I doubt he'll even make a semi this year.
Roger made semis of AO and would have great chances against anyone other than Nadal. In Wimbledon, Djokovic choked, but recovered mentally. Something he never did in RG'13 and USO'13. He was due.

What about the USO? He would have won if Cilic didn't play the match of his life, and you say he got no chance? Stupid post really. Considering Nadal's form and Murray being overrated right now.
 

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Federer has no chance because of his age. And I'm not joking about it. Yes he still plays good to some extent but winning a slam not gonna happen ever again.

Murphy always has less chances by default.

And Nadal although rusty showed yesterday in the first set he can be a beast again. Will it happen? I don't know. But he has best chances if can manage to up his form.
 

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What has Nadal done since USO'13? Nothing if we remove RG, where Novak was ill. Roger did incredibly well last year and if his current 2015 form resembles that of 2014, his level is definitely above Nadal and Murray - so that's why I'm questioning your "prediction". Roger could have won 2 slams last year and was severely unlucky not to win even a single one...
So Nole when he looses to Rafa is always ill or sick. But Rafa after AO never had a back problem, in NA Swing he didnt have wrist injury, and in Asia he didnt have the APP.
 

· The Last Mohican
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So Nole when he looses to Rafa is always ill or sick. But Rafa after AO never had a back problem, in NA Swing he didnt have wrist injury, and in Asia he didnt have the APP.
Novak was ill in RG 2014, and that's not even up for debate. He wasn't fit to compete, and his stamina was shot. Nadal may have had a back issue during the AO but it was certainly after the first set, and it was probably exaggerated seeing that his serve was getting faster and faster during the match. The part that hurt Nadal was the fans boo'ing him, and that's why he cried.

As for the other examples, I honestly can't even remember. I've lost count of the sheer amount of "injuries". Why doesn't he ever get injured during clay season?

Anyway please stop going off topic. I rate Fed as #1 (best form probably), Nadal as #2 (he's not injured, just rusty - but not as good as Roger), Murray as #3 (overrated after Abu Dhabi).
 

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Could have won Wimbledon if Djoker was mentally the same as RG'13 and USO'13. Djokovic recovered from those losses though, and unfortunately Fed was the victim. In USO, he should have won but Cilic played 1/10,000 tennis.

He also could have won the AO if Dull was on the other side of the draw and Djoker choked like he did against Stan.

He was unlucky, but the point is that he's right up there with the best when it comes to slam-winning potential.
Strong arguments. :spit:

Unlucky, Djokovic's mentallity and would/should/could. Tennis expert at his peak.
 

· Premium Member
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I hate to say it, but Federer has the best shot out of these 3. Finished the year playing well, has no injury concerns. I fully expect him to take advantage if Djokovic finds a way to lose again before the final.
Murray is a bit of an unknown quantity. No idea if he is fully fit, finished the year playing badly, but he did overplay, maybe he would have performed better if not forced to play so much to reach London.
Rafa is not ready. Needs more matches under his belt to be competitive. I would consider reaching the QF a great result for him.
 

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I hate to say it, but Federer has the best shot out of these 3. Finished the year playing well, has no injury concerns. I fully expect him to take advantage if Djokovic finds a way to lose again before the final.
Murray is a bit of an unknown quantity. No idea if he is fully fit, finished the year playing badly, but he did overplay, maybe he would have performed better if not forced to play so much to reach London.
Rafa is not ready. Needs more matches under his belt to be competitive. I would consider reaching the QF a great result for him.
Hmmm, I disagree. Federer has not made a HC majors final for FIVE years now. At 33, I just don't think he has the legs to play seven best of five on outdoor HC anymore.

Nadal I think, if he plays himself into form in the tournament at least has a chance of winning.

Murray - given his struggles last season, I don't see him dramatically improving now. Will the off season be enough for him to recover after that dreadful WTF?
 

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Lol at anyone who thinks Federer has a better chance than Nadal or Murray of winning any slam next year.

The stars aligned for the old man last year at Wimbledon. A joke draw and a terrible, choking Djokovic in the final on his beloved grass. His last chance and he bottled it.

As far as the slams go Federer is irrelevant these days. I doubt he'll even make a semi this year.
:haha: I can understand you favoring Nadal over Federer (though to me that's doubtful). But Murray hahaha after his pathetic 2014? He could lose to anyone down under
 

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And, it's not really true that "the stars need to align" for Federer. Though he has declined a lot, this era is shit and Fed's #2 ranking is actually accurate.
He is bookie's second favorite for the AO title as well.

If Fed and Nadal meet in the semis it will probably mean that Nadal has played himself into form and I give Nadal 70% chance of a win there. But to me it's slightly more likely for Nadal to lose before semis than Federer doing that.
If the final is Federer - Djokovic I'd say it's maybe 60-65% for Djoker.

Other than that I give Federer the edge in every match he plays. Doesn't mean he's guaranteed to make the semis of course, but beforehand it's hard to predict anything else.
 
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