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For all the scare talk about his knee and his razor-close, marathon win vs Khachanov, oddsmakers still have Rafa ahead of Novak and Roger to win USO 2018.

Do they know something we don't, or are they setting up the squares for an epic fail?
 

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He's the bookies favourite but he's not odds on, or even close. He's just over 2/1 on Betfair, Djokovic is 5/2 and Federer is just over 5/1, and it's 14/1 bar.

Should he be the favourite? I wouldn't bet him at this stage and I"m a fan. There are a number of banana skins on the path to the title but we'll see.
 

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He's the bookies favourite but he's not odds on, or even close. He's just over 2/1 on Betfair, Djokovic is 5/2 and Federer is just over 5/1, and it's 14/1 bar.

Should he be the favourite? I wouldn't bet him at this stage and I"m a fan. There are a number of banana skins on the path to the title but we'll see.

The biggest banana skin is out of the way, that was Khachanov. Nadal will never get a better chance to defend a major on hardcourts. He might drop a set or two in the last 8 and last 4, but his path to the final is clear. Whoever makes it to the final from the Federer/Djokovic/Zverev/Cilic section will be bruised badly before the final. Nadal will be able to pick them off in the final.
 

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And? With his favorable draw, being fave is expected.
 

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For all the scare talk about his knee and his razor-close, marathon win vs Khachanov, oddsmakers still have Rafa ahead of Novak and Roger to win USO 2018.

Do they know something we don't, or are they setting up the squares for an epic fail?
weren't you the same one who posted odds before the USO showing Djok at 24%, Rafa ast 18% and Fed at 15% (I can't belelive I remember that).

So why do they like him so much better now, when he played a really dubious match last night?

I agree, doesn't make sense. I haven't seen enough of the others to have an opinion on their level.
 

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Wont be surprised if he faces clay court specialist Thiem in QF
Even if he faces Anderson, Big Kev will choke on the important moments like usual. :shrug:

If Del Potro or perhaps Raonic makes the semis and has a great day, they might take Rafa out but that too is doubtful.

Wouldn't surprise me if Rafa's QF and SF opponents are Thiem and Coric though :lol:
 

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weren't you the same one who posted odds before the USO showing Djok at 24%, Rafa ast 18% and Fed at 15% (I can't belelive I remember that).



So why do they like him so much better now, when he played a really dubious match last night?



I agree, doesn't make sense. I haven't seen enough of the others to have an opinion on their level.


Dull is through to R4 and Djokovic and Federer aren’t.

Assuming Djokovic makes it through today, he will probably be favourite again.

I think Dull should be though.


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For all the scare talk about his knee and his razor-close, marathon win vs Khachanov, oddsmakers still have Rafa ahead of Novak and Roger to win USO 2018.

Do they know something we don't, or are they setting up the squares for an epic fail?
Well they know something YOU don't.

They know that Nadal won 2009 Australian Open with knee tendinitis.
They know that Nadal won 2010 French Open with knee tendinitis.
They know that Nadal won 2010 Wimbledon with knee tendinitis.

And they know the slams Nadal lost via injury like 2010ao (hip), 2011ao (hamstring), 2014ao (back), 2016rg (wrist) were not knee tendinitis.
And they know that when Moya was asked about Nadal's knees yesterday he laughed it off, and that Nadal said he's 100% ready for the 4th Round.
They also know that Nadal moved faster yesterday than he moved at Wimbledon.

The way I see it, knee tendinitis doesn't usually restrict Nadal's movement, it just makes him play in pain (and he took painkillers for every match at the 2009 Australian Open).
 

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Dull is through to R4 and Djokovic and Federer aren’t.

Assuming Djokovic makes it through today, he will probably be favourite again.

I think Dull should be though.


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You're about to be wrong about Fed, and if you want to talk to me, lose the dull
 

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Can't look past tonight's night of sleep
 

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Del Potro seems like the biggest threat to Rafa before the final and he seems to be playing very well. Nobody is talking about the Argentine but I have a feeling he has a good chance to win this event again.
 

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I think Del Potro might be the favorite right now to win it all. As long as he doesn't have any long extended matches. Of course it is Del Potro we are talking about at the moment he's probably playing better tennis than the big 3.
 

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I think Del Potro might be the favorite right now to win it all. As long as he doesn't have any long extended matches. Of course it is Del Potro we are talking about at the moment he's probably playing better tennis than the big 3.
I think regardless of Del Potro's form there should be extreme skepticism because he lost to Nadal at 2017 US Open, 2018 Roland Garros, 2018 Wimbledon.
I mean his confidence would not be high when he faces Nadal after all that, so even if Del Potro ends up playing better, Nadal has a mental edge.
 
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