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Discussion Starter #1
Loss to Brown in Halle means nothing. Halle grass is super fast and low bounce unlike Wimbledon. And why would Rafa put a lot of effort and risk losing to Federer in the final here? Better lose to an unknown player.

Rafa has been unlucky the past two years drawing red hot Rosol and focused Darcis. He's bound to draw some clay courters first week and make it to the second week where grass will slow down significantly. Here he's favorite against everyone:

1- Murray: Injured and still recovering.
2- Djokovic: Chokes against Nadal at slams.
3- Federer: Old shadow of his former self. Won't beat Nadal on slow high bouncing grass.
4- Wawrinka: Can't play on grass.
5- Berdych: Need I say anything?
6- Tsonga: Not in form.
 

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Yeap, Rafa is a big favorite for every slam. Come to think of it, he may do the calendar grand slam next year. It's almost NID.
 

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Well if we look at the people he's lost to in the last four years on grass...

Kohli, Rosol, Darcis and Brown. None of them world beaters but all of them players who first off can hit very hot form - Rosol and Brown are notably unpredictable. Secondly and more importantly, none of them have gamestyles that are similar to Nadal. When you are facing a similay player - let's simply call them a grinder, nothing negative intended - and you are Nadal you know that you do the same things as them but better. When you play the above four, they do some things better than you do. You are a better player but simply because they have different strengths to you, you are more vulnerable.

So simplistically, whilst his draws have not necessarily been straightforwardly difficult, they have been potentially tricky - as has turned out to be the case. Many players will believe they have a chance against him in the first week. He will be hoping to draw players who are more comfortable on Clay. That is obvious, but still needs saying because we know that of all the top four contenders, Nadal is the one must vulnerable in week 1. For this reason, he is not the favourite for the tournament as a whole - that is Murray and Djokovic, with Federer not far back, much as they all have their own question marks.

Once we get to the quarter finals, if Nadal is still in, we might be able to reasonably call him the favourite.
 

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3/10.

No creativity, no passion, this is very tired trolling.
 

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No he won´t he will loose in R1 R2 to some mug - who will be later named grass goat by nadaltards, NAdal is making R2 of Wimledon only by retirement or playing clay mug in R1 like Carreno busta, Lorenzi and so on
 

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I am confident in Rafa
 

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Discussion Starter #14
Well if we look at the people he's lost to in the last four years on grass...

Kohli, Rosol, Darcis and Brown. None of them world beaters but all of them players who first off can hit very hot form - Rosol and Brown are notably unpredictable. Secondly and more importantly, none of them have gamestyles that are similar to Nadal. When you are facing a similay player - let's simply call them a grinder, nothing negative intended - and you are Nadal you know that you do the same things as them but better. When you play the above four, they do some things better than you do. You are a better player but simply because they have different strengths to you, you are more vulnerable.

So simplistically, whilst his draws have not necessarily been straightforwardly difficult, they have been potentially tricky - as has turned out to be the case. Many players will believe they have a chance against him in the first week. He will be hoping to draw players who are more comfortable on Clay. That is obvious, but still needs saying because we know that of all the top four contenders, Nadal is the one must vulnerable in week 1. For this reason, he is not the favourite for the tournament as a whole - that is Murray and Djokovic, with Federer not far back, much as they all have their own question marks.

Once we get to the quarter finals, if Nadal is still in, we might be able to reasonably call him the favourite.
Good Post!
 

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Loss to Brown in Halle means nothing. Halle grass is super fast and low bounce unlike Wimbledon. And why would Rafa put a lot of effort and risk losing to Federer in the final here? Better lose to an unknown player.

Rafa has been unlucky the past two years drawing red hot Rosol and focused Darcis. He's bound to draw some clay courters first week and make it to the second week where grass will slow down significantly. Here he's favorite against everyone:

1- Murray: Injured and still recovering.
2- Djokovic: Chokes against Nadal at slams.
3- Federer: Old shadow of his former self. Won't beat Nadal on slow high bouncing grass.
4- Wawrinka: Can't play on grass.
5- Berdych: Need I say anything?
6- Tsonga: Not in form.
But he has to make it that far to beat these players. His track record the last few years is, um, not too good.:D
 

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The OP is correct. The rest of the tour is useless at the moment. Nadal's path to the title is clear. Neither Murray or Djokovic are beating Nadal in a major anytime soon. All Nadal has to do is avoid a big hitter during the first week. Once he does that, the title will be his.
 
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