Nadal: Nobody would be shocked if he loses early, but if he reaches the SF he becomes the favorite. Also 'back problems'.
Djokovic: It's his worst surface, anything can happen. Golubev might GOAT, Tsonga might rise again, who knows. If he survives that Gulbis or Berdych are waiting. And if he makes it to the SF and Murray is there he won't be the favorite. And if he reaches the final and an opponent shows up he won't be the favorite there either. Also 'wrist problems'.
Murray: Theoretically a cakewalk to the SF, but who knows in his current form? His confidence probably took a hit after getting demolished by Nadal and a painful defeat against Stepanek. Also 'coach problems'.
Federer: Easy QF with Wawrinka, but has to start the tournament off with Benneteau/Muller -> Mahut -> Janowicz, who if he gets there shouldn't be as easy to crack as the rest of the year. If Stakhovsky can beat him they can as well. Who knows, if Nadal bombs out early his opening rounds will be harder than his QF and SF. Also old.
Nothing would surprise me, even a first time Grand Slam winner :shrug:
Federer was a very strong favorite at AO 2010. There were plenty of capable contenders, sure, but one towered over them and ended up winning, naturally.
Yeah it's pretty open but honestly Nadal has this on lockdown. He won't flame out early three years in a row, and there is no other serious competition at the moment. The younger talent all have bad draws so this will end up as Nadal d. Murray 5-7 6-2 6-4 6-3
Not sure if it's the most open of the last ten years, but probably the most open in at least the last few years. Still, despite all of their "problems" it would be very surprising to me if someone outside the Big 4 took the title.
It's the most open in the sense that the #1 pick for the tournament (whoever that individual is, we can't even decide) has a significantly smaller degree of consensus than at any other slam for the last 10 years.
I don´t see how is it really more open than last year wimbledon, the winner will be from top 4 i personally don´t give chance to Rafa but let´s say top 4, i thought Tomas might have chance but Nole being in his draw he won´t win this so it´s going to be Murray, Nole or Roger. People really writing here stuff like most open slam in years like whole top 20 has chance to win this.... there were many HC slams more open than this in last 3 years like when you had big 4 + Delpo, Tsonga or Berdych in form, here we have just 3 players - Roger, Nole, Murray
Sadly, this slam is open not because of the many players peaking, it's because main players have their issues and everybody else sucks ass.
Nadal will probably win by beating Murray in the final. Or if Nadal fails again (not likely), Murray is pretty much the lock. Pusher and moonballer favorites on grass
So idk about "the most open", but it's definitely the most disgusting slam in many years. I won't even bother watching.
Easily the most open since ... last year's Wimbledon. I said then I didn't see the winner coming from outside the Big Four, and I think it'll be the same this year. I've no idea who it'll be, though ...
Open in the sense that the Big 4 are collectively in rather poor form. I'm sure the underlings will still find a way to make sure one of them is crowned champion at the end though :shrug:
Nadal is in poor form on grass and Murray overall.
Wouldn't say Fed and Djoko are out of form altogether or even on grass. Yes, I know, Nole has not played on the surface this year yet, but you just cannot underestimate him, while you can surely do it for the other 2: given their ups and downs this year, after aging too much and struggling by returning from major surgery.
You could say that but then watch the top 4 seeds make the semi finals and bore us all into oblivion once again.
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