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Robin Soderling - Gilles Simon

Well well, both players are on fire in Rotterdam. Soderling after reaching quarters in Marsielle progressing one more round here. Opponents were Baggy, Verdasco and Seppi. Only Marcos could put some battle on court, but also did some bad stuff in the end of third set. Verdasco just threw all away after wasting 0-40 on Soderling serve in first set. And Seppi was just in tanking mode after some surprising wins over Hewitt and Rafa. Soderling just keep playing his game - powerful serve and booming flat groundstrokes without any plan B. Still I can't give him big advantage due his mental weakness. He is good as underdog, but so big favorite vs very good Simon. I saw Gilles many times in these two weeks and I must say that He is showing very nice game especially from baseline - very hard to hit winner vs him. Also He held "tie break master" Tipsarevic in two TB's, that show His big confidence and mental strength right now. I think this slow indoor suits Simon a little bit, because He is more steady player. H2h is 1-1 with both indoors meetings last year. From that I see that Simon can deal with Soderling serve, and also can outplay him from baseline, moving him on court and don't allow hit big strokes. So I really like Simon tonight with amazing odds.

Pick: Simon
Odds: 2.98
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 5/10
 

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Llodra to beat Karlovic @ 2.56.

Being a world class doubles player, Llodra should be well equipped in dealing with big serve and vollyers. Llodra should be able to get a few of Ivo's first serves back and he will go after the 2nd serve through the use of slices and chip and charges which Ivo won't be too comfortable dealing with. Llodra has been serving like a demon all week and it will be hard for Ivo to break him. Also being a left hander will allow Llodra to get a number of free points with his swinging serve out wide to the poor Karlovic backhand. This will probably go to 2 or maybe 3 tie breaks but I'm backing the craft of the Frenchman to get him through this match.

Simon to beat Soderling @ 3.25

Soderling has been superb this week but Simon is an altogether different test. Before today Soderling had played Baggy and Verdasco who struggle against big servers and against Seppi who was dead tired after some gruelling matches. Simon on the otherhand is great at neutralising power players - he is a similar, albeit poorer version of Andy Murray. He will get a lot of balls back and frustrate the toad. He showed his capability of doing this against him last year when he beat him in Marseille and lost a very close match in Zagreb. Soderling is someone that can let a player get into his head and Simon is a good player to expose this.

Acasuso to beat Volandri @ 1.68

Bit lower than I would have hoped but I think Chucho will dispatch Volandri. There is obvious match up issues here with Acasuso holding a 5-0 record against the Italian - all matches being on clay and Volandri only winning one set. Chucho looks very motivated this week in his home tournament, he comeback from a set down vs Andreev and is the sort of player that feeds off the home crowd as his good record in this tournament and his good record at home in Davis cup shows.
Volandri came through against Calleri but the scoreline flattered him as Calleri dominated the match but just couldn't put away the big points - missed 11 bps. Hopefully Acasuso will be able to take these oppurtunities when they arise.

Pending - Simon to win Rotterdam @ 6.2
 

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Thanks JAAP for yesterday's write ups... cherry picked and made loads £££ mine today

Trebles J Acasuso V F Volandri J Acasuso to Win @ 6/10
D Nalbandian V J I Chela D Nalbandian to Win @ 7/20
Lions V Blues BLUES to Win @ 1/4
V Zvonareva V N Li N Li to Win @ 11/20
 

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"Also being a left hander will allow Llodra to get a number of free points with his swinging serve out wide to the poor Karlovic backhand"

reason for my bet on llodra
 
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To be fair Karlovic has improved pretty much every facet of his game including his backhand and general groundstrokes over the past 12 months.
 

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maybe he did,but what I have seen at open 13 tournament is pretty far from good in my opinion, slice backhand so so,but spin on backhand side is awful,forehand can pass - but when he uses forehand long line he often makes mistakes - IMHO
 

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Just a small curiosity (or more than that):

Karlovic is 7-0 (last 7) on matches with a third set tie-break.

Llodra is 0-4 (last 4) in this very same situation.
 

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in our daily newspapers dr.ivo : "Pobijedio me prošle godine u Zagrebu. Ima nezgodan servis, teško je reternirati"
translation : he beat me last year in Zagreb,he has tricky servis,hard for return
 

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ivos backhand was very good in match with zverev...
some nice passing shots from the ground..

but sholud be close and anything over 2.50 sholud be considered as value
 

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i saw a match and it was agressive simon....not just pushing the ball to the other side...he made some errors bacause he was agressive..

just my wiew of the match...i didnt saw simons huge groundstrokes for a long time...but yesterday they was pretty strong
 

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true that gaba was out of his mind in second set...but in first i was surprised how simon took some risk...and he not often do that..

me also not a fan of his...
 

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Simon knew that all he had to do against Gabash was keep the ball in play, then the inevitable mistake will come. Soderling is a class above and will not make the same mistakes but I think Simon is good enough to adapt. He is tactically very good IMO.
 

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2008 Mistaflava ATP Tennis Betting Record: 12-4 (+$1835.00)

I am making my debut for 2008 a bit late this year, had some things to take care of but nonetheless I am here and ready to make some cash. Those who know me from the past know I have a knack for making big time cash in many different sports and tennis has been one of the most profitable ones over the last few years. Feel free to let me know if you disagree on anything, I certainly dont mind and certainly will not object to constructive criticism. LETS MAKE SOME FUCKIN CASH!

P.S. I do not wager on anything below 1.35

*All tennis wagers $500 unless otherwise listed


-------------------------------------------------



ATP Rotterdam


Karlovic 1.67 over Llodra




:eek:
 
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