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Discussion Starter #1
one of these 5: federer, hewitt, nadal, roddick, safin wins the US Open

add your own....should be about the US Open, but can be about other stuff as well, otherwise comment on what i wrote above
 

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FaceyFacem said:
one of these 5: federer, hewitt, nadal, roddick, safin wins the US Open

add your own....should be about the US Open, but can be about other stuff as well, otherwise comment on what i wrote above
your life savings would net you 1/10th of your life savings if you made this bet, because their odds are so good that the returns are tiny ;)

But .... got your point
 

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Chucho v Volandri on the final Sunday, take it to the bank.
 
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Discussion Starter #7
NYCtennisfan said:
That's not a very risky bet:)
well there would be a lot riding on it! i'm only a college student, every last cent counts for me
 

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That Roger does not lose first round. :eek:

My money is important.
 

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i wouldn't bet my life savings on anything...
 
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i don't have life savings but if i did i would bet it on MARAT winning the US Open then I'd die of hunger.
 
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Sjengster said:
Chucho v Volandri on the final Sunday, take it to the bank.
Chucho will defeat Puerta 7-6 in the 5th set of a dramatic semifinal, the rematch of his unceremonious loss at the French Open.
 

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Just my $0.02: The market maker must at least break even to stay in business. That means that if you bet when you agree with the odds provided, you are taking a gamble of negative expected wealth. In the current context, you can see that the probability that one of the above players wins (as inferred by the odds given by the market maker) adds up to something like 92%. Even if you believe (as you state) that the real probability is 100%, the spread merely compensates for the market maker profit margin.

Playing a game of negative expected wealth means that you are guaranteed to go bankrupt eventually.
 
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Chucho and Hewitt will face off in the final, with hewitt winning in 4 sets
 

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well, how about picking up only three names from the above list? this would be more risky..

:secret: mine;are Federer, Roddick, Safin,.. :smoke:
 

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The semi final line up will include

Acasuso vs Burgsmuller
Hernandez vs Volandri

The winner will come from these players.
 
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