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How many titles will Fed win in 2012

  • 3

    Votes: 4 4.0%
  • 4

    Votes: 4 4.0%
  • 5

    Votes: 10 9.9%
  • 6

    Votes: 18 17.8%
  • 7

    Votes: 20 19.8%
  • 8

    Votes: 25 24.8%
  • 9

    Votes: 8 7.9%
  • 10+

    Votes: 12 11.9%
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Discussion Starter #1
Federer seems to be on the path to win more titles since 2007 when he won 8 titles, since then he has not won more than 4/5 titles every year and usually he begins this time of the year with 0 or 1 title, now he got 3 titles already.

So, how many you think he is going to get?

My take on things with odds looking at his schedule:

Miami Here he should have as good chanse as any other top 4, maybe 20-25% to win.

Madrid Suits him perfectly, he could even beat Nadal here. A good shot to win this title, only Nadal seems to be able to beat him. 25%

Rome Maybe the tournament where he is least favorite, Djokovic loves this one and Nadal should have his numbers here aswell. 10-15%

RG If he is seeded nr2 and somehow gets in the other half without Nadal/Djokovic, he will be red hot in this tournament, however odds are against him if he was to play Nadal. 15%

Halle Greater chanse that he wont play this tournament than chanse to lose here, 85% if he plays here and 30% chanse he wont play here (if he plays RG final).

Wimbledon Is the favorite together with Nadal, only Nadal and some redhot power player can beat him here. 35%

Olympics in best of 3 set format on new grass should make him the favorite. 45%

Canada Maybe wont play this one, would be smart to save energy for Usopen if he gets alot of play during summer. 20% that he can win this one (taking into account chanse that he might withdraw)

Cincinatti His favorite outdoor hardcourt tournament together with Dubai, obviously favorite here and should beat Nadal/Djokovic/Murray on these ultra fast courts, I give him 50% to win here.

Usopen It is pretty much between Federer and Djokovic here, Del Potro is no longer a danger for Federer and I cant see Nadal beating him on these low bouncing fast courts (unless he plays like 2010). I give him 40% odds.

Shanghai Here Murray is king, but no reason why Federer cant win this one. A bit slower than indoor, still I give him 25%.

Basel This one is in the bag, 80%.

Paris Might withdraw because of new schedule when this one is in the week between Basel and TMC. 25% taking into consideration withdraw possibility/fatigue

TMC Redhot favorite, who can challenge him here? Maybe Murray, 60% chanse to win the TMC once again, specially if the nr1 ranking depends on this one.


So a pretty conservative estimate is that he should win about 2 tournaments in indoor season (Basel+TMC), 2-3 between Halle-Usopen (Halle+Wimbledon/Usopen/Olympics/Cincinatti) and everything else is a bonus.

I would say he has a great chanse to win 8 titles this year like in 2007 and thereby beat Mcenroe's 77 titles. Give your say, how many will he win by the end of the year?
 

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Discussion Starter #3
8 - his current ones plus Halle, Cincy, Olympics, Basel and the WTF.
You really think Federer cant get one of Wimby/Usopen in this form and Djokovic downgraded to 1.5 form?

I think Federer is going to win the Halle-Wimby-Olympics grass hattrick but be tired and lose in Cincy.
 

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Federer is winning either Wimbledon or US open this year. Count on it.
 

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6, current one's plus Halle, Basel, Olympics
 

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I think the odds of Federer having his best title haul since 2007 are looking very good indeed. Since '07 he has had 4, 4, 5, 4 titles per year through '08 to '11. Three already this year, and well even if he has a stinker from now to the US Open, who is going to beat the guy with a roof over his head? He will be huge favourite for Basel and WTF anyway, and I doubt he will play Paris-Bercy :sad:

Anyway, I dont think he will mess up the summer stretch this time around, there seems to be greater motivation and spring in him this year. As long as he doesnt get any injuries and health issues, I can see him realistically nabbing 6-7 titles this year.
Honestly from my point of view, 1 slam (preferably Wimbledon), Olympics and Basel will make this a fabulous year! I will take that. And hopefully getting to Number 1 at some point and giving SetSampras the final push over the cliff ;)
 

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No slams.
One more masters. Either Cincy, Shanghai or Paris.
Either the Olympics or the WTF
Halle and Basel

With the 3 he has already that should amount to 7 titles. I would trade them all for another slam though.
 

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Last year he had a title drought from Doha to Basel.
Who would've thought after the US Open that Federer would proceed to win 6 of the next 8 tournaments he'd play?

Predictions are pretty pointless, but I'll say he will win 4 more.

I'll rank the tournaments in order I'd like him to win:

Wimbledon (would be absloutely brilliant!)
Roland Garros
US Open
Rome (because he hasn't won it yet)
Olympics
WTF
other Masters
Halle/Basel
 

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9 including Wimbledon
 

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He's played great but really needs to save himself for the grass season. Focus on halle and getting a another win over nadal there will give him even more confidence against nadal if they meet at wimbledon. He just needs to stay sharp through the quarterfinals of wimbledon. He would probably love to avoid tsonga/berdych in the quarters their but even tsonga he's really taken care of since that loss. If he's into the semis and playing nole, I think he'll love to be in that position.

He kinda has ditched the slice backhand since the belluci match and is just hitting over it hard. Seems to be giving opponenets less chances.
 

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7 or 8 are possible, count Halle, Cincy, Basel, WTF and possibly Wimbledon/OG or US Open.
 

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Fed wont win a Slam this year and here's why......Rafa will play RG and W final for sure...he wont beat him there .......maybe US Open if he avoids Rafa but then he has to beat Novak and that's 50-50
 

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I retire my words, Reed just jinxed him so he won't win a single title for the rest of the year :eek:
 
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I was thinking 6-7, maybe 6 on the safe side, with him adding Olympics, Basel, Halle, and possibly Shanghai or Cincy or somewhere.

But like Arkulari, my hopes have been dashed by the curse of Reed... 3 it is :bigcry:
 
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