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Discussion Starter #1 (Edited)
As we actually have an historical moment with the 3 major racers all still playing (for a short while at least), here is an analyse of that Race position :

Code:
Here is  Slam cumulative distribution by age

AGE 		FED	NADAL NOLE

19			1	
20			2	1
21		1	3	1
22		3	6	1
23		5	6	2
24		8	9	5
25		11	10	6
26		12	11	6
27		15	13	8
28		16	14	10
29		16	14	12
30		17	14	12
31		17	16	15
32		17	17	15*
33		17	17*	
34		17		
35		19		
36		20		
37		20*		

* in progress
 

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I had posted this graph in some other thread in the past, but obviously it's also appropriate here.



Respectfully,
masterclass
 

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Lets face it. That Slam race between those three legends is probably the best thing ever happening in tennis history.

Everybody could still end up on top, but I still like Federers chances.

For Nadal, it will be really hard to collect 3 more Slams, now that Djokovic is back in full force, even making the FO not a lock anymore.

At the moment, things look good for Djokovic, but 5 more Slams with an age of almost 32 is still a huge challenge.

Hard to see right now how Federer can add one more Slam, but of course with him, you never know.

Prefered outcome:
Roger Federer: 20 Slams
Novak Djokovic: 19 Slams
Rafael Nadal: 18 Slams

At least on one thing we call all agree on: It must be brutal for Pete Sampras to see his records shattered by not only one, but three guys in the same generation. @SetSampras must be in utter ruins.
 

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The impact of Nadal and Djokovic on Federer's graph in his early thirties is clear. If we had two more superstars then they would now be impacting on Nadovic's graph. But they don't exist, which is a very lucky break for Nadovic.
 

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The impact of Nadal and Djokovic on Federer's graph in his early thirties is clear. If we had two more superstars then they would now be impacting on Nadovic's graph. But they don't exist, which is a very lucky break for Nadovic.
True, but if you are going to say that than you have to point out how unlucky those two were to have to compete with Federer for slams earlier in their career's as well. It's certainly a situation where all of them have less slams because of what the other two have done.
 

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Discussion Starter #7 (Edited)
True, but if you are going to say that than you have to point out how unlucky those two were to have to compete with Federer for slams earlier in their career's as well. It's certainly a situation where all of them have less slams because of what the other two have done.
It is obvious that playing in about the same period each one bothered and was bothered by the others.

And finally, the younger years of Federer without the others in prime will be balanced by the later years of Djokodal without Federer in prime,

Every fan base can find arguments to destroy some performances (like 3 the same year) by explaining by weaker opposition as it is true 3 of them in good shape at the same time was rare, as they all have a weakest part of their body (knee back elbow).

But finally if we all accept that injuries or lack of motivation can happen and are part of the deal, we can fairly celebrate a race which is quite close at least closest in tennis history.
 

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These 3 should end up with 20 majors each, if there was justice. Their careers are so linked together. I think the record is more important for Federer than the other two. If he loses the slam record, because of his record against the other two, people will never truly feel he is the best ever.
 

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Discussion Starter #9
I tried something which is the losses cumulated vs. the other two by age in Slams :


Code:
AGE	      FED NADAL NOLE

19				2
20			1	5
21			2	7
22			2	8
23		1	2	9
24		2	2	10
25		3	5	12
26		6	5	14
27		7	5	15
28		7	5	15
29		10	6	15
30		13	6	15
31		13	8	15
32		15	10	15*
33		16	10*	
34		18		
35		18		
36		18		
37		18*		

* in progress
Of course Nadal seems less impacted by the others but mainly because he missed a lot of Slams because of breaks/injuries. Which means he also impacted the others less because of this breaks.

It is then obvious that Federer was mostly impacted after his primes 30+, when Djokovic before U26.
 

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Love Djokovic's GS win spurts, if the pattern shows anything, he still has a few in the bag ;)
 

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I tried something which is the losses cumulated vs. the other two by age in Slams :


Code:
AGE	      FED NADAL NOLE

19				2
20			1	5
21			2	7
22			2	8
23		1	2	9
24		2	2	10
25		3	5	12
26		6	5	14
27		7	5	15
28		7	5	15
29		10	6	15
30		13	6	15
31		13	8	15
32		15	10	15*
33		16	10*	
34		18		
35		18		
36		18		
37		18*		

* in progress
Of course Nadal seems less impacted by the others but mainly because he missed a lot of Slams because of breaks/injuries. Which means he also impacted the others less because of this breaks.
...
Even more so because of his favorable HC draws till e.g. 2012.

24 y.o. Djokovic amassed 10 losses whereas Nadal just 2, because Djokovic was almost always in his half at RG (so Nadal would beat Djokovic and then Federer in the RG finals) whereas Nadal was never in Djokovic&Federer's half at AO+USO, so, Federer and young Djokovic have played seven Fedovic HC rubbers before finals (4:3 Djokovic, six semis + one 4R) but zero HC semis against Nadal, hence also his excellent SF resume.

If e.g. Nadal had landed eight times with young Djokovic at AO/USO instead, Federer would've not lost those four semis to Djokovic (including those two 5-set nightmares at USO'10 & '11) and Nadal would have probably lost a half or more of those HC semis vs Djokovic and would've also been pretty tired for the eventual final against fresher Federer.
 

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I had posted this graph in some other thread in the past, but obviously it's also appropriate here.



Respectfully,
masterclass
Interesting how Federer was stagnating while Novak was dominating, then he won 3 more slams when Novak was in that Pepe period, and then he stopped winning again when Novak got back.
 

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Discussion Starter #15
Code:
Here is  Slam cumulative distribution by age

AGE   FED NADAL NOLE

19              1  
20              2    1
21        1    3    1
22        3    6    1
23        5    6    2
24        8    9    5
25        11    10    6
26        12    11    6
27        15    13    8
28        16    14    10
29        16    14    12
30        17    14    12
31        17    16    15
32        17    17    15
33        17    17   17*
34        17    19*  
35        19      
36        20      
37        20
38        20*      

* in progress
 

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Well, potentially the competition to the Big 3 from outsiders is getting to the highest level ever.
I definitely don't see Big 3 winning Slams beyond 2021
I do think they will grab at least 3 this year.
 
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