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According to Merton, "The markets give Rafa as the slight favourite, with implied probability of winning 0.57." Which works out to 43% for Roger, which is exactly what I said!

So, sleepover with Deb tomorrow. Yay.

I really don't have anything to contribute to the final discussion and am rather tired from *gasp* studying Old Latin today, so I'll say no more. Soon enough I will not be shut-up-able.
 
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