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I'm not sure how/in what way this year is going to be counted, but both Nadal/Djokovic can reach a record number of 6 years finished as number one, in the process surpassing Federer. Can Thiem prevent this from happening?
 

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So the current end of year points totals for the top 3 (after removing ATP WTF 2019 points) are:

1.) Djokovic - 10,660 (200 removed from WTF)
2.) Nadal - 9450 (400 removed from WTF)
3.) Thiem - 8325 (800 removed from WTF)

Now let's look at the potential point gains for each by the end of the year:

Consider each player's maximum point gain from the only ATP 1000+ tournaments still to come this year: Rome (1000), French Open (2000), Paris (1000) and WTF (1500).

Note: Thiem has withdrawn from Rome.

1.) Djokovic (400+1280+0+1500) => 3180 -> Max: 13,840
2.) Nadal (0+0+640+1500) => 2140 -> Max: 11,590
3.) Thiem (0+800+910+1500) => 3210 -> Max: 11,535

There are additionally 3 ATP 500 tournaments you may want to consider:

Hamburg (500) - Week before French Open
Petersburg (500) - Week after French Open
Vienna (500) - Week before ATP Paris (Thiem is defending champion so can't gain points from here anyways)

I feel like it's quite reasonable to rule out the ATP 500's from coming into play in the rankings. So realistically for Djokovic to not finish YE #1 either Thiem or Nadal have to at the very least win the WTF (likely undefeated), with Thiem needing to at least win French Open or Paris as well. And all that is ignoring any potential point gains for Djokovic in that period too.

Tl;dr: Thiem hypothetically could finish the year as world number 1 but would need to basically win the other 3 major tournaments he's participating in and even that may not be enough if Djokovic gains some points in other tournaments (e.g winning Rome, French Open final or some wins in WTF).
 

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No chance. No grass game and craps his pants in slam finals.It will be injury or a next gen that takes it when Djoker gets too old. With the state of next gens, hopefully they stay slamless and without world number one ranking for many years.
 
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This year shouldn’t really count for rankings
 

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As someone above me mentioned, Novak likely doesn't even need to add any points (even though he will) to finish #1. Nadal/Thiem would need to do things they haven't done before and win everything, and hope Novak doesn't gain much of anything to have any chance.
 

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By the way Djoker is owed many weeks from the tennis hiatus.The conspiratorial ATP should be satisfied with successfully conspiring to remove him from the US Open, and give those weeks back! If not, we have a permanently asterisked weeks at one ranking.
 

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So the current end of year points totals for the top 3 (after removing ATP WTF 2019 points) are:

1.) Djokovic - 10,660 (200 removed from WTF)
2.) Nadal - 9450 (400 removed from WTF)
3.) Thiem - 8325 (800 removed from WTF)

Now let's look at the potential point gains for each by the end of the year:

Consider each player's maximum point gain from the only ATP 1000+ tournaments still to come this year: Rome (1000), French Open (2000), Paris (1000) and WTF (1500).

Note: Thiem has withdrawn from Rome.

1.) Djokovic (400+1280+0+1500) => 3180 -> Max: 13,840
2.) Nadal (0+0+640+1500) => 2140 -> Max: 11,590
3.) Thiem (0+800+910+1500) => 3210 -> Max: 11,535

There are additionally 3 ATP 500 tournaments you may want to consider:

Hamburg (500) - Week before French Open
Petersburg (500) - Week after French Open
Vienna (500) - Week before ATP Paris (Thiem is defending champion so can't gain points from here anyways)

I feel like it's quite reasonable to rule out the ATP 500's from coming into play in the rankings. So realistically for Djokovic to not finish YE #1 either Thiem or Nadal have to at the very least win the WTF (likely undefeated), with Thiem needing to at least win French Open or Paris as well. And all that is ignoring any potential point gains for Djokovic in that period too.

Tl;dr: Thiem hypothetically could finish the year as world number 1 but would need to basically win the other 3 major tournaments he's participating in and even that may not be enough if Djokovic gains some points in other tournaments (e.g winning Rome, French Open final or some wins in WTF).
Perhaps I am misunderstanding your facts, but I thought they were not taking points away from last year's tournament results?
 

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The last 12 months were about about Thiem preventing GSs, not rankings. Thiem has prevented Nole from reaching the RG and WTF final. Thiem prevented Rafa from reaching the AO final etc. Next year might be about rankings but let's face it, the "year-end number one" thingy was invented by Sampras once he realized all his other records are being overtaken...
 

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I'm a huge fan of Domi but it's a big fat nope. Preventing GS wins... it's possible as he is capable and has defeated them both but not likely. As for rankings, absolutely not. He would have to win tournaments so consistently and the biggest ones.

Thiem is capable of being a spoke in the wheel of many players including the big 3. Say what you will about the poor quality of the U.S. Open final but he fought hard to come back and has weapons in his arsenal. Plural and not the least of which is his endurance.
 

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It's confirmed that Thiem will not play Hamburg. He could have added 410 points there. Novak will finish #1 easily.
 

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Also, Thiem and Nadal aren't on the St. Petersburg entry list. So, the only places Nadal can add points are Paris and ATP Finals, and the only places Thiem can add points are RG, Paris and ATP Finals.
 
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