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Discussion Starter #3 (Edited)
Hewitt will get a wild card for sure.
Agreed, looks like he may be asking for one for s Hertogenbosch as well, on the alts list for it.

Also notable that Mr Kubler is on the alts list for the 250s and 500s, so may be thinking of giving it a try (but doesn't seem to have signed up for the challengers, so not clear how serious he is about it).

For this grass season, only Tomic and Kyrgios have the ranking to get into main draw for any of the tour level events, and seem to have split them between them.

Pretty much everyone else is on the alts list for all of the 250s/500s though, so I guess we'll have to wait and see if they get in (Matosevic is close to md in at least one case, ditto Duckworth), get wild cards (ie Kokkinakis), play qualifying, or stick to the grass challengers.

At the moment their schedules basically look at follows:

week of 1 June:
RG week 2 - ?
Manchester challenger updated: Groth, Matosevic, Smith, Saville, Mitchell, Thompson; Qualifying: Bolt, Reid

week of 8 June (250s)
s' Hertogenbosch:
Stuttgart: Tomic, Kokkinakis
Surbiton challenger: Ebden, Kokkinakis, Smith

week of 15 June
Halle: Tomic Qualifying: Groth[/I]
Queens: Kyrgios, Hewitt (w/c) Qualifying: Kokkinakis, Duckworth, alt :Matosevic
Illkney challenger: Millman, Smith; alts: Ebden, Saville, Mitchell, Thompson, Bolt

week of 22 June
Nottingham: Kyrgios alts: Groth, Duckworth
Wimbledon qualies: tba

week of 29 June

Wimbledon md: Tomic, Kyrgios, Groth, Kokkinakis, Duckworth
2nd alt: Matosevic
???w/c Hewitt
 

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At the moment their schedules basically look at follows:

week of 1 June:
Manchester challenger: Duckworth, Groth, Kokkinakis, Matosevic
alts list: Smith, Saville, Mitchell, Barton, Bolt, Reid, Whittington, Bouchier
No Duckworth or Kokkinakis for this one but Saville, Mitchell and Ebden all make the main draw.
 

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Discussion Starter #5
No Duckworth or Kokkinakis for this one but Saville, Mitchell and Ebden all make the main draw.
Thanks yes - have updated they have both withdrawn unsurprisingly. I've also added qualies for Queens (Kokkinakis and Duckworth with Mosevic as first alt) and Halle (Groth).

Given that the grass season kicks off tomorrow, thought it might be worth posting their points on grass from last year - numbers are grass only, all points gained (ie as opposed to effect on ranking) excluding DC.

Kyrgios: 455 (360 Wimbledon)
Hewitt: 305 (250 from Newport)
Groth: 180 (90 Newport)
Matosevic: 145
Saville: 129
Tomic: 75
Duckworth: 50
Ebden: 30
Kokkinakis: 0

Let the games begin...
 

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Discussion Starter #7
:haha: Goodbye Savilles ranking ala Matt Reid, 180's to 450's..
Yes you'd have to say it would be pretty surprising if the grass rankings this year look anything like last years at all (just as clay was a complete turnaround).

What's your punt on the order of the top three through the grass season though? Tomic to surge back up as he did in the hard season earlier this year (he led 675 to Kyrgios' 385 and the Kokk's 219? I'm thinking not myself, but...
 

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My prediction is Tomic and Kok will rise to the occasion, and i really dont like Nick, so for me the more R1's he losses the better.

I hope Marinko.. gets a few wins or have no idea whats going to happen
 

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I think we can hope and expect to see great results from Nick, Thanasi, Bernard and Sam. Sam surely must be favoured to get lots of lovely wins this year with his serve and improved court movement combined with more reliable groundstrokes. Luke Saville was showing a little form in Paris so I am hoping he comes good. Might take some motivation from his girlfriends good run in recent times.

I think Marinko's race is run.
 

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Now Manchester begins time for me to make some bold predictions to assess in July: Includes top/worst performances + approximate ranking after Newport week.

Nick Kyrgios will make the semis in holland and go to the second week of Wimbledon, where he will be routined by a top seed.
End Ranking: 28

Bernard Tomic will have a very contrasting effort to his clay season. He will back this up with another 4th round at Wimbledon, and some great performances in Germany.
End Ranking: 21

Thanasi Kokkinakis will go deep in a grass challenger, and impress at his first Wimbledon appearance.
End Ranking: 45

Sam Groth will play well in challengers and surprise in a main draw, before being drawn against good seed early on in Wimbledon
End Ranking: 64

James Duckworth will be solid, but no super good results.
End Ranking: 77

Lleyton Hewitt will be disappointing overall but win a match at Wimbledon and Queens, as well as making Newport Semis.
End Ranking: ca.150

More predictions:
Marinko Matosevic will drop out of top 150
Luke Saville will go out of top 200
JP Smith will qualify for Wimbledon
Matt Ebden will continue his resurgence, breaking the top 150!
One Young Australian Player Will Make An Encouraging Run At A Grass Tournament :rocker2:
 

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Discussion Starter #11 (Edited)
Now Manchester begins time for me to make some bold predictions to assess in July: Includes top/worst performances + approximate ranking after Newport week.

Nick Kyrgios will make the semis in holland and go to the second week of Wimbledon, where he will be routined by a top seed.
End Ranking: 28
If he does that well, he will at least hold his current (live)ranking, which is around 25.

After last night I'm feeling a bit pessimistic though - high risk he will drop back badly rankings wise.

Bernard Tomic will have a very contrasting effort to his clay season. He will back this up with another 4th round at Wimbledon, and some great performances in Germany.
End Ranking: 21

Thanasi Kokkinakis will go deep in a grass challenger, and impress at his first Wimbledon appearance.
End Ranking: 45
Yep agreed, though hope Thanasi actually ends up with a wc into one of the 250s, and wins it. I think he can.

Lleyton Hewitt will be disappointing overall but win a match at Wimbledon and Queens, as well as making Newport Semis.
End Ranking: ca.150
I think that is incredibly optimistic. I think we should enjoy his series of last first round matches and hope he at least plays creditably in them. Can't see him making more than one r2 though, if that, and I'd bet on him crashing out of Newport early as he did at Brisbane, with one of the (many) rising young guns picking up Newport this year. Post grass ranking will line up with his current race ranking, viz around 361 or worse. [Note: Just did the sums and actually one win say at Queens minus Newport will put him around 220 rankings wise, so not quite as bad as his race ranking. Yet.]
 

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From what I was reading this morning, Nick's Elbow means he may not play before Wimbledon...
 

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I think that is incredibly optimistic. I think we should enjoy his series of last first round matches and hope he at least plays creditably in them. Can't see him making more than one r2 though, if that, and I'd bet on him crashing out of Newport early as he did at Brisbane, with one of the (many) rising young guns picking up Newport this year. Post grass ranking will line up with his current race ranking, viz around 361 or worse. [Note: Just did the sums and actually one win say at Queens minus Newport will put him around 220 rankings wise, so not quite as bad as his race ranking. Yet.]
I know this is very hopeful, but they are bold predictions anyway. Wimbledon is draw permitting, whether he draws Djokovic or Lajovic. Newport could well turn out like Brisbane, but the field there is usually quite weak, so once again depends on draw.

Otherwise it's just me foolishly leading myself to believe thet Lleyton's last grass season will be a good one :wavey:
 

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Hopefully just everyone feeling depressed in the aftermath, and will feel better after a short break!
What will help everyone is the additional week between RG and Wimbledon this year - meaning that some more rest can occur, while still room for a lead up tournament.

I'm curious as to whether Tomic's back problem would have emerged just in time for a withdrawal prior to the Djokovic match, had he beaten Thanasi...not doubting it's a genuine thing, but amazing how regularly it seems to happen to Bernie...

Still, this could give an opportunity for a lesser light like Kokkinakis or Groth to shine.
 

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Discussion Starter #17
I'm curious as to whether Tomic's back problem would have emerged just in time for a withdrawal prior to the Djokovic match, had he beaten Thanasi...
:drink:

Yup, pretty much guaranteed I would think. It really is a shame given his ability that even Tomic 2.0 only seems to be motivated by keeping ahead of the Ks rather than possessing that inherent drive to perform and win that true champions have.

My prediction - Kyrgios and Tomic will reappear in time for Wimbledon and one warm up event, with the ready made explanation for any perceived under-performance. Meanwhile the Kokk will continue his increasingly consistent, incrementally increasing rate of climb.

You have to feel sorry for Nick in my view, the pressure is clearly immense, and he isn't coping well with it. But immense on Thanasi too, to measure up to past teen performances here. Don't think there is any solution alas, all comes down to who has/can develop the necessary resilience.
 

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Discussion Starter #18
Hewitt has a wildcard for 's-Hertogenbosch, the Kokk has withdrawn from the qualifying list, but there is a third wildcard that has yet to be announced (apparently Gulbis was after it but told too late) - could it be going to the Kokk? Would be another good chance for a doubles run...
 

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Was looking at the live rankings, and decided to calculate the projected seedings for Wimbledon as of at the quarter-final stages of the French Open (from the top 42).

For anybody who doesn't know, the seeding formula at Wimbledon is:
- Take ranking points at 22 June 2015
- Add 100% points earned for all grass court tournament in past 12 months
- Add 75% points earned for best grass court tournament in 12 months before that

I've only calculated points from Wimbledon 2014 & Newport 2014 for the "last 12 months" section, and obviously grass court results over the coming weeks will come into calculation so these current seedings are subject to change.

French Open results will also contribute to the ranking points, and those still in the tournament are bolded.

So, if seedings were to be calculated right at this very moment, they would be:

1. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - 15,905
2. Roger Federer (SUI) - 10,802.5
3. Andy Murray (GBR) - 8,540
4. Kei Nishikori (JPN) - 5,817.5
5. Tomas Berdych (CZE) - 5,410
6. Milos Raonic (CAN) - 5,193.75
7. David Ferrer (ESP) - 4,805
8. Stan Wawrinka (SUI) - 4,622.5
9. Marin Cilic (CRO) - 3,853.75
10. Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) - 3,667.5
11. Rafael Nadal (ESP) - 3,125
12. Feliciano Lopez (ESP) - 2,612.5
13. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA) - 2,438.75
14. Gilles Simon (FRA) - 2,405
15. Kevin Anderson (RSA) - 2,127.5
16. John Isner (USA) - 2,047.5
17. Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) - 1,982.5
18. Tommy Robredo (ESP) - 1,957.5
19. Gael Monfils (FRA) - 1,945
20. David Goffin (BEL) - 1,940
21. Richard Gasquet (FRA) - 1,872.5
22. Leonardo Mayer (ARG) - 1,793.75
23. Nick Kyrgios (AUS) - 1,771.25
24. Bernard Tomic (AUS) - 1,535
25. Pablo Cuevas (URU) - 1,512
26. Ivo Karlovic (CRO) - 1,433.75
27. Jeremy Chardy (FRA) - 1,367.5
28. Jack Sock (USA) - 1,365
29. Philipp Kohlschreiber (GER) - 1,352.5
30. Fabio Fognini (ITA) - 1,347.5
31. Fernando Verdasco (ESP) - 1,325
32. Adrian Mannarino (FRA) - 1,320.5

33. Viktor Troicki (SRB) - 1,309.5
34. Juan Monaco (ARG) - 1,237.5
35. Dominic Thiem (AUT) - 1,235
36. Sam Querrey (USA) - 1,192.5
37. Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (ESP) - 1,177.5
38. Martin Klizan (SVK) - 1,168.75
39. Lukas Rosol (CZE) - 1,162.5
40. Pablo Andujar (ESP) - 1,142.5
41. Thomaz Bellucci (BRA) - 1,065
42. Borna Coric (CRO) - 1,050
 

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Discussion Starter #20
Fantastic work, very useful!

So Nick could potentially get his seeding up to 16 - if he reached the final of (or more likely won) Queens for example (depending on what those above him play and win!).
 
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