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Old 01-10-2007, 02:32 AM   #16
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

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Originally Posted by Nitefaery View Post
Hey breaker, do you know where you can download excel?
Hey Nitefaery,

I don't think Microsoft Excel itself can be downloaded (not legally anyway). I'm only aware of it coming bundled in the Microsoft Office package, however, you may be able to use Excel Viewer 2003 (Download Here) instead of paying for MS Excel itself. Unfortunately I don't think this program allows you to edit your spreadsheets, only view and print them as the name suggests.

Somebody else may be able to shed some light on the topic as I'm not very familiar with the availablility of products such as Excel etc.

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Old 01-10-2007, 05:36 AM   #17
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

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I currently have a small 0.50 unit play on Verdasco over Moya @ $1.763 from last night which I will leave as is as I don't have enough confidence in Verdasco's motivation nor do I feel the need to cancel the bet

ATP Betting Record '07: 6-2, +7.85 Units (ROI 33.40%)


Disappointing end to a successful day with Verdasco wasting 3 match points on his way to a 46 76(9) 63 loss

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Old 01-10-2007, 06:36 AM   #18
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Motivation should've been an advantage for Verdasco today .. afterall, Moya went deep in Chenai last week and didn't need the match practise nearly as much as his compatriot ..

That Spanish flea is now on my blacklist .. blew numerous match points and had the match for the taking after breaking back to lead 6-4, 5-4 in the second set ..
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Old 01-10-2007, 08:19 AM   #19
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

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Originally Posted by Mr Flamboyant View Post
Motivation should've been an advantage for Verdasco today .. afterall, Moya went deep in Chenai last week and didn't need the match practise nearly as much as his compatriot ..

That Spanish flea is now on my blacklist .. blew numerous match points and had the match for the taking after breaking back to lead 6-4, 5-4 in the second set ..
I completely agree with you mate, this play was largely influenced by Moya's current situation (ie. backing up after Chennai) rather than on Verdasco's form or ability. Taking a volatile or mentally weak player such as Verdasco as favourite is something I rarely do, it's just a shame that I couldn't follow my own guidelines on this occasion. Also, I didn't mean to say I was concerned with Nando's motivation, this phrase was meant to explain that I had little confidence in Verdasco's mental strength etc. Sorry for the mix up.

Good luck for tomorrow mate
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Old 01-10-2007, 11:42 AM   #20
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Today's Card:

Interesting lineup in what may be my last betting day before the Australian Open kicks off on Monday. Liking the look of the following three plays:

Massu over Chela @ $2.20
Calleri over Serra @ $1.65
Rochus over Monaco @ $1.33

Although it's early days and much more analysis is needed before any plays are recommended I'm fairly confident that I will have at least one play for tomorrow before the end of the night. Any feedback is welcome.

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Old 01-10-2007, 12:57 PM   #21
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Auckland R2 - Bet #1:

Olivier Rochus over Juan Monaco @ $1.333 - 3 Units
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Slightly cynical of this selection as it seems very straightforward. Olivier Rochus is one of the more reliable players on tour when it comes to capping tennis, in that he rarely loses to those he is expected to beat and is more often than not beaten by upper echelon players. Juan Monaco is far from a top tier player and should pose very little threat to Rochus who seems to have taken a shining to the Auckland tournament where over the past three years he has established an 8-3 win/loss record, making the final in '05 and SF in '06. It may also be noted that Monaco called for treatment on his legs in yesterdays first round match against local journeyman King-Turner.

Overall, although I can't see Monaco taking the honors here I will not be staking any more than 3 units on the Belgian as we lead into the first week of a slam.

Good luck
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Old 01-10-2007, 01:46 PM   #22
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Auckland R2 (cont.):

Crossing Massu off the bet list unless I can get around $2.30-$2.40

Almost certainly having a small dabble on the $1.67 available on Calleri (1 unit or less) but will sit tight and see if better odds come up

Take it easy
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Old 01-10-2007, 02:54 PM   #23
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Breaker you must take your own advice and back baghdatis.

Moya was on the verge of losing against verdasco..3 match points wasted.

Baghdatis to win
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Old 01-11-2007, 12:47 AM   #24
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Overview:

Early celebrations after Calleri's straight sets win were short lived when Rochus served his way out of the tournament, losing 57 75 36

ATP Betting Record '07: 7-3, +5.51 Units (ROI 20.04%)
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Old 01-11-2007, 05:21 AM   #25
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Get on Marcos.
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Old 01-11-2007, 07:32 AM   #26
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

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Get on Marcos.
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Breaker you must take your own advice and back baghdatis.

Moya was on the verge of losing against verdasco..3 match points wasted.

Baghdatis to win
I will definitely be having a small go on the Cypriot, however I am reluctant to recommend this selection as I am just simply fading Moya
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Old 01-11-2007, 11:52 AM   #27
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

a few days before a slam and i am betting on suppossed faves. I need to stop now.

Ancic, baggy and berdych are obviously much better players than their performances suggest but its my own fault.

I guess moya outfoxed us all.

I really felt that chenai fact that you brang to the table breaker was a good one.

but what can you do.
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Old 01-11-2007, 01:41 PM   #28
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Auckland SF - Bet #1

Agustin Calleri over Tommy Robredo @ $2.63 - 1 Unit
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Wasn't considering making any selections this deep into an Aussie Open lead up event however I couldn't resist backing one of the most underrated (and profitable) players currently on the tour. I see Calleri as great value here in what should be a 50-50 match. Robredo has had a relatively soft path to the SF in comparison to the Argentine and was far from impressive at his Hopman Cup outing earlier this year.

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Old 01-12-2007, 11:54 AM   #29
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

ATP Betting Overview - Week 1 & 2:


In a somewhat similar fashion to previous years, the opening fortnight of tennis action has provided a number of unpredicted results. As a result what started as a fantastic couple of weeks shortly drifted into mediocrity, fortunately I still managed to scrape out a handy +4.51 Unit profit.


ATP Betting Record '07: 7-4, +4.51 Units (ROI 15.82%)


J Johansson over Spadea @ $1.47 (3 Units) - WON
Djokovic over Guccione @ $1.31 (7 Units) - WON
Koubek over Malisse @ $3.00 (1 Unit) - LOST
Ferrer over Gaudio @ $1.55 (3 Units) - WON
Berdych x Baghdatis @ $1.33 (4 Units) - WON
Vliegen over Tipsarevic @ $1.39 (4 Units) - WON
Calleri over Del Potro @ $2.24 (1 Unit) - WON
Verdasco over Moya @ $1.76 (0.50 Units) - LOST
Rochus over Monaco @ $1.33 (3 Units) - LOST
Calleri over Serra @ $1.66 (1 Unit) - WON
Calleri over Robredo @ $2.63 (1 Unit) - LOST



Will be heading down to the Aussie Open for a fair chunk of the first week and may therefore have little time for writeups etc, will probably just post selections in daily threads if time permits.

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Old 01-15-2007, 02:27 PM   #30
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Default Re: ATP Tour Betting '07 - Week 1 & 2

Just got back from the tennis a couple of hours ago. Just the two bets on day 1, Udomchoke over Vassalo-Arguello and Mahut over Monaco

Today's card is fairly average although I will be taking Chela over Starace into Gaudio over Muller at combined odds of around $1.75. Other than that nothing much really takes my eye although I was leaning towards Santoro at reasonable odds of around $1.70

For now, I gotta go get some shut eye

Good luck with today's card guys
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