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Old 12-21-2006, 07:23 AM   #46
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
will see you tomorrow mate
don't bet on it ..
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Old 12-21-2006, 07:29 AM   #47
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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don't bet on it ..
Mate you can't win them all, doesn't matter how good or bad a punter is - just got to ride the bad troughs and enjoy the good times
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Old 12-21-2006, 07:35 AM   #48
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=77860
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Old 12-21-2006, 08:08 AM   #49
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Three weeks ago I hit a personal high when my overall bank reached +16 units .. everything seemed logical and panned out as such ..

Since then pretty much everything has reversed and it just seems like everything I touch turns sour (bank has shrunk to +8 units overall).. it's as if the planets have suddenly re-aligned or something .. You keep "going to the well" and doing what you've been doing but nothing works .. and it's gotten to the point where right now I have no idea where my next W is coming from because my confidence is nil ..

Feels like I'm chasing my tail in terms of strategy .. I like to win at good percentage (60% +) but the thing I'm finding is because of 'juice' what it takes me five wins in a row to accumulate, I can then virtually lose in three losses .. I don't know whether to give in and just back underdogs (a la 'Anders') whereby you only need to hit at 35-45% to keep building the bank ..

I know I've learnt a lot just by being around (especially) this forum and others, but then when guys like you (Bad Gambler) put up 'plays of the day' like Golden State this morning I scoff at it and go with my shitty Lakers / T-Wolves UNDER .. And it becomes another day where the 'sharps' count their cash while I mope after another crap decision ..

Anyway .. just seems like I'm forever 'zigging' when I should have 'zagged' .. Have read through the rules on the above link, but any other bits of advice would be gratefully accepted ..

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Old 12-21-2006, 10:21 AM   #50
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Hey Mr. F

You've got to have confidence in yourself if you're going to win...right now, it seems that you don't. It might be best to take a break of a few days / a week or so and instead of placing money on your leans, just make a record of them and see how you go. If you get a good record...that will help your confidence and you should start betting again

Also, I wouldn't go for odds on a bet of lower than 1.50. To state the obvious, you'd only need to win 2 in a row to make some profit (off a constant stake)...something that is easier to manage than 3, 4+ winning streak.

Anders had the perfect gambling style for tennis...not sure whether it works for many other sports so maybe you should approach with caution. But, in terms of tennis, looking for value isn't too hard and, given the number of upsets that happen from day to day, it tends to be more lucrative to bet that way.

As BG's rules state (see the thread he posted above)...know the sport you're betting on inside out, which I'm sure you do...but I'll state anyway. I'm a great fan of stats...but they shouldn't be used to DECIDE what you play...they should be used to SOLIDIFY your lean.

I hope some of that helps...although it is propbably stating stuff you already know about

I can't wait for the new tennis season!!!

Keep the good work going James et al
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Old 12-21-2006, 11:20 AM   #51
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Can't really add anything more than what Jez has just posted
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Old 12-21-2006, 11:42 AM   #52
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Get the lubricant out and oil those Pistons catching the 3 1/2 points for Thursday.


giddyup, giddyup horsey
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Old 12-21-2006, 12:10 PM   #53
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Mate you can't win them all, doesn't matter how good or bad a punter is - just got to ride the bad troughs and enjoy the good times
U r an mate!!
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Old 12-21-2006, 12:11 PM   #54
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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The system says Cavs by 21.

BOL

Sounds good
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Old 12-21-2006, 12:14 PM   #55
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Get the lubricant out and oil those Pistons catching the 3 1/2 points for Thursday.


giddyup, giddyup horsey
lol,everyman n their dog will be on the Pistons,not a good sign for TNT,their a FREAK name LEBRON who might want to say somethin a few things
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Old 12-21-2006, 12:21 PM   #56
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lol,everyman n their dog will be on the Pistons,not a good sign for TNT,their a FREAK name LEBRON who might want to say somethin a few things
Public do win every now and again
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Old 12-21-2006, 12:34 PM   #57
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Public do win every now and again
Yes
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Old 12-21-2006, 11:41 PM   #58
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

Get on the Pistons champ
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Old 12-22-2006, 02:12 AM   #59
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

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The system says Cavs by 21.

BOL

That's one hell of a system, you sure they gave you NBA live 2006 and not 1975?

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Old 12-22-2006, 04:37 AM   #60
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Default Re: The Champions' Lounge

thanks for the support, I appreciate it buddy
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