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Old 12-22-2006, 10:37 PM   #46
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NBA Friday 22/12

Magic to cover -4 v Warriors
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Old 12-22-2006, 11:24 PM   #47
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

Very unique situation, 2 plays on the one day that fits the bill perfectly

NBA Friday 22/12

Kings to cover +2.5 v Nuggets
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Old 12-23-2006, 10:48 AM   #48
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
NBA Friday 22/12

Magic to cover -4 v Warriors
FT: Warriors 117-108 - LOSS
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Old 12-23-2006, 10:48 AM   #49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Very unique situation, 2 plays on the one day that fits the bill perfectly

NBA Friday 22/12

Kings to cover +2.5 v Nuggets
FT: Kings 101-96 - WIN
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Old 12-23-2006, 09:02 PM   #50
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NBA Saturday 23/12

Heat to cover -5.5 v Warriors
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Old 12-23-2006, 09:15 PM   #51
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NFL Saturday 23/12

Raiders +7.5 v Chiefs
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Old 12-24-2006, 01:06 PM   #52
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
NBA Saturday 23/12

Heat to cover -5.5 v Warriors
FT: Heat 105-92 - WIN
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Old 12-24-2006, 01:06 PM   #53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
NFL Saturday 23/12

Raiders +7.5 v Chiefs
FT: Chiefs 20-9 - LOSS
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Old 12-24-2006, 01:09 PM   #54
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

NFL Sunday 24/12

Seahawks to cover +4.5 v Chargers

Jaguars to cover -3 v Patriots
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Old 12-25-2006, 10:30 AM   #55
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
NFL Sunday 24/12

Seahawks to cover +4.5 v Chargers

Jaguars to cover -3 v Patriots
FT: Chargers 20-17 - WIN

FT: Pats 24-21 - LOSS
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Old 12-27-2006, 12:57 AM   #56
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NBA Tuesday 26/12

Hornets to cover +5.5 v Sonics
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Old 12-27-2006, 01:23 AM   #57
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

Surely the only way to beat sportsbetting is to find a game where the odds are wrong?

For example a match team A vs team B.

You handicap the match as 50% chance of team A winning and 50% chance of team B winning.

The odds are in fact team A 1.6 and team B 2.2.

In this instance the bet on team B has a positive expected value, the bet on team B a negative EV.

There is no other way to beat the bookies. Even if you think you're doing something different you must be doing this if you can proove winning seasons consecutively.

I understand the theory however my handicapping skills are not up to scratch which is why I'm breaking even at best.

I am going to be VERY selective next year and see how I fair.
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Old 12-27-2006, 01:25 AM   #58
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

You're betting far too many games BG.
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Old 12-27-2006, 01:39 AM   #59
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Ninja - you have completely missed the point of this thread, read from the start and it will make more sense
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Old 12-27-2006, 07:36 AM   #60
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Ninja - you have completely missed the point of this thread, read from the start and it will make more sense




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