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Old 01-13-2006, 10:18 AM   #1
country flag Horatio Caine
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Question Super Saturday!

Odds from willHill just out...

1.50 Ancic v Nieminen 2.50

1.36 Blake v Andreev 3.00

Blake is too short for my liking. Pleasantly surprised by Super Mario's odds...look good to pound.
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Old 01-13-2006, 10:43 AM   #2
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

I'll post my selections with a write-up. First time I do a brief right up of my tennis selections.

Parlay

Ancic X Blake @ $2.05


Ancic is a choker, as is Nieminen. However, I can't go past Ancic's form. He's been on fire.

Blake should beat that headcase in straight sets.

Singles:

Tommy Haas @ $3.10
(Over Roddick)

Tommy has been sensational this week. He has looked solid. This will be a 3 setter with Haas winning. His price is too good to ignore.

Tommy Haas 2 - 1 sets @ $5.00

See above - it will be a tight match. Whoever wins, will win in 3.

Mario Ancic 2 - 1 sets @ $4.10

See my above write-up of Ancic. As he has a tendancy to choke, I can see this being a 3 setter. Same as above - whoever wins this match will win in 3 sets.

Good luck!

*Post edited to tell who Haas is playing
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Last edited by Bolar Bolabi : 01-13-2006 at 12:09 PM.
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Old 01-13-2006, 10:53 AM   #3
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Ancic is the play in my opinion. I can't trust Blake at those odds while he continues to struggle throughout his service games.

I won't be going huge on Ancic, however he is definately worth a shot at around $1.50 - $1.55.
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Old 01-13-2006, 10:58 AM   #4
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Bolar - I know I am the King of waffle in my analysis, but you take succinct a little too far! I mean for instance, who the hell does Haas play anyway?
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Old 01-13-2006, 11:05 AM   #5
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Breaker
Ancic is the play in my opinion. I can't trust Blake at those odds while he continues to struggle throughout his service games.

I won't be going huge on Ancic, however he is definately worth a shot at around $1.50 - $1.55.
Yeah agree with you Benny

Blake looks more comfortable in that he leads 2/0 h2h but he is untrustworthy.

Ancic is a little dicey in that he has lost their only encounter (tight match on clay last year) but he has been awesome this week, especially considering the conditions. But Nieminen won't lose finals forever though...

I was thinking of upping the stakes to 20% of my balance from the match but I'm not sure whether I trust Mario enough.
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Old 01-13-2006, 11:18 AM   #6
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by jez
I was thinking of upping the stakes to 20% of my balance from the match but I'm not sure whether I trust Mario enough.
I'd never place 20% of my balance on Ancic, you'd be flirting with danger there. Having said that, Ancic seems to have hit form at the right time. I think 0.5 Units will be enough for me on this one. No need to force it, especially so close to the Aus Open.
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Old 01-13-2006, 11:24 AM   #7
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

AO qualies:

Michael Lammer over Michael Russel @2.25 to win 5 units.

Good Luck!
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Old 01-13-2006, 12:08 PM   #8
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

With u on Lammer!

Lammer @2.25

Benneteau @1.80

Tipsarevic @1.40

smaller play on
Patience @1.60
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Old 01-13-2006, 12:08 PM   #9
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by jez
Bolar - I know I am the King of waffle in my analysis, but you take succinct a little too far! I mean for instance, who the hell does Haas play anyway?
Roddick

I'll edit my post accordingly.
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Old 01-13-2006, 01:04 PM   #10
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

I like Ancic in three sets. But I'm not sure that at 1.50 he's really worth a bet to win. The line should definitely be closer than that, wherever a choker like Ancic is concerned. That is to say, it should be closer in order to justify a bet. Actually Nieminen isn't bad at all at 2.50.

Doesn't anybody think much of Blake X Jaarko @ 3.40?
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Old 01-13-2006, 01:32 PM   #11
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by NewTennisFan
I like Ancic in three sets. But I'm not sure that at 1.50 he's really worth a bet to win. The line should definitely be closer than that, wherever a choker like Ancic is concerned. That is to say, it should be closer in order to justify a bet. Actually Nieminen isn't bad at all at 2.50.

Doesn't anybody think much of Blake X Jaarko @ 3.40?
1. Considering Ancic's form and scorelines this week - 1.50 is quite good and certainly better than I was expecting.

2. This is the first time that Nieminen has gone past a QF on Reebound Ace...Ancic has done this several times. Nieminen has never until now won a title despite several finals...Ancic is now in the winner's circle.

3. Blake has won all bar 1 of his titles in the US. He is favourite to win but his serve was picked off a lot yesterday. Andreev seems to be like a tank...I thought he'd have run out of steam by now but he still keeps going so don't rule out another gruelling win.

4. Blake is unreliable at times x Jarrko as a somewhat big underdog = flush money down toilet parlay.

But hey, if it comes off then good on yer!
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Old 01-13-2006, 01:43 PM   #12
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

In my mind.. Blake is not worth to play at this stake. he and Ginperi are kind of players who play their best tennis during big tournaments.. so upcoming AO will be worth to play these two guys.

As it goes for today, Ancic seems to be the most sure one.. with this form he's able to beat Nieminen.
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Old 01-13-2006, 02:13 PM   #13
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by JMG
With u on Lammer!

Lammer @2.25

Benneteau @1.80

Tipsarevic @1.40

smaller play on
Patience @1.60
Good Luck!

Your bookie is BAW, right?
I might add Mirnyi over Coria, looks good to me.
Coria always has his problems with big servers.
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Old 01-13-2006, 02:31 PM   #14
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Murraymount
Good Luck!

Your bookie is BAW, right?
I might add Mirnyi over Coria, looks good to me.
Coria always has his problems with big servers.
Mix of BAW and gamebookers.
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Old 01-13-2006, 02:33 PM   #15
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Default Re: Super Saturday!

BAW sucks Crap odds
Did ya get your 10Euro bonus?
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