10-30-2005, 08:43 AM
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Australia V West Indies - Test Series betting - Official thread!
We'll have this as the official thread for the 3 test series - Australia V West Indies at the Gabba, Bellrieve and the Adelaide Oval.
Before we have a look at bets, I've done some research. I will be putting some $$$$ on West Indies to win this first test and also win the series. I'll finalise the play later on in the week, but I'll have a look at this.
This is based on performances this year and not previous years. Looking at the list as to how they will line up I've got statistics from 2005 only. Interesting to have a look.
Chris Gayle V Matthew Hayden (431 runs for Gayle compared to Hayden's 721 but Gayle has played 5 matches and Hayden 10. So if anything, it's pretty even. Hayden has only done something of late whereas Gayle hasn't played since June - hard to call.) - I'd say Hayden.
Devon Smith V Justin Langer (114 - 669 - 3 matches compared to 10) - I Give that to Langer.
Ramnaresh Sarwan V Ricky Ponting (319 - 963 - 5 matches compared to 10) -I give that to Ponting without a doubt.
Brian Lara V Michael Clarke (Self explanatory - 765 - 452. 6 matches compared to 10) Lara has it.
Shivnarine Chanderpaul V Simon Katich (877 - 438. 8 matches compared to 9) - Chanderpaul has it.
Marlon Samuels V Shane Watson - Even (Marlon hasn't played yet Watson has only played 2 games. Can't give it to anyone. Lets call it even.) - Even
Denesh Ramdin V Adam Gilchrist (Self explanatory) Gilchrist it is.
Corey Collymore V Shane Warne (15 wickets - 68 wickets) Warne without a doubt.
Daren Powell V Brett Lee
Powell - 22 wickets
Lee - 22 wickets
Average: Powell - 41.63
Average: Lee - 41.72
Strike Rate: Powell - 74.5
Strike Rate: Lee - 57.0
Economy Rate: Powell - 3.35
Economy Rate: Lee - 4.30
Best Figures: Powell - 5/25
Best Figures: Lee - 4/82
I give that to Powell - Just.
Jermaine Lawson V Nathan Bracken (11 wickets in 2 matches to Bracken none in 2) - I give it to Lawson, but if I was to follow consistency, I'd call it even like Watson and Samuels.
Fidel Edwards V Glenn McGrath (6 wickets in 2 matches compared to 44 in 8 matches) - McGrath without a doubt.
If I was to look at it more, I would have this:
Australia win with 6 positions
West Indies win with 4 positions
Draw with 1 position.
If I was to look at past statistics to even out Samuels and Watson I'd have:
Australia - 6
West Indies - 5
Matching that up - you will see that it's pretty even across the board. Result will be a close series. Australia will not have an easy win here. If Australia win the series, West Indies will be competitive and Australia will have to work hard for it.
Look at that and West Indies middle order is superior to Australia's middle order whilst Australia's top order is superior to West Indies top order and it's pretty even for the lower order batting wise. Didn't pull the batting stats for the Bowlers but I would almost give the edge to the Windies lower order in batting based on what I know from the 4 players concerned.
The bowling aspect of things - pretty even. I'd give Australia the edge due to McGrath and Warne.
If Langer doesn't play this week, I'd be tempted to go with either a West Indies win or a draw in the first test.
I'll finalise my bets when the teams are made.
I've put all this here just to show that Australia may not do it as easy as people think they will.
Series result - Australia 1 - 0 and 2 - 0 are possible. 1 - 1 is possible or 2 - 1 Australia's way is possible. It won't be a clean sweep. I can assure you that.
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