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Old 10-09-2005, 10:29 AM   #1
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Default Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

ATP, Moscow, fast carpet
Davydenko - Bracciali: Davydenko must-win, Bracciali is bad... Easy.
@ 1.12 MF +++
Serra - Hernych: Hernych is unknown, Serra ok, good serve, good recent plays, but strange that he pulled out of Metz... Serra is better.
@ 1.6 MF +
Clement - Vik: Clement is better... Vik seems to be ery poor, Arno is ok, should beat him.
@ 1.55 MF +
Andreev - Kohlschreiber: Not Andreev, his style of play doesn't suit well for this surface... But Kohlschreiber is even worse, taking into consideration it is Moscow, Andreev better win...
@ 1.2 MF ++
Tursunov - Carlsen: Tursunov's killer serve might hel him in this match, Carlsen is not optimal, believe in Dmitriy here...
@ 1.6 MF +
Volandri - Sabau: Poor dirt-worms, winner loosing to Tursunov/Carlsen in stright...
NO BET
Kiefer - Popp: Do not bet against big serves in Moscow
NO BET
Mayer - Burgsmuller: Burgsmuller, poor guy, -8 from Sluiter... Mayer is not optimal, but i smell that he'll do the job. Very weak quarter here, so anyone can reach 1/4...
@ 1.45 MF +
Muller - Gabashvili: Muller is a little bit better, but Gabashvili seems to be ok, not sure about Giles...
NO BET
Mirnyi - Kirillov: Mirniy seems to be out of form, at least he's got a good draw here... Not thinking about Max loosing to 18-year teenager, just different levels (Hello, Siriani ), but difficult win for him (tie-breaks again?)
1.12 MF ++
Rusedski - Llodra: Llodra is ok and Greg's conditions are unknown, believe in frenchman here, but still, pure NO BET
NO BET

ATP, Stockholm, fast indoor
Acasuso - CRochus: Chucho all da way, but he is not-so-good-indoor-specialist to trust money for him.
NO BET
Beck - Ancic: Woo-hoo, Wesley "High odds winner" Moodie Ancic is coming to stockholm to face against not-so-bad Karol Beck, who is clear favourite for me here... That's not the question of Ancic not being able to play two weeks in row, but simply long travel, no points to defend, looming Madrid Masters...
2.85 MF + (5.6 in stright)
Blake - Garcia-Lopez: poor blake, who was thrashed by ORochus in DC, against pretty well serving GGL @ 1.15? All value is on spaniard here...
NO BET
Srichaphan - Verdasco: Srichaphan is ok, not great but ok, Verdasco i also not bad, but i feel that mighty Thai would win... to be beaten in next round...
NO BET
Dent - Sanguinetti: again don't understand odds, equal players in equal form... why 1.3 on Dent? C'mon, Davide, make some good payout!
NO BET
T. Johansson - Eleskovic: Can't see ToJo loosing here, but Eleskovic is pretty good for his level, i think that won't be too easy for Thomas, still, if he want to catch Shanghai he have to win every match...
1.05 MF +++
Malisse - Monaco: Malisse is played in Mons final, might be too tired? Still, Monaco is kind of guy who is loosing easily, even Indoor, 1.15 on Xavier don't worth it at all.
NO BET
Bjorkman - Moodie: Bjorkman, who caught his form, at home will deal with happy and tired by long flight Moodie in stright.
1.6 MF +++ (2.4 in stright)
Nieminen - Massu: Nieminen saved 8 MP in 1/4 and didn't got any of 6 MP in 1/2 against Moodie in Tokyo... nevertheless he ois playing great, Massu sucks, saw his game against Calleri - lotta breaks, fast Indoors do not allow such people to win... Jarkko, but not very sure...
1.45 MF ++

+ - quite sure
++ - pretty sure
+++ - very sure

Your suggestions, please...
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Old 10-09-2005, 04:01 PM   #2
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

I don't know what the odds are for Chucho, but he is a favourite to beat C.Rochus. He has improved on HC and Rochus has not

Agree about Jarkko - he should win, as should Jonas against a tired Moodie

Surely Davide should get better odds than that...it's not as if Dent is so unstopable right now
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Old 10-09-2005, 04:34 PM   #3
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Jarkko lost his last 4 matches in Stockholm - but he'll win on Tuesday/Wednesday!
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Old 10-09-2005, 09:45 PM   #4
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Clement + Dent @ 2.00

I like Vik and he had so many wins this year but against strong opponents he piss his pants...

Why Dent? Because he is the better player with much more impressive wins than Sanguinetti. Taylor should kill the italian with his serve...
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Old 10-09-2005, 09:47 PM   #5
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Jarko and Bjorkman are great bets with great odds but they are not tomorrow!
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Old 10-10-2005, 12:19 AM   #6
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

After a strong payoff from Wesley Moodie winning Tokyo, I don't think I will bet on him against Jonas Bjorkman.

These are the bets that I will place:

20 units on Srichaphan over Verdasco @ 1.00
50 units on Monaco over Malisse @ 3.50
30 units on Sabau over Volandri @ 1.30
20 units on Bracciali over Davydenko @ 4.50
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Old 10-10-2005, 12:50 AM   #7
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

anyone on fernando gonzalez @ 1.83 vs thomas berdych ???
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Old 10-10-2005, 02:33 AM   #8
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Just clement to beat Vik for me @ $1.40

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Old 10-10-2005, 04:46 AM   #9
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Vik to beat Clement - $2.85

Best indoor player on the challenger circuit, at + odds will have a shot to beat Clement.

good luck

Last edited by bad gambler : 10-10-2005 at 06:02 AM.
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Old 10-10-2005, 05:28 AM   #10
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Chela * Cho * Mayer @ $3.60!!

Take these to the bank! Mayer is an absolute gimme IMO @ $1.40!!
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Old 10-10-2005, 05:49 AM   #11
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Adding:

Parlay:

Cho x Nakkamura - $1.90

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Old 10-10-2005, 06:37 AM   #12
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Volandri X Chakvetadze @ 4.00

Sanguinetti X Peer X Nakamura @ 4.35

Acasuso X Chela X Cho @ 4.43

Good luck
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Old 10-10-2005, 06:41 AM   #13
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

ATP, Vienna, not-so-fast-indoor

Nalbandian - Groesjan: two good players with unknown current form. Any outcome is possible.
NO BET

Seppi - Lapenti N: Seppi looks better, nice clay season, pretty good latest results... if Lapenti is in good condition - i don't know, very doubtful, loosing to poor Carlsen is not sign of good form. Seppi for me here.
1.65 ++

Ferrero - Wawrinka: a little bit outpriced JCF... Losses to Seppi and Behrend on favourite clay show that something is wrong. Wawrinka also prefers slow surfaces, so let's wait and see, who is better prepared for indoor season.
NO BET

Stepanek - Horna: It's gonna be tight match, both are serving pretty well, few tiebreaks are must, and to guess a winner is quite difficult for me...
OVER +++

Novak - Marach: Novak is having bad year, without any BIG win... Marach is weak, but plays at home... No opinion...
NO BET

Lopez F - Peya: Feliciano has to defend last year points here, so i suppose that he would try hard, it would be enough against struggling Peya. GOGOGO Lopez!
1.25 +++

Berdych - Gonsalez: I respect Gonsalez much, and won't bet against him, i won't bet on Berdych either, very tight match of very good players.
NO BET

Moya - Phau: Seems like Moya got his usual form back and become again dangerous and skilled player... Phau, reaching semis in Tokyo, prooved that he can play well not only at challengers.
NO BET

Haas - Zib: of course, Zib lost 7 out of last 8 games, he never played well on fast surfaces, but... Haas lost to Y.T.Wang, and had problems with Labadze... Probably not easy match for Tommy, hope he wins.
NO BET

Ljubicic - Calleri: Ivan is in great form, he like indoors, no chance here for Argentinian. Ljubicic can play three weeks in a row, so i'm not afraid that he would be satisfied only by Metz title and will surely try his best at Vienna. Beside, he has quite an easy draw to get at least to semis.
1.28 +++

Robredo - Mello: i won't bet on Tommy @ 1.2 even if he plays Johannes Matschke (well, only if he plays Matschke)... Mello is not so bad player and can produce an upset...
NO BET

Minar I - Kim K: not very well playing guys, i'll better skip it.
NO BET

Gaudio - Melzer: 5 clay titles this year and 8-10 for matches not on clay. Yes, Melzer has skills and courage to beat Gaudio, but i feel that Gaston came to Austria not to loose in first round...
NO BET

WTA, Bangkock, Hard

Asagoe - Serra-Zanetti Antonella: well, at first glance, we have clear win for Shinobu, she played well after US Open, loosing to players on good run and easily beating weak opponents... ASZ lost to poor nowadays Marta, got -7 from Camerin, frankly speaking not awful, so let's suppose that both players are in their "real" form, and this means that class difference will decide everything - Shinobu to advance!
1.35 ++

Vaidisova - Spears: What to say, one great player versus one bad player, don't think that Vaidisova is too tired for not beating Spears. She just don't looses to such players!
1.15 +++

Dulko - Jackson: two players in unknown (possibly bad) form, skip here.
NO BET

Castano - Vento: Castano showed some good matches recently, Vento didn't won a set since USOpen, does it mean that we should back Castano? Probably, but really, not so sure bet.
1.65 ++ (2.6 stright sets)

Martinez - Tanasugarn: one guy told me that Tamarine suffering from some kind of injury, Martinez is playing well, and, more important, do not loose to players, weaker than her. So, 1.3 here seems like a good deal.
1.3 +++ (1.7 stright, handicap -5 @ 1.85)

Mirza - Nagyova: Mirza, after astonishing losses to Bychkova and Czink, played well in Tokyo, reaching semis. But how good or bad Nagyova is unknown, she lost to powerfull Kirilenko and come through Garbin. Let's see, if Mirza is able to continue her recent good run.
NO BET

Ruano Pascual - Fujiwara: both players playing bad, easy way to quarters for Mirza.
NO BET

Petrova - Llagostera: hmmm, Nadia skipped Kremlin Cup to take part in 170$k Tier 3? Strange, don't you think? Llagostera made a miracle in Bejing, winning 3 of 4 matches with hosters. I won't touch it.
NO BET

Peer - Bremond: both are playing well, one small note - Bremond seem to have problems with physical training, she often looses last sets with big score like 6-0, 6-1... Peer is playing average tennis right now, don't think that her win would be easy (or will be at all).
NO BET (Over 19.5)

Cho - Sucha: Cho lost to ABondarenko, Sucha is loosing to everyone, great match
NO BET

Camerin - Viratpraset: well, Camerin seems to be playing lotta better, and, more important, on much higher level. Viratpraset never making 'miracles', i.e. winning someone whose class is better than her, i suppose, that Camerin is good bet here.
1.3 ++

Nakamura - Meng Yuan: well, Nakamura is better, i think, she will win, but chinese girl has showed something recently (i mean ITF Bejing title), so i wouldn't touch this.
1.25 +



WTA, Moscow, very-fast-carpet

Safina - Farina: one can say that Farina is already done... I'll agree Tight match with Likhovtseva means only weakness of Elena. Dinara is at home, did well last week, so why not another loose for Silvia Farina Elia?
1.28 +++

Likhovtseva - Douchevina: for me Douchevina here, because i suppose that Likhovtseva playing bad (match with struggling Farina).
2.2 +

Chakvetadze - Schnyder: Patty playing not @ 100%, she has _very_ impressive loosing record in Moscow, but somehow i think that she will win, Chakvetadze didn't win any big matches in autumn...
1.5 +

Myskina - Maleeva: easy as it should be, defending champion on a good run versus poor old Maleeva. Cash in, please.
1.18 +++

Kirilenko - Zvonareva: Maria did impressive tourne in Asia, rising to 26 rank... Zvonareva played bad, but she always play well here, so i won't bet on Maria, although i want to
1.75 +

Groenfeld - Ivanovic: Ivanovic played awful against Schnyder, tons of UE's, and overall results last several months don't impress at all. Groenfeld prooved that she really deserves to be in Top 20, and i am sure, she won't have any problem with Ivanovic.
1.55 +++ (Stright 2.4)

Dechy - Penneta: liked Dechy very much in Filderstadt, she is on a good run, Penneta also produced stunning win over Henin @ 17 but i think that was Henin, who made this possible. Dechy is better player and she will win this.
1.45 ++

Linetskaya - Peshke: Zhenya is having some personal problems, don't think she was training hard before Kremlin Cup, Peschke has all chances!
1.75 ++
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Old 10-10-2005, 06:53 AM   #14
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Chela x Ferrer @ 2.26

Serra
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Old 10-10-2005, 07:34 AM   #15
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Default Re: Moscow & Vienna & Stockholm - first Round... 10-11 October

Mayer x Chela x Ferrer @ 3.06 good luck
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