I think that Tommy's will be more fresh than Carlos.
I think that's true, since Tommy only played for 53 minutes yesterday..
...but in all his matches this week he generally gets off to a slow start and then gets into the match. I think if Tommy wins a set, it will either be a close first set, or the second set.
I also wonder how his shoulder's holding up now that he's been playing some matches since he was out getting treatment on that the week before Barcelona. He didn't play much in Barcelona so this was his first week of real match play after the treatment.