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Old 03-23-2005, 11:18 AM   #16
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

no play for me today , but one particular 1st rd match that has my attention is lisnard TBT young. is this a no brainer or what?

if i go through with this it will be the first and probably last time i will back lisnard as he generaly has ugly results.

but taking into account lisnards qualy results; 46 61 62 over goldstein who is known to pick his game up on home soil and 62 64 over bogomolov who would have been super keen to get some runs on the board. i would say he would have too much in the trunk for the youngster.

if for some reason lisnard throws away his ok qualy form and loses to young then will be able to get back most if not all of that loss by backing chela TBT young in next rd.

the only drawback is having to back lisnard , which normally for me would be a big , big no.

sportodds have lisnard priced at 1.16 which is ok i think. will have a look at qualy stats and forum thoughts before commiting.

no hurry as not played tomorrow.

Last edited by gsm : 03-23-2005 at 11:36 AM.
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:23 AM   #17
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

OK lads this is what i got....

parlay kim/saulnier/verdasco - pays $3.99

and also hitting saulnier single as well gives me $1.80

Last edited by bad gambler : 03-23-2005 at 11:30 AM.
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:29 AM   #18
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

also going to hit a single for value - although enqvist has been in decent form think the match against lee is still 50/50

taking lee single @ $2.70
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:36 AM   #19
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

lol... why take lisnard at 1.16??
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:39 AM   #20
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that
lol... why take lisnard at 1.16??

Who took Lisnard?
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:41 AM   #21
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

yeah not worth it - $1.16 plays are out the door for me unless it is a cert into a parlay play
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:44 AM   #22
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

backing some large prices there BG (3.99 , 1.80 and 2.70). the biggest odds i have backed this year is 1.33.

are you/or is anyone else laughing at my thoughts on backing lisnard for the huge return of 16%?
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:47 AM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
backing some large prices there BG (3.99 , 1.80 and 2.70). the biggest odds i have backed this year is 1.33.

are you/or is anyone else laughing at my thoughts on backing lisnard for the huge return of 16%?
to be honest i'd rather lose my money on "bigger plays" say $1.60+ then the short odds that you suggest - trust me its more painful if you lose on a $1.16 play!

and no we are not laughing at your play - just think its hardly worth risking your cash for a $1.16 play
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:51 AM   #24
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by MalmöKrampan
Who took Lisnard?
me.

most of my bets average about 1.10

as i said lisnard is not someone i would normally contemplate backing. but i say again , if lisnard loses than you could get back your loss through backing chela TBT young in the next rd.

thoughts???
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:53 AM   #25
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

BTW i have made a 165% profit on my initial bank this year.
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:57 AM   #26
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

guys, personnaly, and although I'm one of this player's biggest fan, I wouldn't bet on thomas enqvist. Logically, he should be able to beat Lee but you just never know with him. He can become very inconsistent if it happens to be windy in Key Biscayne.
My tip is Michael Llodra and as a frenchman, I know what I'm talking about (1.66 on William Hill)
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:57 AM   #27
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
me.

most of my bets average about 1.10

as i said lisnard is not someone i would normally contemplate backing. but i say again , if lisnard loses than you could get back your loss through backing chela TBT young in the next rd.

thoughts???
If you feel that there is no way that Lisnard can lose, then why not take him?? Simple as that. Then the odd 1.16 becomes value...

Good luck!
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:59 AM   #28
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
BTW i have made a 165% profit on my initial bank this year.
really? have you lost any bets??
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Old 03-23-2005, 11:59 AM   #29
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Gsm if you can pull it off each year its good the only point is that although youre hit rate will be very high you only need one or two to go down to set you back.

However if it suits you and you found a formula for you that works keep it.

Good luck to us all today trying to bust the books!!
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Old 03-23-2005, 12:02 PM   #30
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Default Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

i would not be shocked if lisnard lost to young but would jump off a bridge if young BT chela. see where i am coming from?
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