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Old 08-17-2013, 08:51 PM   #16
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Delpo-Isner

6-7
7-6

of course I was on delpo so despite the 1-1 the acca is lost

overall 2-12
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Old 08-18-2013, 07:36 PM   #17
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

onto doubles... 2 won

Groenefeld A./Peschke K. - Hsieh S-W./Peng S. 10-12 in my favour
Bryans 10-4 for me

overall 4-12

Last edited by motorhead : 08-18-2013 at 09:36 PM.
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Old 08-19-2013, 09:06 PM   #18
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

de schepper-berankis 6-7 against

4-13
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Old 08-20-2013, 06:10 PM   #19
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Nieminen-Fish 6-7 against
Kern-Vagnozzi 7-6 in my favor (Kern was down 6-3 )
Reister-Puetz 6-7 against
rufin-robredo 6-7 against

overall 5-16

the only one in my favour proved to be useless as Kern went on to lose the match quite easily. I'm quite speechless....

Last edited by motorhead : 08-21-2013 at 02:36 AM.
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Old 08-21-2013, 06:14 PM   #20
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

I've no words... Querrey-Nieminen 6-7 against. 1 mini break lead. the second set tie break of this match wasn't in my favor as I took querrey live in the third to put him in an accumulator.

overall 5-17, that's 22%

edit: I wrote this while querrey was 6-3* down in the final tb and incredibly he came back and won it 12-10

updated score is now 6-16, 27%

Last edited by motorhead : 08-21-2013 at 06:21 PM.
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Old 08-21-2013, 10:10 PM   #21
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Quote:
Originally Posted by motorhead View Post
I've no words... Querrey-Nieminen 6-7 against. 1 mini break lead. the second set tie break of this match wasn't in my favor as I took querrey live in the third to put him in an accumulator.

overall 5-17, that's 22%
Ugly. 50/50s? Or you on the underdog?

If they were 50/50s, the chance of that happening by just ye olde bad luck is about 0.8%.

Edit: saw your edit, 6-16 is 2.6%, unfortunately that happens fairly regularly if you bet enough.

Last edited by philosophicalarf : 08-21-2013 at 10:13 PM.
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Old 08-21-2013, 11:07 PM   #22
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

cermak/polasek-huey/inglot 6-7 against (had mini break lead)

overall 6-17, 26%


Quote:
Originally Posted by philosophicalarf View Post
Ugly. 50/50s? Or you on the underdog?

If they were 50/50s, the chance of that happening by just ye olde bad luck is about 0.8%.

Edit: saw your edit, 6-16 is 2.6%, unfortunately that happens fairly regularly if you bet enough.
when I bet following my 'normal' routine I'm only on underdogs but these weeks I'm going for some accas and some dogs so you can understand how a 26% looks crazy to me as there are many dogs in this thread's tie-breaks.
the sample is quite small but I really want to see how this will go approaching the 100 tb mark and further.
have you ever kept record of your tie-breaks?

I'm considering doing a similar thing for the 1,01 gone busted and the ones that turned out in my favor

Last edited by motorhead : 08-21-2013 at 11:14 PM.
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Old 08-22-2013, 01:24 AM   #23
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Quote:
Originally Posted by motorhead View Post

I'm considering doing a similar thing for the 1,01 gone busted and the ones that turned out in my favor
speaking of which... today I had Sugita to close an acca and he had double match point when already up a break, wasn't live on bf but it's safe to say this would have been another 1.01 busted.


Nielsen F./Butorac E. -Verdasco F./Marrero S. D. 7-6 my favor
Robredo-Monfils 6-7 against (this was obviously the one I needed more of the two)

7-18, 28%
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Old 08-23-2013, 12:46 AM   #24
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

three for me (heavy dogs)

Halep-Makarova 7-6
Ito-Rochette 7-6
Karlovic-Bagnis 7-6

one against (the match was won anyway)
kyrgos-souza 6-7
10-19, up to 34%

Last edited by motorhead : 08-23-2013 at 03:02 AM.
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Old 08-23-2013, 03:43 AM   #25
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Dancevic winning the crucial one for my acca being down 4-1*

11-19, 36.6%
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Old 08-23-2013, 08:22 PM   #26
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

three against

Dolgo-Monfils 6-7 (as it was the fist set you never can't tell but I would have won big money with Dolgo)
Evans-Maceiras 6-7 (won it anyway)
Arnaboldi-Dutra 6-7 (crucial, I would have won a lot)

11-22, 33%

Last edited by motorhead : 08-24-2013 at 12:41 AM.
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Old 08-24-2013, 01:15 AM   #27
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Law of averages saving your ass.

Best truism of gambling: in the short term, it's all about luck. Midterm, still mostly luck. Only really longterm do you see your actual results.
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Old 08-24-2013, 02:16 AM   #28
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Quote:
Originally Posted by philosophicalarf View Post
Law of averages saving your ass.

Best truism of gambling: in the short term, it's all about luck. Midterm, still mostly luck. Only really longterm do you see your actual results.
o'brien-souto (yea I know... ) 6-7 against. this would have won me a lot as I had O'Brien to to win the set @7 and even had a SP on opponent's serve.... not a chance that I come up with a win in a big one

edit:it seems that crying over hopeless TBs helps to turn around the result
I've got a big one finally. o'brien won being 4-1* down just like querry two days ago, I thought it was over. I think I was 1 won out of the last 6 on underdogs. Being on underdogs on my normal days probably affects the % more than what I though it would.


12-22, 35.3%

Last edited by motorhead : 08-24-2013 at 02:37 AM.
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Old 08-24-2013, 08:42 PM   #29
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

Darcis-Michon 7-6 my way (heavy dog)

13-22, 37%
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Old 08-26-2013, 07:14 PM   #30
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Default Re: My score in tie breaks is absolutely shocking

ramos-tomic 6-7 (non influential for how things turned out) against

13-23, 36%

Last edited by motorhead : 08-26-2013 at 09:38 PM.
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