I made projected final standings for the World Cup. That takes into account the number of races in each discipline, and should show better than the actual standings who's the favourite for the overall title:
Sad, he's one of my favourites, it's not anymore so common for the speed event guys to by competitive in giant slalom. Reichelt was one of those guys. And he just won the prestigius Hahnenkamm downhill in Kitzbühel, he was in a great form. So sad he'll miss the Olympics, would've been one of my favourite skiers alongside Kostelic who's chasing his first gold medal.
An exciting World Cup Finals week coming. Men's overall title wide open between Hirscher and Svindal, women's overall title wide open between Höfl-Riesch and Fenninger. Also some tight disdipline title battles.
Mark my words, he's a future Overall World Cup champion. He isn't ready yet but I'm sure he'll be a force also in GS, and we can already say he has the mentality to succeed. That's already enough for the overall with the tech-favoring schedule, look at Hirscher. And Norwegians are usually good all-rounders, I believe Henrik will become another. He won't be a new Svindal in speed events but he'll be a Kostelic/Raich-style overall skier with tech events as his specialty.
Let's wait a moment. A great start and leads the overall World Cup but he should continue winning almost all downhills and super-Gs to win the overall title. Or be a solid top 10 skier in giant slalom. Or Hirscher lose his consistency. Too bad Kjetil's giant slalom hasn't been in recent years where it was some five years ago, like when he won the Olympic silver in GS.
Now Hirscher has surpassed Jansrud, both of them always making the podium in their parade disciplines. Hard to see anybody else winning the overall WC, and Jansrud is still to prove he can maintain his level throughout the season. Even then it'd be hard, with more tech than speed events, Jansrud would need top 15 or even top 10 results from giant slalom. I have projected final standings here, based on the average score in each discipline. If Jansrud retained his form, he'd finish just ahead of Hirscher. Still, top 2 by Jansrud in all speed events is an even more unrealistic assumption than top 3 by Hirscher in all tech events.
Time for the coolest downhill of the year. Wengen the beautiful
Three skiers have been over others in the training runs, Mayer (1st on Tuesday, 2nd today), Jansrud (3rd, 1st), and Janka (2nd, 3rd). Janka is still far from his heyday's form but he's almost always done well in Wengen. And Jansrud needs to keep getting good results, preferably wins, for his overall title campaign.
A bit unusual schedule this weekend, Combined on Friday, Slalom on Saturday, and Downhill on Sunday.