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Old 07-05-2012, 07:10 AM   #1
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Question Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Out of a 100, how would you rate the chances of each of the remaining participants winning the tournament?.
Let me start off...

Djokovic : 51%
Murray: 24%
Federer: 23%
Tsonga: 2%.

(of course, the probabilities of Fed and Murray winning would change their respective positions, if both of them happen to win their respective semis, which right now, on Fed's part seems unlikely).

What about you?
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Old 07-05-2012, 07:26 AM   #2
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic: 40%
Federer: 30%
Murray: 20%
Tsonga: 10%
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Old 07-05-2012, 07:28 AM   #3
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic: 40%
Federer: 30%
Murray: 10%
Tsonga: 20%
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Old 07-05-2012, 07:40 AM   #4
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic 64%
Murray 15%
Federer 15%
Tsonga 6%
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Old 07-05-2012, 08:04 AM   #5
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic 35%
Federer 35%
Murray 20%
Tsonga 10%

A bit of a cop-out, really, but my thinking is that whoever wins between Djokovic-Federer is the favorite to win the tournament. Though if they tire each other out, and the Murray/Tsonga semi goes by faster, then who knows.
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Old 07-05-2012, 08:18 AM   #6
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Nole 110%
Fed 0%
Murray and Jo, -5% each.
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Old 07-05-2012, 08:41 AM   #7
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Tsonga 98%
Djokovic 1.5%
Federer 0.5%
BYE 0%
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Old 07-05-2012, 10:04 AM   #8
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BroTree123 View Post
Tsonga 98%
Djokovic 1.5%
Federer 0.5%
BYE 0%

D:60%
F:30%
M:10%
T:0%
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Old 07-05-2012, 10:09 AM   #9
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic 49%
Federer 45%
Tsonga 5%
Murray 1%
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Old 07-05-2012, 10:40 AM   #10
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic 36% (has looked stong, played well inside and out; defending champion)
Federer 34% (has performed well in pressure situations, played extremely well when "it's clicked"; six-time champion)
Tsonga 25% (good grass court player, looks to be in form; can beat Djokovic and Federer on the big stage)
Murray 5% (has played intermittently well, home crowd advantage, but almost always fails on the big stage against the Top 3)

Last edited by ServeVolley : 07-05-2012 at 10:48 AM.
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Old 07-05-2012, 10:55 AM   #11
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Fed: 50%
Djoko: 25%
Tsonga: 25%
Murray: 0% (I like him but he's not beating fed or nole).
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Old 07-05-2012, 12:25 PM   #12
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic 45%
Federer 35%
Tsonga 15%
Murray 5%
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Old 07-05-2012, 12:33 PM   #13
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic= 60%

Federer= 30%

Tsonga= 10%

Other player= Who cares
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Old 07-05-2012, 12:35 PM   #14
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

Djokovic: 40%
Federer: 30%
Murray: 15%
Tsonga: 15%
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Old 07-05-2012, 12:35 PM   #15
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Default Re: Rate the chances of the 4 players remaining.

I'll go with Mr Betfair:

Djoko 56%
Feder 20%
Murra 17%
Tsong 7%


Federer's price really depends on how much you assess his back limits his chances, especially in a longer match.

Also Fed doesn't seem to make finals much lately - only one in the last 9 slams. Have to question his belief, after the way he lost to Djoko in Paris, and Nadal in Melbourne.

Last edited by philosophicalarf : 07-05-2012 at 12:41 PM.
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