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Old 09-12-2010, 04:26 PM   #646
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi View Post
Stage 15

3.5 units Mosquera @ $5
1 unit Mosquera @ $11
.3 units Siutsou @ $81
.3 units Marchante @ $81
.3 units Arroyo @ $81
.3 units Intxausti @ $51
.3 units Bruseghin @ $51

10 units Mosquera over Schleck @ $1.52
7 units Rodriguez over Schleck @ $1.72
3.5 units Roche over Tondo @ $2.70
+8.39

The reason why that it's less than what they add up to is because I had other bets on that I didn't post.

Vuelta Record

Stage 1: +28.5
Stage 2: -10
Stage 3: +10.86
Stage 4: -4.25
Stage 5: +6.92
Stage 6: -6
Stage 7: -5.52
Stage 8: +6.14
Stage 9: No bet
Stage 10 -2.28
Stage 11: +10.35
Stage 12: -2
Stage 13: +7.6
Stage 14: +5.95
Stage 15: +8.39

Overall: +54.66
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Old 09-13-2010, 07:36 AM   #647
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

What do you think about today? I think Xacobeo should put the hammer down from the start of the second climb. They have the staff to do that with David Garcia, Rabunal, Marcos Garcia...
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Old 09-13-2010, 08:49 AM   #648
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

12 units Rodriguez over Sastre @ $1.45

8 units Mosquera over Nibali @ $1.60

6 units Rodriguez over Nibali @ $1.80

I think Katusha and Xacobea will absolutely hammer the race and try and isolate Nibali before the final climb where Rodriguez and Mosquera can form an alliance and ride away from him.

If those teams don't hammer the race on the climbs, then Nibali has won.
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Old 09-13-2010, 09:46 AM   #649
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Stage 16:

Mosquera to win @3
Mechov to win @67
Marchante to win @81
Javier Moreno to win @151

Mosquera to beat Nibali @1.62
Txurruka to beat Gusev @1.72
Marzano to beat Rabunal @2.20
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Old 09-13-2010, 04:31 PM   #650
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi View Post
12 units Rodriguez over Sastre @ $1.45

8 units Mosquera over Nibali @ $1.60

6 units Rodriguez over Nibali @ $1.80

I think Katusha and Xacobea will absolutely hammer the race and try and isolate Nibali before the final climb where Rodriguez and Mosquera can form an alliance and ride away from him.

If those teams don't hammer the race on the climbs, then Nibali has won.


+15 units

Vuelta Record

Stage 1: +28.5
Stage 2: -10
Stage 3: +10.86
Stage 4: -4.25
Stage 5: +6.92
Stage 6: -6
Stage 7: -5.52
Stage 8: +6.14
Stage 9: No bet
Stage 10 -2.28
Stage 11: +10.35
Stage 12: -2
Stage 13: +7.6
Stage 14: +5.95
Stage 15: +8.39
Stage 16: +15

Overall: +69.66
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Old 09-13-2010, 05:02 PM   #651
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Txurruka was in the escape but Euskaltel used him to work for Nieve... Unbelievable how unlucky i am.
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Old 09-13-2010, 05:06 PM   #652
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

And Gusev wasn't even in the group of the favourites on Cobertoria.
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Old 09-14-2010, 07:08 PM   #653
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

6 units David Millar over Dave Zabriskie @ $1.90 (Bet365)
3 units Luis Leon Sanchez over Vladimir Karpets @ $2.60
6 units David Millar over Mikhail Ignatiev @ $1.85

4 units David Millar top 3 @ $2.50

Got on these early and already the prices have gone in on some.
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Old 09-14-2010, 08:20 PM   #654
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

10 units Gustav Larsson over Denis Menchov @ $1.45
6 units David Millar over Mikhail Ignatiev @ $1.85
6 units David Millar over Dave Zabriskie @ $1.90
3 units Luis Leon Sanchez over Vladimir Karpets @ $2.60

4 units Millar top 3 @ $2.50
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Old 09-14-2010, 08:21 PM   #655
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

I must say, that Millar/Ignatiev bet has moved into 1.57
That Sanchez bet has moved into 2.20
That Millar/Zabriskie bet is moving in.
That Larsson/Menchov bet will move in.

The reward you get for doing an all nighter to secure great odds.
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Old 09-14-2010, 09:10 PM   #656
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

15 units Caisse to win the Teams Classification @ $2.80 (Sportingbet)
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Old 09-15-2010, 06:25 AM   #657
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Stage 17

10 units Gustav Larsson over Denis Menchov @ $1.45
6 units David Millar over Mikhail Ignatiev @ $1.85
6 units David Millar over Dave Zabriskie @ $1.90
5 units Phillipe Gilbert over Danielle Bennati @ $1.60
5 units Tom Danielson over Jean Christophe Peraud @ $1.65
3 units Luis Leon Sanchez over Vladimir Karpets @ $2.60
5 units Ruben Plaza over Joaquim Rodriguez x Fabian Cancellara over Gustav Larsson @ $2

7 units Cancellara to win @ $1.75
4 units Millar top 3 @ $2.50
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Old 09-15-2010, 06:43 AM   #658
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Karpets and Ignatiev should be plenty motivated imo. They will ride for the team GC plus they have to set times for Purito. At least in theory...
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Old 09-15-2010, 06:46 AM   #659
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

I think i read somewhere that Karpets lost time Monday on purpose so he could start not so close to Purito.
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Old 09-15-2010, 07:53 AM   #660
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Default Re: Bolar's 2010 Cycling Thread

Either Mosquera is sick or he is badly underrated. He had really good ITT results in 2008 and then screwed up both ITTs at the Vuelta in 2009, he showed promise again this year. And it's almost like he will ride with one leg...
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