The race is pretty unpredictable so why not take a flier? The guy went to the Eneco with great motivation, he wanted to win the whole thing. Then on stage 3 he lost around 15 minutes because some incident with his shoes if i translated from Dutch well. He lost around 15 minutes yesterday again but i'm almost sure it was on purpose and he wants to go for a stage win today. He wears the national champion jersey, he is supposed to be motivated and this race is important to him not just a warm up for the Vuelta.