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Old 05-13-2010, 06:04 AM   #256
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by fnuf7 View Post
So what if he say reaches the SF or just the final of Madrid but doesn't win it...what would be the mininum he'd have to achieve at RG to guarantee this thing?
It's quite straightforward: A final at RG is necessary unless he makes the final of Madrid, where he can make do with a SF at RG.
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Old 05-13-2010, 12:26 PM   #257
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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It's quite straightforward: A final at RG is necessary unless he makes the final of Madrid, where he can make do with a SF at RG.
Oh I was hoping it'd be like win 2 matches at RG or something...ah well just have to hope for the best & hope Roger brings his best game possible in the next few weeks.
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Old 05-13-2010, 02:04 PM   #258
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

apologies... finally managed to update the thread... and with djokovic withdrawing from madrid... nadal is now mathematically the leading contender and realistically the only one likely to stop roger... have removed the others non-contender from the thread... roger needs 1520 points to secure the record...

anyway if he reaches final of madrid and SF of RG... he will only level the record at #286... and still need to win queens to secure week #287 and seal the record...


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Old 05-13-2010, 02:14 PM   #259
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Default Re: The countdown to most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by JediFed View Post
I'm confused by yours. We can't even agree on Fed's minimums, let alone the maximums for the other players.

If you guys are going by the tournaments that the players have announced that they are playing, then no wonder we aren't going to come up with the same figures.

I'm excluding Barca and Estoril. I am including MC/Rome/Madrid and RG. Nadal's RG points come off, just like Federer's. If you've included Nadals' RG points than you are going to get the wrong answer.
sorry to necro this post... but i'd be interested to know HOW are your calculations by now... seeing that u haven't updated your numbers for a while...


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Old 05-13-2010, 03:22 PM   #260
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

ALLEZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Roger!!
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Old 05-13-2010, 05:32 PM   #261
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by wackykid View Post
apologies... finally managed to update the thread... and with djokovic withdrawing from madrid... nadal is now mathematically the leading contender and realistically the only one likely to stop roger... have removed the others non-contender from the thread... roger needs 1520 points to secure the record...

anyway if he reaches final of madrid and SF of RG... he will only level the record at #286... and still need to win queens to secure week #287 and seal the record...


regards,
wacky
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Old 05-13-2010, 06:36 PM   #262
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

is that match gonna happen today?
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Old 05-13-2010, 09:05 PM   #263
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by wackykid View Post
apologies... finally managed to update the thread... and with djokovic withdrawing from madrid... nadal is now mathematically the leading contender and realistically the only one likely to stop roger... have removed the others non-contender from the thread... roger needs 1520 points to secure the record...

anyway if he reaches final of madrid and SF of RG... he will only level the record at #286... and still need to win queens to secure week #287 and seal the record...


regards,
wacky
But in your assumption , you assume that nadal will win madrid right ?
But this is not sure thing...
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Old 05-13-2010, 09:16 PM   #264
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by Massimoexp View Post
But in your assumption , you assume that nadal will win madrid right ?
But this is not sure thing...
Yes, the assumption is that Nadal wins both Madrid and RG. If he doesn't then things looks a LOT easier for Roger!
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Old 05-14-2010, 12:55 AM   #265
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Originally Posted by Massimoexp View Post
But in your assumption , you assume that nadal will win madrid right ?
But this is not sure thing...
from the very starting of this thread is about mathematically how close federer will get the record so it means to assume that his opponents win everything possible... so the thread is NOT about judging on how probable federer can get the record... it's meant to guide other readers to form their own judgement...

and with the maths as guide and talking about tennis... it's nadal on clay so it's not far fetched at all for him to win everything... but if you replace nadal with someone else it's not quite the same... that's why maths can only show the figures and not tell the whole story...


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Old 05-14-2010, 02:31 PM   #266
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

GOD Please Bless Roger play his Best tennis today!!

ALLEZZZZZZZZZ Roger!!
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Old 05-15-2010, 09:44 AM   #267
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Roger leads 9-0 against ferrer......
Pleaseeeee Roger , one more time....this is very crucial match for this record !!!!
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Old 05-15-2010, 03:16 PM   #268
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Well now that Nadal is indeed in the Madrid final, it's pretty much CRUCIAL that Roger gets there as well. Best of luck!
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Old 05-15-2010, 05:30 PM   #269
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Well now that Nadal is indeed in the Madrid final, it's pretty much CRUCIAL that Roger gets there as well. Best of luck!
Yes. For a very short while today it looked like Almugro just might do the unthinkable, but that was obviously not meant to be.

If Roger makes the final, then he can make do with an RG SF if Rafa wins both events.

If Roger loses tonight, he has to reach the RG final if Rafa wins both events.

If Roger wins tonight AND beats Rafa in the Final, the deal is done.

BTW, I like Rafa, but these days I hope that he loses everytime he steps on court.
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Old 05-15-2010, 08:25 PM   #270
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Default Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

His win today means that yep assuming Rafa wins them both all he needs to do is get to the semis at RG! I was expecting to lose all hope of him breaking the record before this tournament so well done Fed whatever happens tomorrow
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