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Old 05-14-2010, 12:50 PM   #76
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

FACTs:

1.
YTD qualifying h2h Thursday P1 and P2 h2h results

Hamilton:Button 2-(3) 2-0
Alonso:Massa (4)-1 2-0
Vettel:Webber 3-(2) 2-0
Kubica:Petrov 5-0 2-0
Sutil:Liuzz 5-0 2-0
Buemi:Alguersuari (4)-1 2-0
De la Rosa:Kobayashi 2-(3) 2-0
Trulli:Kovalainen 3-(2) 0-2 (Tech. prob. for Trulli-engine?)
Glock: Di Grassi 5-0 1-1
Rosberg:Schumacher (4)-1 1-1(Tech. prob. for Rosberg in P1)

()means the driver won against his team-mate in extreme wet condition

at Malaysia. It has little reference value.

2.
Trulli has beat all his team-mate on this track including Button and

Alonso last ten years in qualifying.

3.
Alonso and Massa were quick in P1 and P2. Ferrari look better on this

track.

4.
Red Bulls are doing well in P3 this season so far. Or you can say

Webber is likely to perform well in P3. The guy is mediocre in P1 and

P2 this season,while goes very quick in P3. He's been 3/5 times fastest

in P3.

5.
The wheelbase of W01 has got back to normal length. It was lengthened in Spain which favored Michael to beat his team-mate.

I also think that Alonso has a good shot on this track. If Red Bulls can't do damage in P3,Alonso is the one to beat here.

early choice:
fastest in P3: Alonso

qualifying:

Rosberg over Schumacher (see if Rosberg is quick in P3)
Trulli over Kovalainen (see if Trulli's car has well recovered in P3)
The odds of above two should be decent.

Some of the rest:

Alonso over Massa
Vettel over Webber
Kubica over Petrov
Sutil over Liuzz
Buemi over Alguersuari
De la Rosa over Kobayashi
Glock over Di Grassi
Hamilton over Button

I'll do some palays out of them. Also get some cross h2h in other books.

Race:
I like Alonso's chance. Maybe Rosberg and Schumacher also have a shot?
Red Bulls and Mac's should also be competitive.
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Old 05-14-2010, 01:59 PM   #77
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Interesting write-up.

Agree with most of those H2H's.
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Old 05-15-2010, 02:24 AM   #78
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Alonso to take pole @ $5

Rosberg over Schumacher @ $1.72
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Old 05-15-2010, 03:23 AM   #79
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Quote:
Originally Posted by skykisser View Post
FACTs:

1.
YTD qualifying h2h Thursday P1 and P2 h2h results

Hamilton:Button 2-(3) 2-0
Alonso:Massa (4)-1 2-0
Vettel:Webber 3-(2) 2-0
Kubica:Petrov 5-0 2-0
Sutil:Liuzz 5-0 2-0
Buemi:Alguersuari (4)-1 2-0
De la Rosa:Kobayashi 2-(3) 2-0
Trulli:Kovalainen 3-(2) 0-2 (Tech. prob. for Trulli-engine?)
Glock: Di Grassi 5-0 1-1
Rosberg:Schumacher (4)-1 1-1(Tech. prob. for Rosberg in P1)

()means the driver won against his team-mate in extreme wet condition

at Malaysia. It has little reference value.

2.
Trulli has beat all his team-mate on this track including Button and

Alonso last ten years in qualifying.

3.
Alonso and Massa were quick in P1 and P2. Ferrari look better on this

track.

4.
Red Bulls are doing well in P3 this season so far. Or you can say

Webber is likely to perform well in P3. The guy is mediocre in P1 and

P2 this season,while goes very quick in P3. He's been 3/5 times fastest

in P3.

5.
The wheelbase of W01 has got back to normal length. It was lengthened in Spain which favored Michael to beat his team-mate.

I also think that Alonso has a good shot on this track. If Red Bulls can't do damage in P3,Alonso is the one to beat here.

early choice:
fastest in P3: Alonso

qualifying:

Rosberg over Schumacher (see if Rosberg is quick in P3)
Trulli over Kovalainen (see if Trulli's car has well recovered in P3)
The odds of above two should be decent.

Some of the rest:

Alonso over Massa
Vettel over Webber
Kubica over Petrov
Sutil over Liuzz
Buemi over Alguersuari
De la Rosa over Kobayashi
Glock over Di Grassi
Hamilton over Button

I'll do some palays out of them. Also get some cross h2h in other books.

Race:
I like Alonso's chance. Maybe Rosberg and Schumacher also have a shot?
Red Bulls and Mac's should also be competitive.
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Old 05-15-2010, 06:12 AM   #80
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

for now

Qualifying h2h
Petrov over Alguersuari @1.50 2u
Rosberg over Schumacher @1.72 2u
Massa over Schumacher @1.83 1u

Qualifying Winning Margin
Under 0.1 seconds @2.5 1u

gl
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Old 05-15-2010, 10:26 AM   #81
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Gl!
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Old 05-15-2010, 10:50 AM   #82
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

need luck on Petrov and Rosberg...the results of P3 ain't positive
Don't know why Bet365 has only put up 3 H2Hs...

I'm not sure if Alonso's car is able to recover from the crash. If he does,he has a good chance to get P1. Just look at Massa,2nd with only 0.046s behind Kubica in P3. Alonso should do better. The odds look good at 6.
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Old 05-15-2010, 11:02 AM   #83
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

I'm trying Alonso and Massa

Fastest qualifier
Massa@11 0.6u
Alonso@6 0.4u
gl
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Old 05-15-2010, 11:44 AM   #84
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Alonso won't be qualifying. He'll be starting the race from pit lane.

Now to work out who to go with.

Might look at Massa at good odds.
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Old 05-15-2010, 11:47 AM   #85
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Massa @ $11
Vettel @ $3
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Old 05-15-2010, 12:27 PM   #86
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Massa first in Q1 - gives confidence he'll be able to do it when it matters.
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Old 05-15-2010, 01:13 PM   #87
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

yeah,I thought I had it in the bag...Webber Red Bulls perform better on super soft tyres. Too good.
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Old 05-15-2010, 01:38 PM   #88
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

Looks like I'll be backing Webber to make in two in a row tomorrow.
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Old 05-15-2010, 01:44 PM   #89
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

@1.66? too short and risky imo. If the safty car's out,the leader is fucked. Only half of the fastest qualifiers won the race at the end in last 10 years' races. 50/50
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Old 05-15-2010, 01:46 PM   #90
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Default Re: Formula One 2010

He's at 1.66? I was thinking he would be like 2.50

No way do I back the guy at 1.66
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