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Old 12-04-2009, 03:01 PM   #46
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Quote:
Originally Posted by danielj View Post
Just a little note for later, Fallon is already riding at Lingfield today and he makes the trip to wolverhampton for the last 2 races. For anyone that doesnt know Fallon is one of the big names and hes riding pretty well at the moment, i think both horses have chances to win and he must think so to otherwise he wouldnt be there.

Ensnare in the 8.50
Lucky Leigh in the 9.20
Yes spot on & he already won a class 5 maiden at Lingfield on Gifted Apakay at 14/1
beating 3/10 favourite Fashion Insider whom I laid, because I thought he only had an
evens money chance of winning.

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Old 12-07-2009, 02:41 PM   #47
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win only selection.

15:00 LINGFIELD CLASS 5 1M 4F STD

RED HOT DESERT 5.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)


Win Adv. - Distance
Class
Trainer Recent Form

Win Disadv. - Weight

I think the selected horse will fight it out with Sircozy &
5.2 to back offers reasonable value.


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Old 12-08-2009, 01:28 PM   #48
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win & place selection.

13:40 FONTWELL CLASS 3 SELL. HURDLE 2M 4F SOFT

ORCHARD KING 10.0 BACK | 2.56 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Class
Jockey Booking
Stamina

Win & Place Disadv. - Weight
Ground Conditions


Whilst I think the surface might be unsuitable I think the
selected horse has the stamina to cope & I expect the horse
to fight it out with Classic Chic. Reasonable odds of 10.0 to back
& 2.56 e/way for Orchard King.

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Old 12-09-2009, 01:30 PM   #49
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Today win & place selection.

13:50 HEXHAM CLASS 3 H'CAP CHASE 3M 1F HEAVY

DESCRIPTION BACK 9.2 BACK | 3.2 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight

Win & Place Disadv. - Jockey Overall Record


I think the chosen horse represents very good value & should
have a decent chance for one of the places. Current odds of
9.2 to back & 3.2 e/way.

Mark
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Old 12-10-2009, 03:41 PM   #50
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win & place selction.

15:50 TAUNTON CLASS 3 H'CAP HURDLE 3M SOFT

DEEP POCKETS 9.8 BACK | 2.7 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Stamina

Win & Place Disadv. - Last Run
Trainer Hurdle Win Record

I think the chosen horse can fight it out for the places, along with
Long Hop. Reasonable value of 9.8 to back & 2.7 e/way for Deep Pockets.


Mark
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Old 12-14-2009, 02:44 PM   #51
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win & place selection.

15:10 PLUMPTON CLASS 5 H'CAP CHASE 2M 4F SOFT

ALDERBROOK GIRL 12.0 BACK | 3.20 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Ground Conditions
Distance
Trainer Recent Form

Win & Place Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Overall E/way Form

I think Alderbrook Girl represents a good value bet at 12.0 to
back & 3.20 e/way.

Mark
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Old 12-16-2009, 05:18 PM   #52
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win & place selection.

17:50 KEMPTON CLASS 5 MDN 1M STD

MING MASTER 6.2 BACK | 2.16 E/WAY


The chosen horse looked as if he needed a longer distance
last time out at 7f & looks to go better this time over a mile.
Siding with the Haggas horse over Sasheen the Boyle horse
because of his each way record on the AW. Reasonable
value for Ming Master of 6.2 to back & 2.16 e/way.


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Last edited by shmeeko69 : 12-16-2009 at 05:18 PM. Reason: mistake
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Old 12-16-2009, 05:56 PM   #53
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Fallon what a legend, just won at Kempton on a 12/1 shot, i only had 10.00 e-w grrrrrr these first time out horses you just never know how they will run, usually very green so only stuck on a tenner e-w
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Old 12-17-2009, 01:30 PM   #54
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Quote:
Originally Posted by ryan23 View Post
Fallon what a legend, just won at Kempton on a 12/1 shot, i only had 10.00 e-w grrrrrr these first time out horses you just never know how they will run, usually very green so only stuck on a tenner e-w
Well done Ryan, I was considering this well before the race, knowing that the Botti yard
are going well, along with the Fallon factor, the odds on offer near the
start were excellent.

I always tend to do an 80/20 bet because you don't get true value with an e/way bet & if
you catch a winner you get the full value - winner + e/way.

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Old 12-17-2009, 01:31 PM   #55
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win only selection.

13:40 LUDLOW CLASS 3 H'CAP CHASE 2M SOFT

RUSSIAN FLAG 3.70 BACK (WIN ONLY)


Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Trainer Recent Form

Win Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Overall Win Form

The chosen horse should be up there & although he's up
12lb from his last victory, should still be the one to beat.
Reasonable win only bet of 3.70 to back.

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Old 12-17-2009, 01:40 PM   #56
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Quote:
Originally Posted by shmeeko69 View Post
Well done Ryan, I was considering this well before the race, knowing that the Botti yard
are going well, along with the Fallon factor, the odds on offer near the
start were excellent.

I always tend to do an 80/20 bet because you don't get true value with an e/way bet & if
you catch a winner you get the full value - winner + e/way.

Mark
Yes along with the purchase price for the horse with the Fallon factor 12/1 was a food price to risk, because as we know first time out horses can flop/run green so you just never know
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Old 12-17-2009, 03:18 PM   #57
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Quote:
Originally Posted by ryan23 View Post
Yes along with the purchase price for the horse with the Fallon factor 12/1 was a food price to risk, because as we know first time out horses can flop/run green so you just never know
Your spot on ryan & that'a were the value comes from, so if you stick
to a set of rules & only risk a small % of your betting bank, then net net
you should make a profit & start to become a bookie basher.

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Old 12-22-2009, 02:06 PM   #58
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Todays win & place selection.

14:25 SOUTHWELL CLASS 6 H'CAP STD/SLOW 1M 4F

OKE BAY 9.4 BACK | 3.3 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Class
Distance
Ground Conditions
Trainer 3yo Course Win Record

Win & Place Disadv. - Weight


I think this horse offers excellent value & I expect Oke Bay &
Altos Reales to fight it out. I don't think the market has got the
odds right with this one. Oke bay 9.4 to back & 3.3 e/way.


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Old 12-22-2009, 02:19 PM   #59
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

havent backed 1 of your winners yet mate, keep tailing you at the wrong time.
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Old 12-22-2009, 03:16 PM   #60
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Default Re: Horse Racing Betting Forum

Quote:
Originally Posted by Iván View Post
havent backed 1 of your winners yet mate, keep tailing you at the wrong time.
You'll be glad you missed this one today.

What a shocking ride from an experienced jockey like Jim Crowley. He came
out of the stalls & raced as if it was a 5f sprint, what was that all about
& burnt the horse out after 6f.

This horse should have been in the places at least after an unlucky second
with Seb Sanders at the same course for a class 5.

Oke Bay/Jim Crowley

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