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Old 08-31-2009, 08:45 AM   #1
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Default AFL Finals - Week 1

Adelaide by 10 goals or more @ 3.60 - Big bet. Essendon are the worst team to play finals since I can remember. Adelaide by a huge margin.

Western Bulldogs @ 1.95 - Half of Geelongs list are either injured, underdone or just plain old and slow. Dogs hitting form at the right time and Geelong have been ordinary since about round 10.

Carlton -2.5 @ 2.10 - No black, no Bradshaw, no Merret, no Drummond... that's 4 of their top 7 players out. Carlton have already beaten Brisbane twice this year and should make ot 3 from 3 in a high scoring end to end game. The key is Brown, for Brisbane to win he'll need to kick about 7 goals, which is certainly possible given Carlton's atrocious defence. At the other end is Fevola who kicked 8 last time at the Gabba. There's no obvious match up for him and Brisbane may even put Roe on him.. but Roe's shit so they might think better of it.

Carlton by more than 24 points @ 4.15 - meh
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Old 09-02-2009, 09:40 AM   #2
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Some more...

Adelaide to kick first 3 goals @ 3.72

Essendon lowest scoring team @ 2.20

Adelaide highest winning margin @ 1.90 - Should be about 1.20. The other 3 games will be close-ish... hard to see a margin beyond about 6 goals in any of the matches, and Adelaide should win by 12+ goals.
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Old 09-02-2009, 02:43 PM   #3
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Bulldogs should be a good bet to beat Geelong. I would bet on the Lions, but those losses maybe to big to replace, especially Bradshaw.
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Old 09-02-2009, 03:26 PM   #4
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Our problem is stopping Fevola. If we can stop Fevola, we win.

If Brown kicks straight, we win.

If I were Brisbane I'd bring in a raw ruckman in his first game. Mitch Clark contests the hit outs then drops back. This other ruckman does the around the ground work. If Clark can drop back and stop Fevola's path that could be a way of stopping him. Play with a 5 man forward line and allow an extra player back.
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Old 09-02-2009, 08:08 PM   #5
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Saints to bt. Pies @ 1.68

gl
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Old 09-03-2009, 09:13 AM   #6
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Wow I have to look back at the prior year finals lines but 39.5 has to be up there as one of the biggest spreads offered in a finals game
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Old 09-04-2009, 06:55 AM   #7
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Adelaide, Saints and Doggies for mine.
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Old 09-04-2009, 08:27 AM   #8
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Jason Porplyzia over 2.5 goals @ 2.30
Kurt Tippett over 2.5 goals @ 2.79
Patrick Dangerfield over 0.5 goals @ 1.50
Jay Neagle under 0.5 goals @ 3.75
Andrew Lovett under 0.5 goals @ 2.53
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Old 09-04-2009, 08:39 AM   #9
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Burton most goals @ $10
Adelaide -36.5 @ $1.72
Over 175.5 @ $1.90

Good luck!
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Old 09-04-2009, 08:52 AM   #10
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

1st Quarter: Neither side to reach 25 pts - $2.45

GL
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Old 09-04-2009, 09:41 AM   #11
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

You're game.

Adelaide should have 8 goals up to quarter time
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Old 09-04-2009, 09:42 AM   #12
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

First Goalscorer - Brett Burton @ $11

That **** is going to be vital for Adelaide this finals series!
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Old 09-04-2009, 11:16 AM   #13
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi View Post
You're game.

Adelaide should have 8 goals up to quarter time
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Old 09-04-2009, 12:55 PM   #14
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by kloppy View Post
Essendon lowest scoring team @ 2.20

Adelaide highest winning margin @ 1.90 - Should be about 1.20. The other 3 games will be close-ish... hard to see a margin beyond about 6 goals in any of the matches, and Adelaide should win by 12+ goals.
Two great bets these. Well done.

Any idea what were Adelaide paying to be highest scoring team?
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Old 09-04-2009, 02:43 PM   #15
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Default Re: AFL Finals - Week 1

Quote:
Originally Posted by kloppy View Post
Adelaide by 10 goals or more @ 3.60 - Big bet. Essendon are the worst team to play finals since I can remember. Adelaide by a huge margin.
Never in doubt. This is why I don't like the final 8... Final 6 and we have quality finals featuring quality teams.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kloppy View Post
Adelaide to kick first 3 goals @ 3.72

Adelaide highest winning margin @ 1.90 - Should be about 1.20. The other 3 games will be close-ish... hard to see a margin beyond about 6 goals in any of the matches, and Adelaide should win by 12+ goals.
No. I was only half paying attention but I think some clown crows trainer ran through the mark and Essendon got 50 meters and kicked a goal.

Yes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kloppy View Post
Jason Porplyzia over 2.5 goals @ 2.30
Kurt Tippett over 2.5 goals @ 2.79
Patrick Dangerfield over 0.5 goals @ 1.50
Jay Neagle under 0.5 goals @ 3.75
Andrew Lovett under 0.5 goals @ 2.53
YES
YES
YES
YES
NO! Junk time goal with 2 freakin minutes to go.

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
Any idea what were Adelaide paying to be highest scoring team?
Think they were maybe about 2.40ish?? Not clever not taking this, but Bris-Carl should be a high scoring match so was scared off.
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