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Old 05-12-2009, 10:01 AM   #31
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Sportingbet gave me even better odds.

So the plays are

.2 units Lovkvist @ $67
.2 units Cancellara @ $126
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Old 05-13-2009, 04:26 AM   #32
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

haha. That rogers bet lost but my bookie resulted it. I better be quiet. Anyway tonights stage. Simoni rode well yesterday. He trains near the area where this stage finishes so he knows the roads. .5 units simoni at $36. Good luck
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Old 05-13-2009, 04:53 PM   #33
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Bolar's record:

1. +2.5 units
2. +3.78 units
3. -10
4. -12.1
5. -0.5 units

I'll take you on for the Tour this year.
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Old 05-14-2009, 06:00 AM   #34
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
Bolar's record:

1. +2.5 units
2. +3.78 units
3. -10
4. -12.1
5. -0.5 units

I'll take you on for the Tour this year.
I'll kick your fucking arse!

Remember Levi Leipheimer is going to bring me a lot of $$$$$$$$$$$$$ in 3 weeks.
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Old 05-14-2009, 06:02 AM   #35
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

The goal is to make profit in the next few days and by the next big stage back Leipheimer for the overall more.

$2.75 is still a steal.
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Old 05-14-2009, 06:21 AM   #36
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Stage 6 reaks of a breakaway attempt

Although now Columbia don't have pink anymore, expect them to try and set it up for Cav if noone is in the break. Has the makings of MSR. The last climb of the day (there are only 2 climbs) comes just over 40km from the end. Leaves Columbia enough time to bring back a break providing the break hasn't gone out far. Therefore odds of Pettachi @ $12 and Cavendish @ $34 are juicy. I'm banking on Columbia taking this back and setting it up for Cav.

I'm also looking at a few breakaway chances.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

If a break was to get away I've narrowed the teams down and riders who will be represented.

Barloworld will send someone to the front. Bellotti, Froom and Augustyn will be the main candidates. Augustyn is 3 minutes down so that will be a risk of being chased down as he can climb. Froom did a lot of work yesterday? I would say Bellotti.

BBOX will send someone up there. I don't think it will be Voeckler. Tschopp or Sprick will be the two candidates. Although it wouldnt' surprise me if Voeckler tried again. He's that type of rider and he wants a win.

David Millar will definately try and get in the group for Garmin. He has unfinished business after last year.

Caisse may try and send David Garcia Lopez.

ISD - As Visconti tried yesterday, I don't think he will try again today. Although I could be wrong. Dario Cioni would be my main bet or Andriy Grivko.

Lampre will send someone. The logical choice will be Manuele Mori

Serramenti might try someone again. It was Serpa yesterday so again I don't think he will try. Maybe Rodriguez or Scarponi? Probably Scarponi as he is far down.

Columbia will send someone. Possoni is my bet.

Katusha will send someone. Ignatiev will be the guy.

Milram will send someone aswell. I reckon Marcus Fothen.

Saxo Bank will have someone. Cancellara or Voigt. I fancy Cancellara!

Cervello may send Gerrans up the road. Possibility.

Although don't count out one or two of the sprinters try and get there. Pozzato or Forster.

Gilbert will definately try and get in the break.

AG2R will send Efimkin

Although dont' count out a sprint finish with 40 - 60 riders featuring Pettacchi and Cavendish. Afterall the last climb comes more than 40km from the end. Depends how motivated Columbia are. Considering they don't have the pink jersey if they can't get anyone in the break, then see them work their arse off for Cavendish.
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Old 05-14-2009, 07:07 AM   #37
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Stage 6

1 unit Mark Cavendish @ $34
1 unit Alessandro Pettachi @ $14

Banking on a sprint!

On a breakaway.

.15 unit Millar @ $36
.15 unit Voeckler @ $31
.15 unit Cancellara @ $51
.1 unit Possoni @ $67
.1 unit Cioni @ $67
.1 unit Mori @ $51 - Now that Cunego is out of the hunt, Lampre hunt stage wins?
.15 unit Ignatiev @ $41
.1 unit Fothen @ $51
.1 unit Forster @ $101
.1 unit Tschopp @ $81
.1 unit Sprick @ $81
.5 units Gilbert @ $15
.2 units Voigt @ $14

4 units staked!

Good luck!
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Old 05-14-2009, 10:09 AM   #38
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

I added

.3 Scarponi @ $34
.2 Froom @ $34
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Old 05-14-2009, 10:10 AM   #39
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
Bolar's record:

1. +2.5 units
2. +3.78 units
3. -10
4. -12.1
5. -0.5 units

I'll take you on for the Tour this year.
I'll have the official thread up sometime in June. It's on like donkey kong bitch.
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Old 05-14-2009, 02:48 PM   #40
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi View Post
Stage 6

1 unit Mark Cavendish @ $34
1 unit Alessandro Pettachi @ $14

Banking on a sprint!

On a breakaway.

.15 unit Millar @ $36
.15 unit Voeckler @ $31
.15 unit Cancellara @ $51
.1 unit Possoni @ $67
.1 unit Cioni @ $67
.1 unit Mori @ $51 - Now that Cunego is out of the hunt, Lampre hunt stage wins?
.15 unit Ignatiev @ $41
.1 unit Fothen @ $51
.1 unit Forster @ $101
.1 unit Tschopp @ $81
.1 unit Sprick @ $81
.5 units Gilbert @ $15
.2 units Voigt @ $14

4 units staked!

I added

.3 Scarponi @ $34
.2 Froom @ $34

Good luck!
Scarponi won

4.5 units staked.

Stage 6 - +5.7 units

Stage 1. +2.5 units
Stage 2. +3.78 units
Stage 3. -10
Stage 4. -12.1
Stage 5. -0.5 units
Stage 6. +5.7 units

Overall -10.62 units

No big fuss. Leipheimer is in a prime position.
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Old 05-15-2009, 02:11 AM   #41
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

The descent on this stage might be tricky but I think the sprinters teams will keep this under control.

Cav finished 15 minutes behind yesterday so he either a) struggled up the climb b)took it easy and didn't over exert himself on the climb. I think B

Therefore a motivated Cav will win this.

7 units Cav @ $4.25

Good luck!
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Old 05-15-2009, 06:38 AM   #42
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi View Post
I added

.3 Scarponi @ $34
.2 Froom @ $34
Well done Bolar, nice selection.

Only query I have is that the race started almost an hour and a half prior to the above quoted post.
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Old 05-15-2009, 07:33 AM   #43
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

To make no mistake I've managed to get on now to post the rest of my plays.

Yesterday afternoon was hectic. I sent a list of about 16 riders to get them to put them on so I could get the prices. Considering I was putting on the bets as they were going up, naturally I forgot some riders. At around quarter to 6, I noticed on my paper I wrote everything (including research, suspect breakaway guys etc) that I left out Froom and Scarponi (my earlier posts said them when i posted my research online), rang up sportingbet and did what was needed to put the bet on (minimum $20 bet over the phone on any single bet so unfortunately I had to put 20 on Froom when I wanted to put $10)

To make no mistake I have got these plays ready!

7 units Cavendish @ $4.25

.2 units Millar @ $51
.5 units Cancellara @ $21
.2 units Voigt @ $26
.2 units Voeckler @ $36

Podium Finish

.7 units Cancellara @ $5.75
.5 units Millar @ $12

Total units Staked 9.3

Good luck!

If I decide to add any, I will do so in the next half hour - at the latest 15 minutes after 6. If I can't post, then I won't record them even if they do/don't get up!
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Old 05-15-2009, 07:43 AM   #44
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Basically this stage tonight is a general incline of about 150km going to 1200m. It shouldn't be that hard for the sprinters teams to get it under control. The descent starts just over 30km from the finish. From there the first 4km are technical so if the break is within 2 minutes, it should be chased down as the road is completely straight.

However, this stage is tailormade for a powerful rider who can time trial who is daring enough to escape before the top and before the descent or on the descent. That's where Cancellara and Millar come into play. I know Millar is going to try a break eventually. I'll keep backing the brittish **** till he does. It would not surprise me to see him there today to take the pressure off garmin when setting it up for Farrar. However, this is where Cancellara can also come in handy.
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Old 05-15-2009, 07:57 AM   #45
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Default Re: Cycling: 2009 Giro d'Italia

Added:

.2 units Visconti @ $26
.2 units Garzelli @ $26
.5 units Boasson-Hagen @ $14

In case Cav gets dropped, Boassen Hagen is a powerful sprinter and showed it yesterday. He will take the win!
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