Montanes Over Tipsarevic
Montanes has impressed over the past few weeks beating Almangro and taking a set off Djokovic (yes! the rain was a factor but you still need to go out there and produce the goods!)
His recent form on clay is 5-2 which is impressive and compared to Tipsarevic who did beat Monfils which was a decent but to then lose to Bolelli is poor. Montanes is better prepared with more time on the red stuff and although 4/6 is a little short i'm on!
Gulbis Over Starace
Gulbis - soo much potential but even more of a let down this year! *so far!!* after a dreadful hard court start to the year his clay debut ended in defeat to Kohlschreiber, however i like this matchup against Starace who doesn't impress me a great deal. In Starace recent 4 games on clay only a loss to Ferrero i could justify but losing to Cipolla and A. Haider-Maurer is poor.
I think we'll finally see Gulbis win a first round match here.
Vassallo Arguello Over Berdych
Berdych is frustrating to watch, his hard court form has been decent although i just feel he shouldn't be this much of a favourite on the red stuff. He lost his recent match on clay to Fognini who to be fair has been impressive lately but considering Vassallo Arguello enjoys the clay and has won their only meeting i feel there's some value on him. Considering he took a set off Wawa last week jsut hows he does have some abilty. More of a value play this one.
best of luck with your punts