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Old 04-18-2009, 11:31 PM   #1
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Default Super Sunday

I'm taking the early prices for the Wozniacki/Lisicki Final

1.38 lay of Wozniacki. (Same as backing 3.65 on lisicki)

I'm taking the early prices as I believe the true price for this match will become 1.44 and 3.25

hopefully i am right and lay some off
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Old 04-18-2009, 11:32 PM   #2
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Ventura + Vliegen + M. Lopez
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Old 04-19-2009, 02:35 AM   #3
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by NadalSharapova View Post
I'm taking the early prices for the Wozniacki/Lisicki Final

1.38 lay of Wozniacki. (Same as backing 3.65 on lisicki)

I'm taking the early prices as I believe the true price for this match will become 1.44 and 3.25

hopefully i am right and lay some off
Lisicki has been impressive this week. Hasn't lost a set by now. Wozniacki should be tired, she has played a lot of matches the last two weeks,including this 3 hours match against dementieva yesterday.
odds should be more like 1.6 or higher for wozniacki
though wozniacki should have an advantage as she has already won some titles-lisicki seemed to be very nervous when she played her first final against cirstea in tashkent last year so maybe she wont be able to show her best tomorrow.
but still 3.65 is incredible considering lisickis form at the moment.
think you got it right with the true prices.
you might even be able to lay lisicki with some profit before the match starts
EDIT:wozniacki @ 1.45 already

Last edited by marquez : 04-19-2009 at 02:41 AM.
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Old 04-19-2009, 04:05 AM   #4
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Pending from the start of the week:
Quote:
Originally Posted by JBdV View Post
Nadal to win Monte Carlo @ 1.43 (10/10)
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Old 04-19-2009, 07:21 AM   #5
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Default Re: Super Sunday

I think Wozniacki is more experienced at this level and she will win this time round.

Wozniacki + Kirilenko + Nadal = 2.35, 1 million units.
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Old 04-19-2009, 08:06 AM   #6
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Nadal -5.5 over Djokovic - $2.02

gl
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Old 04-19-2009, 10:32 AM   #7
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Still have my Nadal outright bet pending from the beginning of the week:

Quote:
Also still have Nadal to win Monte Carlo @ 1.42 in play and decided to put another unit on it (6 units in total now).
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Old 04-19-2009, 10:55 AM   #8
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by marquez View Post
Lisicki has been impressive this week. Hasn't lost a set by now. Wozniacki should be tired, she has played a lot of matches the last two weeks,including this 3 hours match against dementieva yesterday.
odds should be more like 1.6 or higher for wozniacki
though wozniacki should have an advantage as she has already won some titles-lisicki seemed to be very nervous when she played her first final against cirstea in tashkent last year so maybe she wont be able to show her best tomorrow.
but still 3.65 is incredible considering lisickis form at the moment.
think you got it right with the true prices.
you might even be able to lay lisicki with some profit before the match starts
EDIT:wozniacki @ 1.45 already
1.48 and 3.05 now

I reckon woz will drift to the early 1.5's, thats when i lay off a bit

i am currently -280 on woz and +690 on lisicki
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Old 04-19-2009, 10:59 AM   #9
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Default Re: Super Sunday

The nadal -5.5 spread is dangerous i feel, last time they met on clay novak took quite a few games off him
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Old 04-19-2009, 11:36 AM   #10
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ivan View Post
The nadal -5.5 spread is dangerous i feel, last time they met on clay novak took quite a few games off him
2009 ESP vs. SRB WG 1st RD Spain Clay RR Nadal 6-4 6-4 6-1

Nadal won 18 - 9 in terms of games.

Not very many.
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Old 04-19-2009, 11:38 AM   #11
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Default Re: Super Sunday

yes but those two 6-4 sets would be enough to fuck up the spread if nadal wins in similar fashion.

also werent those courts in spain slower than monte carlo? novak taking 8 games in two sets is quite a achievement.
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Old 04-19-2009, 11:59 AM   #12
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Nadal not to win 2:0@3.59
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Old 04-19-2009, 12:05 PM   #13
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ivan View Post
yes but those two 6-4 sets would be enough to fuck up the spread if nadal wins in similar fashion.

also werent those courts in spain slower than monte carlo? novak taking 8 games in two sets is quite a achievement.
Not exactly sure.

But I'm expecting Nadal 6-0 6-0 here.
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Old 04-19-2009, 12:10 PM   #14
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Default Re: Super Sunday

Novak Djokovic 8.03 over Rafael Nadal
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Old 04-19-2009, 02:20 PM   #15
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Default Re: Super Sunday

I got a feeling that Lisicki is going to win title but no bet.
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