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Old 04-15-2009, 10:17 PM   #1
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Default Kolya's Thursday

Nothing screams for me tomorrow but I have a little hope for the following

1) Safarova ( I think she's worth the 2.40 or at least Errani don't worth the 1.60 ).

2) Davydenko ( big questionamark, as he's coming back from injury and I haven't seen him play but I saw Nalbandian and I didn't like his attitude at all ). But Kolya's attitude in the match against Karlovic - as seen on the SB - shows that he may be enjoying tennis again. Might worth it especially if the market takes his price further than the 2.00 it is now. ( today they drove Kolya's price all the way to 1.60 before the start. )

3. Bolelli ( I might not get involved in this one but I hope that the guy with the more attractive tennis beats that clumsy headcase Croat. I'm not going to take it for granted that it will happen at all, though.

I'm clueless - or cautious - about the rest. Hope that something clicks by tomorrow morning, I always come up with more accurate ideas closer to the hit off.
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Old 04-15-2009, 10:40 PM   #2
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Davydenko 1.83
Ferrer 1.91
Zeballos 1.70

Nalbandian will fall apart at the crucial time I suspect. David Ferrer is getting back to his best and he is at least equal to Fernando when that happens. Zeballos is in oustanding form at the moment and if he was in Monaco could well have knocked out a few of the mugs we seen on show.

After thinking, will also have a small amount of coin on 1.91 for 3 sets between Big Dave and Betfair.
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Old 04-15-2009, 10:45 PM   #3
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

F Fognini - Over (7.5) games over Murray @2.00 I think this match will go to two tight sets or a three setter.
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Old 04-15-2009, 11:09 PM   #4
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

I'm very tempted by Ferrer over Verdasco @ 2.01. David was very impressive today and seems to be more solid than Verdasco. But the H2H is 4-3 for Verdasco which 4-2 on clay...

What do you think of this match ?
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Old 04-15-2009, 11:12 PM   #5
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Maybe Ferrer can do it but his match today was nothing to shout about, as Gicquel is playing awful tennis at the moment. Verdasco is usually very confident playing Ferrer and he has won the 3 out of the last 4 encounters. If you remember in the one he lost ( Valencia last year ) he choked pretty badly serving for the match after dominating the 2nd and 3rd set, I think he was something like 6-1, 4-1 up. It was one of the last matches where we were watching and thinking what it might have been if Verdasco somehow overcame these mental frailties. But of course after that there was the Davis Cup finals and the Australian Open and everything changed.

My point is that Verdasco is comfortable playing Ferrer and although I had my doubts how he would take his game to the claycourt season, he did seem very comprehensive against Kohlschreiber.
For me it's the perfect 50-50 match and I hope I can find something that can sway me one way or another.
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Old 04-15-2009, 11:29 PM   #6
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Thanx nastoff for your answer. I agree with you : Verdasco is comfortable playing Ferrer. But last year, Ferrer wasn't playing his best tennis and the matchs of 2007 between the two players are for me more signifiant. In 2007, Nando defeated David two times which one at the French Open...

Well, I was so lucky today with Wawrinka and Lapentti that I think i won't touch this one even if Ferrer's odd tempts me a lot.
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Old 04-15-2009, 11:53 PM   #7
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Verdasco has a very bad record at MC (0-4) :

2008 : R64 Monfils, Gael (FRA) 64 5-7 4-6
2007 : R64 Gasquet, Richard (FRA) 15 5-7 7-6(12) 6-7(3)
2006 : R64 Grosjean, Sebastien (FRA) 18 6-7(6) 3-6
2005 : R64 Gonzalez, Fernando (CHI) 26 4-6 5-7

He won today his first match at MC of all his career !
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Old 04-16-2009, 12:18 AM   #8
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Bolelli over Ismokethecockivic @ 1.72

Monaco x Bokovic x Federer x Nadal x Murray @ 1.80
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Old 04-16-2009, 12:24 AM   #9
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

I think it's worth a try on David then at least as a starting poiint.
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Old 04-16-2009, 01:24 AM   #10
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Ivan Ljubicic over Simon Bolelli
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Old 04-16-2009, 02:37 AM   #11
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
A) Bolelli over Ismokethecockivic @ 1.72

B)Monaco x Bokovic x Federer x Nadal x Murray @ 1.80
more confidence in A or B?
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Old 04-16-2009, 03:05 AM   #12
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Nalbandian over Davydenko 5/6

Bolelli over Ljubicic 4/5

Murray/Fognini over 20.5 games 5/6
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Old 04-16-2009, 03:32 AM   #13
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Ferrer to beat Verdasco @ 2.12 (4/10)

GL.
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Old 04-16-2009, 03:58 AM   #14
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Safarova @ 2.37
Ferrer x Davydenko @ 3.36
Wawrinka +5 @ 1.83
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Old 04-16-2009, 04:22 AM   #15
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Default Re: Kolya's Thursday

Some nice pics Ryan,gl!Super Bol/Ljuboss could be value for overs aswell,just dont know which Bolelli will come out!

60 units David Nalbandian 1.80 over Nikolay Davydenko -Arg no.1

60 units on Fernando Verdasco 1.85 over David Ferrer!

GL - Safarova 2.25/Schiavone 1.67/Bolelli vs Ljuboss 21-26 games/Over 27 games possible)!
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