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Old 04-03-2009, 07:05 AM   #1
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Default Federer's Friday

Roger Federer 1.41 over Novak Djokovic

Djokovic looked sharp in the first set against Tsonga, and perhaps that was enough as he had enough to outlast the seemingly unfit Frenchman. It appeared that if Novak would have faced anyone else in the top 10 he would've lost as his lack of fitness would have been exposed. But Tsonga's fitness may have actually been worse than Djokovic's and when the Serb was ready to give the match away Tsonga declined the invitation and Djokovic held on, barely, to advance.

Federer too went through struggles of his own to advance to this point. The former world #1 barely escaped against Roddick who had homecourt advantage led by lunatic NFL player Joey Porter. The supportive crowd, his new found fitness, and a tight Federer seemingly were going to be a formula which led to a huge Roddick upset but the #1 American got tight late in the 3rd set when he had 2 break points and after that Federer never looked back.

Everyone knows the big win Djokovic pulled off in this rivalry 15 months ago but other than that upset this hasn't really been much of a rilvary. Federer holds a 7-2 career lead and although Djokovic has the ability to pull off the upset, atleast moreso than the likes of Robredo, Davydenko, Ferrer, Blake, Gasquet and the other guys that used to make a living in the top 10, its now becomming more and more obvious that Djokovic is not really a fixture in the top 3, rather he may fall in the same category as Roddick and those other guys mentioned above.

With that being said and with Djokovic's recent struggles theres little reason to believe the Serb will pull off the upset. Federer will just have too much all court game for the Serb as Roger sets up yet another crack against Murray in the final, against who he's 2-6 against but 2-0 on championship Sunday's.

Last edited by desigundah : 04-03-2009 at 07:21 AM.
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Old 04-03-2009, 07:53 AM   #2
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Odds a bit low, I'm hoping Djokovic can win the 1st set and we get odds of like 2.3 on fed to win and I can lump on then cos djoko will feel the heat in 2nd set and become exhausted
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Old 04-03-2009, 08:09 AM   #3
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

CRIVOI x SCHUKIN @ 2.4
CUEVAS @ 2
FOGNINI @ 1.83
DEL BONIS @ 2.75
BRZEZICKI @ 1.72
ASCIONE @ 1.8

Good Luck

Last edited by marquez : 04-03-2009 at 09:46 AM.
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Old 04-03-2009, 08:26 AM   #4
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Roger over Novak
Yeah Roger played 3 sets but Roddick was playing a lot better than Novak currently is
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Old 04-03-2009, 08:52 AM   #5
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

All of my Tsonga profits and Djokovic profits on Murray to beat Del Potro @ 1.45

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Old 04-03-2009, 09:07 AM   #6
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Starting with Crivoi + Cuevas + Fognini

GL.
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Old 04-03-2009, 10:22 AM   #7
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

I love backing Novak at these type of odds but he did look tired vs wilfred.

Its actually a tough one, novak has beaten fed in miami before and has had a full days rest.
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Old 04-03-2009, 10:32 AM   #8
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Some encouraging news for Novak, the weather report for Miami during the time of the match states "partly cloudy, temperatures from 24-29 degrees Celcius". It's the lowest temperatures of the week as far as Miami is concerned! Fingers crossed that this weather report comes true.
Not a single penny on Fedmug from myself, good luck to those who trust him with their money at this stage

Murray tb Del Potro 1.40 too ( starting point )
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Old 04-03-2009, 11:02 AM   #9
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

FoFa over Daniel @1.8
FoFa X Andujar @2.41
-----------------------
For starters plus take early FedEx(@1.4) and Murnau(@1.46) that is going to drop...
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Old 04-03-2009, 11:19 AM   #10
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

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Originally Posted by Midnight Express View Post
For starters plus take early FedEx(@1.4) and Murnau(@1.46) that is going to drop...
thanks for the insight
is it going to drop below 1.2?
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Old 04-03-2009, 11:48 AM   #11
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

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Originally Posted by kutafon View Post
thanks for the insight
is it going to drop below 1.2?
murray will drop to around 1.3-1.32 pre-match

I backed at 1.45 and 1.44 and will lay off accordingly
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Old 04-03-2009, 11:53 AM   #12
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

So everyone feels both faves will win today?

I cant split them

Fed best price 1.43

Murray Best price $1.43

double pays $2.09
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Old 04-03-2009, 12:00 PM   #13
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

murray more certain IMO, federer has advantage that its during the day against djoko so thats fair odds cos if its during the night I'd make fed closer to 1.7.
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Old 04-03-2009, 12:05 PM   #14
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Quote:
Originally Posted by ivan View Post
So everyone feels both faves will win today?

I cant split them

Fed best price 1.43

Murray Best price $1.43

double pays $2.09
imo nole has a better chance to win than porto
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Old 04-03-2009, 12:06 PM   #15
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Default Re: Federer's Friday

Not so sure Kuta, Potro will be buzzing and when they played at the us open it was very close.
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