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Old 02-07-2009, 01:46 AM   #1
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Default Normality returns on Saturday

Should be pretty straightforward as far as the semis are concerned, Troicki is perhaps dangerous but Ferrer, Tsonga and Ancic should beat their opponents relatively easy. Cilic will probably beat Troicki as well.
No clue about the ladies. Gonzo will surely make the final but I don't have a price yet.

Ferrer x Ancic x Tsonga treble @ 1.70
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Old 02-07-2009, 04:08 AM   #2
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Simulation Module


Explanation: Alright so I have lost money like no other before this past week so it was time to come up with something new. I had an old excel program I used that would calculate match results based on stats, weather, injuries, stamina, media reports, individual matchups of skill versus skill and a few other things. Only thing is I don't have time to put it all together. So I created a TENNIS SIMULATOR. It took me about 5-6 hours to get it done tonight and it simulates matches and gives a probability of win or lose as well as you get to watch the match player against player. It's cool to watch how the matches turnout. I won't post stats or anything like that just yet...I will simply post the matches the simulator really liked:





PLAY #1 : Viktor Troiki 3.40 over Marin Cilic





I watched this match and Troicki was great with his first serve and he was great on Cilic's second serve. Marin had problems serving like he has most of this tournament and Troicki will take advantage of this. Troicki fed off the intense crowd factor and was hitting on all cylinders in this match. I changed the crowd level to high because it will be intense and again Cilic is going to pay for his mistakes in this match. BELIEVE IN THE SIMULATIONS!!!

No more plays today.
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Old 02-07-2009, 06:11 AM   #3
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistaflava View Post
Simulation Module


Explanation: Alright so I have lost money like no other before this past week so it was time to come up with something new.
Man u really got chewed up something shocking this week, i feel for ya, it happens to me, ya on a bad run and couldnt pick a winner if Rafa was playin C.Rochus on clay, just begging for someone to throw ya a winner just to claw some cash back.

Ya just gotta walk away for a few days and ride it out, come back fresh and with a clear mind.
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Old 02-07-2009, 06:54 AM   #4
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Mistaflava we all go through bad spells blowing a lot of money in the process. Only a very few actually are successful in making money on tennis. My suggestion is take a few weeks off and come back ready for the hardcourt masters events.

Posting about simulations and the like is all nonsensical, just take a break man.
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Old 02-07-2009, 06:58 AM   #5
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Kvitova over Suarez-Navarro @ $1.75

Acasuso over Robredo @ $2.65
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Old 02-07-2009, 07:50 AM   #6
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Flava in profit.................. displays record.

Flava in deficit................. no record.
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Old 02-07-2009, 07:55 AM   #7
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Troicki(+1.5 sets) x Ancic @2.31

Cilic showed pure crap yesterday, and i should probably go for Troicki to win like Mistaflava, but after all the wrong picks i've made this week i'm scared shitless

GL
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Quote:
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it would be a miracle to win 2 days in a row:
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Old 02-07-2009, 08:14 AM   #8
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistaflava View Post
Simulation Module


Explanation: Alright so I have lost money like no other before this past week so it was time to come up with something new. I had an old excel program I used that would calculate match results based on stats, weather, injuries, stamina, media reports, individual matchups of skill versus skill and a few other things. Only thing is I don't have time to put it all together. So I created a TENNIS SIMULATOR. It took me about 5-6 hours to get it done tonight and it simulates matches and gives a probability of win or lose as well as you get to watch the match player against player. It's cool to watch how the matches turnout. I won't post stats or anything like that just yet...I will simply post the matches the simulator really liked:





PLAY #1 : Viktor Troiki 3.40 over Marin Cilic





I watched this match and Troicki was great with his first serve and he was great on Cilic's second serve. Marin had problems serving like he has most of this tournament and Troicki will take advantage of this. Troicki fed off the intense crowd factor and was hitting on all cylinders in this match. I changed the crowd level to high because it will be intense and again Cilic is going to pay for his mistakes in this match. BELIEVE IN THE SIMULATIONS!!!

No more plays today.
priceless
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Old 02-07-2009, 08:36 AM   #9
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Ho much is your bet Mistaflava?
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Old 02-07-2009, 08:50 AM   #10
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

fed cup
PENNETTA over Mauresmo @2.30, 2 units

I would also get some of Troicki, just because in every other country of the world than Croatia odds would have been someting like 1.60 / 2.30 (to be genereous in Cilic favour)... but I'll skip this one, let's keep sexy Flavia
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Old 02-07-2009, 08:52 AM   #11
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Suarez Navarro to beat kvitova @ 2.40

If she can replicate her AO form anything is possible
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Old 02-07-2009, 09:03 AM   #12
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

I don't bet on WTA but why Pennetta is the dog here?
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Old 02-07-2009, 09:04 AM   #13
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

ANCIC to win 1st set over Hernych @1.36, 8 units
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if somalia goverment could be little bit clever they would solve the food crisis with one bet.
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Old 02-07-2009, 09:07 AM   #14
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kraxths View Post
I don't bet on WTA but why Pennetta is the dog here?
just because this Fed Cup leg will bet played in France?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smoll View Post
if somalia goverment could be little bit clever they would solve the food crisis with one bet.
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Old 02-07-2009, 09:51 AM   #15
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Default Re: Normality returns on Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by KaiserT View Post
Flava in profit.................. displays record.

Flava in deficit................. no record.
LoL

Who cares though?

He is in a rut like most us this week.

Last edited by Iván : 02-07-2009 at 10:08 AM.
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