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Old 01-28-2009, 06:08 PM   #16
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Henry Chinaski View Post
any value in the fighter Dinara? surely much, much tougher mentally than Zvon. And she's been there, done that in a slam semi which surely counts for a lot.

considering whether to hedge my outright on Serena. She's rode her luck last few matches but then she must be one of the mentally toughest athletes in sport and she often brings her best out of nowhere at this stage of a tournament. She was a big dog in her final few matches in 07.
Definitely value with Safina, had that breakthrough slam at the French last season and in a tight situation I would rather have my money on Safina than Bepa. My only concern is her serve really has regressed from last season, throwing in way too many DF's for my liking.
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:19 PM   #17
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Dementieva to beat Williams - $1.82

Dementieva to win 2-0 - $2.95

This is Demetieva's match to lose

- form player of the WTA in 2009
- serve has improved even more so from the back end of last season
- won the last 3 meetings against Serena
- used up significantly less energy on court to get here than Serena (even ignoring her doubles court time). This is more pertinent considering the quick turnaround for this match.

GS pedigree and mental toughness will only get you so far. Serena has looked slow both in Sydney and here at the Open, has been riding her luck up to this point against both Azarenka and Kuznetsova. No roof would be a bonus but don't think it will matter in the washup.

gl
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:20 PM   #18
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

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Originally Posted by maxxo View Post
W-L 54-34

Dementieva @2,00
Zvonareva @1,70

i must have lost my mind
Probably when you wrote down the odds
Where did you find them, local?

Way above the market
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:20 PM   #19
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

I would bet on Serena, but I already got £100 on her to win the tournament with odds of 3/1 from a few days back.
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:34 PM   #20
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Dementieva @1.75

Fed x Nadal @ 1.31

I cant understand why you guys are complaining that Dem is a fav, if your pick is Serena you should be happy, you get better odds and more money if she wins.Serena is still the same player she was before odds were made, she will not play better or worse because she is odds underdog, she couldnt care less about betting odds, she probably even does not know who is the odds fav.
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:40 PM   #21
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

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aren't the Paesians priced higher than should be ?
no opinions ?
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Old 01-28-2009, 06:53 PM   #22
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

If i was to bet on wta it would be Safina today.

GL
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Old 01-28-2009, 09:01 PM   #23
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Safina is not really playing her best tennis. Above all on serve. Bepa should play really well this week. Now, she knows how to win big matches. She was not far to win the WTA Sony Ericsson Championships against Venus Williams.
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Old 01-28-2009, 09:07 PM   #24
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Henry Chinaski View Post
any value in the fighter Dinara? surely much, much tougher mentally than Zvon. And she's been there, done that in a slam semi which surely counts for a lot.

considering whether to hedge my outright on Serena. She's rode her luck last few matches but then she must be one of the mentally toughest athletes in sport and she often brings her best out of nowhere at this stage of a tournament. She was a big dog in her final few matches in 07.
I like Dinara's value. She's been winning the same way Serena has.... UGLY! Vera is playing great tennis, but when both are playing solid tennis Dinara is clearly the better player. I'm rolling with Safina on this one. Can't pass her up as an underdog against someone in their first GS Semi that has a history of mental breakdowns.
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Old 01-28-2009, 09:26 PM   #25
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Kubot/Marach @3

Let the streak continue for one more match.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:06 PM   #26
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Serena @ 2.3
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:14 PM   #27
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

0.75u Safina 2.8

Small interest bet on the mentally touger one. My fucked up sleeping pattern means I'll probably end up watching this.

Gonna ride my outright on Serena though she probably needs a miracle here. Or a big Elena choke.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:34 PM   #28
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

Safina has had some very long and tiring matches and been lucky along the way only one winner for me-Zvonareva
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:04 PM   #29
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

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Originally Posted by ryan23 View Post
Safina has had some very long and tiring matches and been lucky along the way only one winner for me-Zvonareva
Can't you say the same for Serena?
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Old 01-28-2009, 11:20 PM   #30
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Default Re: Semi final Thursday

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Can't you say the same for Serena?
That's why they both are going down
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