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Old 01-26-2009, 01:14 PM   #61
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
Tsonga to beat Blake @ 1.09
win
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Old 01-26-2009, 01:15 PM   #62
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Guess I'm against the bunch here

Monfils tb Simon 7/10 @ 2.06
Can't believe the odds here. I expected Monfils to be a clear fav here, not at short odds but I would give Gael a 60 to 40 advantage here. He hasn't been that convincing thusfar but he is a guy that needs to be focussed and stands out in the big matches. He has been freewheeling thusfar and is ready to step it up. Simon hasn't yet proven himself in this tournament if you ask me. He has shown that he can return a big serve but beating players as Guccione and Ancic isn't that much of a deal. Their serve is great but with Simon's returning and stable baseline play he can dictate every rally once the ball is in play. Monfils also has that big serve but combines it with great agility, spectacular play from time to time and good and stable baseline play. He is far more complete than Simon here. Big value on this one.

Medina Garrigues tb Suarez Navarro 6/10 @ 2.02
Again a wrong fav is set here. Suarez Navarro did great to beat Venus who was very error prone. She has a great "Henin-like" backhand and stable baseline play but still her game suits the slower courts a lot better. Medina has been really convincing, not dropping a single set thusfar and especially her win over Pennetta was impressive. Suarez lost to Pavlyuchenkova and Keothavong recently which says a lot. She has beaten two players she had to beat and caused an upset over Venus. With Medina being far more experienced and having proven herself a lot more on the long run I can see her taking the win here.
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Cheers, good luck to you as well

Adding a double of Tsonga ML and Nando +7 @ 2.83 4/10 (Gamebookers)
Push
Loss
Win

At least there is profit..
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Old 01-26-2009, 01:45 PM   #63
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Simon over Monfils live @ 2.10

Simon can rally forever with Monfils eventually forcing the error. I also disagree about Suarez Navarro being the "wrong odds". Medina Garriguez is a dirtballer after all.


Nadal, Dementieva, Murray @ 1.73

Cant see how either of them will lose, Cibulkova will be a tough cookie but Dementieva is tougher.

Azarenka @ 3.00 is worth a bit of a shot against the diabolical Serena Williams.
and so does Zheng @ 2.48
Won the live ones on Simon @ 2.10 and Suarez Navarro ( about 1.45 at the time ) which I took with BF. Lost the treble - thank you Murray, that was amazing - and luckily both my bets on Azarenka and Zheng were voided. ( with 24hpoker.com ). So a little lucky today.
Sometimes things are not so obvious as I found out with Jankovic yesterday and Murray today.
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Old 01-26-2009, 02:40 PM   #64
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

tSONGA-WIN-BIG!
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Old 01-26-2009, 02:43 PM   #65
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

By the way,why are my picks being deleted?
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Old 01-26-2009, 03:31 PM   #66
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Originally Posted by YasmineBleeth View Post
Suarez Navarro x Ali @2.90

After what i've seen against Venus i don't see how can Suarez Navarro lose this (that doesn't mean that she won't )

GL
WINN

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it would be a miracle to win 2 days in a row:
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Old 01-26-2009, 05:22 PM   #67
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Nadal -2.5 sets -160
Navarro/Garrigues over 21.5 games
Cibulkova/Dementieva over 21.5 games
Pretty bad day, thank goodness for Nadal.
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Old 01-26-2009, 07:00 PM   #68
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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andy murray - fernando verdasco | fernando verdasco + 2,5 (set handicap) @ 2.25 | stan james | 3/10 + 3.75
andy murray - fernando verdasco | fernando verdasco + 7,5 (match handicap) @ 1.85 | boylesports | 5/10 + 4.35
gael monfils - gilles simon | gilles simon (match betting) @ 1.91 | ladbrokes | 4/10 + 3.64
+ 11.74
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Old 01-26-2009, 07:31 PM   #69
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Originally Posted by Mistaflava View Post
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$


2-0 (+$3738) today






Another great fuckin day on the courts, not much betting left in this tournament but still we should get some good odds for some of these matches. CASH MONEY! My #1 investor asked for a huge wager on a certain match in the QF.





Flavaaaaaaaa! I cant thank you enough. wow. $$$$$$$$$ Thanks so much man.
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Old 01-26-2009, 11:10 PM   #70
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Originally Posted by Henry Chinaski View Post
Murray 3-0 over Verdasco
Murray -6.5 over Verdasco

The last time Murray lost a match to lefty other than Nadal was in the summer of 2005 against Alessio di Mauro in a clay court challenger in Barletta. Never on the main tour. He loves this match up. He also enjoys playing ball-bashers because he can frsutrate them with his defence and take them out of their rhythm with his dog-ugly variety.
Verdasco had chances to take a set when they last met here but choked them away and I'm pretty sure that Murray is inside his head especially given the 5-0 main tour h2h.

2.0 2u
2.02 2u

Monfils v Simon over 41.13762

I can't see either player dominating the other here. They're both excellent movers and this could be a long gruelling affair. Monfils has the edge in terms of power while Simon is well ahead in terms of court craft and mental strength. This could be 5 sets in the making. I would rather have played the 38.5 on betfair but liquidity is bad and the price is shit. I won't be surprised if this ends up being 39-41 games.

2.0 2u



Gonzalez to win a set


This can only be such a big price because of the tiredness factor. There's no doubt that Gonzo will be feeling the effects of his epic 5 setter against Gasquet but I'm hoping it will force him to come out swinging early on. Nadal started slowly v Haas and if he does the same here he could get punished.

2u 2.6
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Originally Posted by Henry Chinaski View Post
Tsonga over Blake

These 2 met in Paris last year and Jo scored a routine victory without even facing a bp. He has a more complete game than the American and can mix things up if things aren't going his way. He should get a lot of joy approaching the net to the backhand and he can use his short slices to take Blake out of his comfort zone. Tsonga's draw looks very soft on paper but Ljubicic was superb and the standard of that match was possibly the highest of the tournament so far.

5u 1.56
LL
V
L
W

poor day. -3.24u

+17.8 for the week.

+4.26 season

I'd be doing well this season if I'd stuck with straight up match betting. My ventures into handicaps and set betting have been mostly disastrous. My match picks have been mediocre too but my staking has been going well which could be more down to luck than judgement. The bigger staked bets keep coming in to keep me afloat.
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Old 01-27-2009, 06:00 AM   #71
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Originally Posted by Mistaflava View Post
Thats garbage man, switch to Pinnacle immediately.
sometimes it works against you, sometimes it doesn't
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Old 01-27-2009, 03:11 PM   #72
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Default Re: Hateful Monday

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Completly with you Flava, i would of thought Simon would be the fav so suprised to see them joint favs in most places

Tsonga over Blake 1/2

Simon over Monfils 5/6

Cibulkova over Dementieva 2/1

Williams over Azarenka 4/9

Kuznetsova over Zheng 4/7

Loads of plays for me because its a decent card to get involved with

GL all
Tsonga over Blake 1/2 WIN

Simon over Monfils 5/6 VOID

Cibulkova over Dementieva 2/1 LOSS

Williams over Azarenka 4/9 VOID

Kuznetsova over Zheng 4/7 VOID
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