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Old 01-25-2009, 12:27 AM   #46
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
Value = when the odds on offer differ from one's estimations of a player's chance of winning.
Nope. Value is when the chance of winning * odds >1.

"Picking winners" is easy, it's whether you can do it at a rate that beats the odds on offer that determines whether you make money longterm.

Are you claiming you can pick at 100%? :-)
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Old 01-25-2009, 02:20 AM   #47
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Kleybanova to beat Dokic - $2.36

gl
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Old 01-25-2009, 02:38 AM   #48
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Berdych over Federer @ 13.50 (15 units)
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Old 01-25-2009, 07:18 AM   #49
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Dokic 1.66
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Old 01-25-2009, 07:31 AM   #50
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Dokic to beat Kleybanova - 1.66
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Old 01-25-2009, 07:41 AM   #51
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by kinster View Post
Double:

Del Potro over Cilic
Roddick over Robredo

@1.83
Winner


Its the best tournament ever for me but also need Federer to beat Del Potro.
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Old 01-25-2009, 08:18 AM   #52
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by philosophicalarf View Post
Nope. Value is when the chance of winning * odds >1.
No it's not.

Quote:
"Picking winners" is easy
No it's not.

Quote:
it's whether you can do it at a rate that beats the odds on offer that determines whether you make money longterm.

Are you claiming you can pick at 100%? :-)
No I am not.
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Old 01-25-2009, 09:27 AM   #53
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

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Funnily enough I was just about to post that I have Roddick 3-0 @ 2.20 as Robredo has not even won a set on hard against Roddick. Good bet at those odds. Got a fighting chance of happening. Only a small stake bet.
W Good work from Roddick there.
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Old 01-25-2009, 10:12 AM   #54
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

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Ker/Pico @3.40
L

Monaco hit his knee at 5-3 in the second, bad luck for me.
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Old 01-25-2009, 10:30 AM   #55
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by ivekinjo View Post
JMDP @ 1.5
Petrova @ 2.64

GL
W L
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Old 01-25-2009, 10:55 AM   #56
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

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Originally Posted by Gamblore View Post
Dokic to beat Kleybanova - 1.66
Dokic is going to win this Open. She's determined.
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Old 01-25-2009, 12:07 PM   #57
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
No it's not.



No it's not.



No I am not.

I guess that's basically the equivalent of conceding the argument. Do you really not know what value means?

Oh, and picking winners is easy - you just go bet on all the short odds stuff, and get 90% correct. After all, odds don't matter right? Just "picking winners"?
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Old 01-25-2009, 01:52 PM   #58
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

Quote:
Originally Posted by ivan View Post
Adding...

Over 0.5 Tie breaks-Federer vs Berdych @ $2.10
Over 0.5 tie breaks- Djokovic vs Baghdatis @ $1.90
WIN
WIN



£££££££££££££££££$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$£$£££££££££££££ £££££££

Quote:
A.Roddick & Djokovic & Potro & Dokic over Robredo/Baghdatis/Cilic/Kleybanova @ $5.10

Petrova+1.5 set over Zvonereva @ $1.60

Safina Vs Cornet- 3 sets @ $2.70

Jankovic 2-0 over Bartoli @ $1.70

Federer -7.5 over Berdych @ $1.90
2W 3L

Happy days, the big combo obliged and safina-cornet going 3 sets was a bonus, my mug parlays have been really profitable this week, pity about jankovic and petrova, well played birdman, to good.

Last edited by Iván : 01-25-2009 at 02:39 PM.
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Old 01-25-2009, 02:10 PM   #59
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

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Originally Posted by maxxo View Post
W-L 50-32

Dokic @1,70
Cilic +5,5 @1,85
Baghdatis - Djokovic over 38,5 @1,85
W
L
W

W-L 52-33
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Old 01-25-2009, 02:11 PM   #60
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Default Re: "Marcos back at his best" - Sunday

good hits ivan
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