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Old 01-25-2008, 11:00 AM   #1
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Default Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

thanks to him sucking last year early on and late in the season

stole this from Judio

Quote:
Originally Posted by Judio View Post
Code:
  New     Old                     This  Project   "5th"
  Rank    Rank  Player            Week  Points     Best
   1       1    Federer           450   6,630       0
   2       2    Nadal             450   5,980      55
   3       3    Djokovic          700   4,865      20
Points to Defend
Rotterdam
Djok 110
Dubai
Fed 300 Rafa 75 Djok 75
Indian Wells
Fed 5 Rafa 500 Djok 350
Miami
Fed 75 Rafa 125 Djok 500

So Roger is still along away ahead of Rafa
and Rafa is still along way ahead of Novak

Taking the above Points off
Rankings at April 1 before adding 2008 Points
in Dubai Miami Indian Wells as they haven't happened

Code:
  New     Old                       Project   "5th"
  Rank    Rank  Player              Points     Best
   1       1    Federer             6,250       0
   2       2    Nadal               5,280       0
   3       3    Djokovic            3,845       0
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Old 01-25-2008, 11:01 AM   #2
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

haha good hes clearly still the best
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Old 01-25-2008, 11:09 AM   #3
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

than the middle of season Nadal is defending a GS win and final, Djokovic SF and SF and than USO final
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Old 01-25-2008, 11:14 AM   #4
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

If he keeps playing passive he'll be in trouble.
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Old 01-25-2008, 11:16 AM   #5
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

It's all about motivation.

He's hitting the same wall that Sampras did now. We'll see how he responds.
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Old 01-25-2008, 05:03 PM   #6
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

If Federer keeps playing like this, he's not holding the #1 spot for too much longer.
Up 53 in the first, he just played like crap for 10 games.
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Old 01-25-2008, 06:40 PM   #7
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

To me Fed is clearly fading.. Last Wimbledon final was the first indication of that.. I would not bet on him breaking Sampras's record at this point.. I think the chances of him winning a GS this year are not much higher then 50%..
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Old 01-25-2008, 06:47 PM   #8
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

Quote:
Originally Posted by ys View Post
To me Fed is clearly fading.. Last Wimbledon final was the first indication of that.. I would not bet on him breaking Sampras's record at this point.. I think the chances of him winning a GS this year are not much higher then 50%..
50% is pretty damn high lol. You're basically saying that he won't win more than 2 slams this year.
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Old 01-25-2008, 06:47 PM   #9
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

I wouldn't write off Roger yet.
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Old 01-25-2008, 06:53 PM   #10
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

What people have to defend means nothing in terms of actually being #1 at the end of the year. If Federer is the best player then he will keep it, if not then he will fall.
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Old 01-25-2008, 07:04 PM   #11
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

And this match, he didn't play like a #1.
How many forehand UE's on big points? Federer was giving away key points.
You don't win titles doing that.
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Old 01-25-2008, 07:06 PM   #12
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

fed is far from through. the majority of the AO was too easy for him. losing only 6 games in total to hartfield and santoro made him somewhat complacent, allowing tipsareciv to take advanatage. then he had berdych and blake, a pair of muppets when it comes to playing against him. he wasnt challenged enough before the semis, so he couldnt really hit the kind of form he needs to win a GS. he'll come back with a vengence and be back to his brilliant best soon enough
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Old 01-25-2008, 08:07 PM   #13
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

Quote:
Originally Posted by stebs View Post
What people have to defend means nothing in terms of actually being #1 at the end of the year. If Federer is the best player then he will keep it, if not then he will fall.
Precisely.


Anyway, as IL points out, Fed should be relatively okay up until the second half of the year (unless he is inactive or something), which is when things would get interesting.
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Old 01-25-2008, 08:17 PM   #14
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Default Re: Federer will stay at #1 rest of the year

ATP might have contributed to Federers too early fading with their's tampering with the draws
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